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MLS · Regular Season - 9 April 23, 2026 03:30
Toronto FC
#10 · 14 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Philadelphia Union
#15 · 6 pts
J. Sargent (ast. D. Salloi) 56'
K. Franklin (ast. J. Cifuentes) 64'
L. Gavran (ast. A. Coello) 90'+6
45'+4 (ast. J. Lukic) M. Iloski
52' D. Jean Jacques
89' (ast. A. Bedoya) N. Harriel

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Philadelphia Union 25%). The final result was Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
1.40
Actual xG
0.83
2
Saves
0
64%
Possession
36%
2
Corners
2
9
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
J. Osorio
7'
D. Salloi
16'
45'+4
ast. J. Lukic · M. Iloski⚽
A. Coello
46'
R. Laryea
49'
52'
D. Jean Jacques⚽
↕ D. Kerr / M. Henry
54'
⚽J. Sargent · ast. D. Salloi
56'
61'
J. Sery Larsen
⚽K. Franklin · ast. J. Cifuentes
64'
↕ W. Zimmerman / L. Stefanovic
65'
65'
A. Bedoya / I. Vassilev ↕
65'
D. Jean Jacques
78'
O. Makhanya
79'
E. Alladoh / B. Damiani ↕
82'
M. Jakupovic / J. Lukic ↕
82'
C. Sullivan / M. Iloski ↕
89'
ast. A. Bedoya · N. Harriel⚽
90'+3
A. Bedoya
⚽L. Gavran · ast. A. Coello
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
48.27%
Toronto
26.12%
X ←
25.61%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.12% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
2.20
1.40
-0.8
Philadelphia
1.04
0.83
-0.21
Toronto FC dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.83). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1
L. Gavran 1 ⚽ G 6.50
22
Richie Laryea D 6.00
12
Zane Monlouis D 5.90
25
Walker Zimmerman 65' D 6.30
19
K. Franklin 1 ⚽ D 6.60
21
Jonathan Osorio M 6.60
14
A. Coello 1 👟 M 7.00
20
D. Salloi 1 👟 M 6.70
8
J. Cifuentes 1 👟 M 6.90
29
D. Kerr 54' M 6.20
9
J. Sargent 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
11
Derrick Etienne Junior F
17
E. Aristizabal F
76
L. Stefanovic 25' D 6.20
71
M. Cimermancic M
78
M. Henry 36' M 6.30
44
Raheem Edwards D
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18
G 5.60
39 Frankie Westfield Frankie Westfield D 6.00
29 Olwethu Makhanya Olwethu Makhanya D 6.20
5
Japhet Sery Larsen D 6.30
26 Nathan Harriel Nathan Harriel 1 ⚽ D 7.30
19 Indiana Vassilev Indiana Vassilev 65' M 6.50
8
J. Bueno M 6.90
4 Jovan Lukić Jovan Lukić 1 👟 82' M 6.70
21 Danley Jean Jacques Danley Jean Jacques 1 ⚽ M 7.60
10 Milan Iloski Milan Iloski 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.60
9 Bruno Damiani Bruno Damiani 79' F 6.00
Bench
11 Alejandro Bedoya Alejandro Bedoya 1 👟 25' M 6.90
16 Ben Bender Ben Bender M
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 8' M 6.50
23 Ezekiel Alladoh Ezekiel Alladoh 11' F 6.50
2 Geiner Martínez Geiner Martínez D
14 Jeremy Rafanello Jeremy Rafanello M
20 Philippe Ndinga Philippe Ndinga D
Best on the pitch
J. Sargent
F · Toronto
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Milan Iloski
Milan Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Danley Jean Jacques
Danley Jean Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Nathan Harriel
Nathan Harriel
D · Philadelphia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
A. Coello
M · Toronto
7.00
1 👟
· 69 pass
Alejandro Bedoya
Alejandro Bedoya
M · Philadelphia
6.90
1 👟
· 8 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 6.50 1 — 1 29 20% — — —
Richie Laryea D 90 6.00 — — — 42 30% 1 1 —
Zane Monlouis D 90 5.90 — — — 81 73% — — —
Walker Zimmerman D 65 6.30 — — 1 47 40% 1 — —
K. Franklin D 90 6.60 1 — 1 47 35% 2 — —
Jonathan Osorio M 90 6.60 — — 1 78 69% 1 1 —
A. Coello M 90 7.00 — 1 — 69 56% 3 1 —
D. Salloi M 90 6.70 — 1 2 18 13% — 1 —
J. Cifuentes M 90 6.90 — 1 1 35 26% — — —
D. Kerr M 54 6.20 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
J. Sargent F 90 8.20 1 — 1 17 12% — — —
L. Stefanovic D 25 6.20 — — — 28 26% — — —
M. Henry M 36 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 20 18% — — —
Frankie Westfield D 90 6.00 — — 2 37 24% 2 — —
Olwethu Makhanya D 90 6.20 — — — 37 30% 2 1 —
Japhet Sery Larsen D 90 6.30 — — 1 29 17% 3 1 —
Nathan Harriel D 90 7.30 1 — 1 23 18% 2 — —
Indiana Vassilev M 65 6.50 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
J. Bueno M 90 6.90 — — — 22 15% — — —
Jovan Lukić M 82 6.70 — 1 1 28 21% 1 — —
Danley Jean Jacques M 90 7.60 1 — 1 17 10% 1 1 —
Milan Iloski F 82 7.60 1 — 1 14 10% — — —
Bruno Damiani F 79 6.00 — — 1 20 13% — — —
Alejandro Bedoya M 25 6.90 — 1 — 8 3% — 1 —
Cavan Sullivan M 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Ezekiel Alladoh F 11 6.50 — — — 5 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Toronto FC win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Philadelphia Union win.