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MLS · Regular Season - 9 April 23, 2026 01:30
Toronto FC
#13 · 29 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Philadelphia Union
#6 · 39 pts
J. Sargent (ast. D. Salloi) 56'
K. Franklin (ast. J. Cifuentes) 64'
L. Gavran (ast. A. Coello) 90'+6
45'+4 (ast. J. Lukic) M. Iloski
52' D. Jean Jacques
89' (ast. A. Bedoya) N. Harriel
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Philadelphia Union 25%). The final result was Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
1.40
Actual xG
0.83
2
Saves
0
64%
Possession
36%
2
Corners
2
9
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
J. Osorio
7'
D. Salloi
16'
45'+4
ast. J. Lukic · M. Iloski⚽
A. Coello
46'
R. Laryea
49'
52'
D. Jean Jacques⚽
↕ D. Kerr / M. Henry
54'
⚽J. Sargent · ast. D. Salloi
56'
61'
J. Sery Larsen
⚽K. Franklin · ast. J. Cifuentes
64'
↕ W. Zimmerman / L. Stefanovic
65'
65'
A. Bedoya / I. Vassilev ↕
65'
D. Jean Jacques
78'
O. Makhanya
79'
E. Alladoh / B. Damiani ↕
82'
M. Jakupovic / J. Lukic ↕
82'
C. Sullivan / M. Iloski ↕
89'
ast. A. Bedoya · N. Harriel⚽
90'+3
A. Bedoya
⚽L. Gavran · ast. A. Coello
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
48.27%
Toronto
26.12%
X ←
25.61%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.12% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
2.20
1.40
-0.8
Philadelphia
1.04
0.83
-0.21
Toronto FC dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.83). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran 1 ⚽ G 6.50
22 Richie Laryea Richie Laryea D 6.00
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis D 5.90
25 W. Zimmerman W. Zimmerman 65' D 6.30
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin 1 ⚽ D 6.60
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio M 6.60
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello 1 👟 M 7.00
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói 1 👟 M 6.70
8
J. Cifuentes 1 👟 M 6.90
29 Deandre Kerr Deandre Kerr 54' M 6.20
9 J. Sargent J. Sargent 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne F
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F
76 L. Stefanovic L. Stefanovic 25' D 6.20
78 Malik Henry Malik Henry 36' M 6.30
71 Markus Cimermancic Markus Cimermancic M
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards D
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18
G 5.60
39 Frankie Westfield Frankie Westfield D 6.00
29 O. Makhanya O. Makhanya D 6.20
5 J. Sery Larsen J. Sery Larsen D 6.30
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel 1 ⚽ D 7.30
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 65' M 6.50
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno M 6.90
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić 1 👟 82' M 6.70
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques 1 ⚽ M 7.60
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.60
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 79' F 6.00
Bench
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya 1 👟 25' M 6.90
16 B. Bender B. Bender M
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 8' M 6.50
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh 11' F 6.50
2 G. Martínez G. Martínez D
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello M
20 Philippe Ndinga Philippe Ndinga D
Best on the pitch
J. Sargent
J. Sargent
F · Toronto
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
M. Iloski
M. Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
D. Jean-Jacques
D. Jean-Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
N. Harriel
N. Harriel
D · Philadelphia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Alonso Coello
Alonso Coello
M · Toronto
7.00
1 👟
· 69 pass
A. Bedoya
A. Bedoya
M · Philadelphia
6.90
1 👟
· 8 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 6.50 1 — 1 29 20% — — —
Richie Laryea D 90 6.00 — — — 42 30% 1 1 —
Z. Monlouis D 90 5.90 — — — 81 73% — — —
W. Zimmerman D 65 6.30 — — 1 47 40% 1 — —
K. Franklin D 90 6.60 1 — 1 47 35% 2 — —
J. Osorio M 90 6.60 — — 1 78 69% 1 1 —
Alonso Coello M 90 7.00 — 1 — 69 56% 3 1 —
D. Sallói M 90 6.70 — 1 2 18 13% — 1 —
J. Cifuentes M 90 6.90 — 1 1 35 26% — — —
Deandre Kerr M 54 6.20 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
J. Sargent F 90 8.20 1 — 1 17 12% — — —
L. Stefanovic D 25 6.20 — — — 28 26% — — —
Malik Henry M 36 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 20 18% — — —
Frankie Westfield D 90 6.00 — — 2 37 24% 2 — —
O. Makhanya D 90 6.20 — — — 37 30% 2 1 —
J. Sery Larsen D 90 6.30 — — 1 29 17% 3 1 —
N. Harriel D 90 7.30 1 — 1 23 18% 2 — —
I. Vassilev M 65 6.50 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
J. Bueno M 90 6.90 — — — 22 15% — — —
J. Lukić M 82 6.70 — 1 1 28 21% 1 — —
D. Jean-Jacques M 90 7.60 1 — 1 17 10% 1 1 —
M. Iloski F 82 7.60 1 — 1 14 10% — — —
B. Damiani F 79 6.00 — — 1 20 13% — — —
A. Bedoya M 25 6.90 — 1 — 8 3% — 1 —
Cavan Sullivan M 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
E. Alladoh F 11 6.50 — — — 5 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Toronto FC win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Philadelphia Union win.