← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 1 April 08, 2026 02:30
U. Catolica
#1 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Boca Juniors
#3 · 6 pts
J. Diaz 83'
16' L. Paredes
65' (ast. L. Blanco) A. Bareiro

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 35% win probability (draw 34%, Boca Juniors 29%). The final result was U. Catolica 1–2 Boca Juniors.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
0.74
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
17
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
F. Zampedri
10'
10'
L. Paredes
16'
L. Paredes⚽
J. Valencia
32'
39'
L. Blanco
↕ G. Medel / F. Zuqui
46'
F. Zuqui
52'
↕ C. Montes / M. Palavecino
56'
65'
ast. L. Blanco · A. Bareiro⚽
70'
A. Herrera / Miguel Merentiel ↕
76'
J. Barinaga / M. Weigandt ↕
76'
M. Gimenez / A. Bareiro ↕
C. Cuevas
77'
⚽J. Diaz
83'
↕ J. Valencia / D. Valencia
88'
↕ C. Cuevas / J. A. Martinez
88'
↕ D. Gonzalez / D. Corral
90'+3
90'+4
M. Pellegrino / T. Aranda ↕
Pre-match prediction
35.4%
U.
34.63%
X
29.97%
Boca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors) 29.97% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
U.
0.86
0.74
-0.12
Boca
0.70
0.68
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.74 – 0.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
U. Catolica U. Catolica 4-1-4-1
1
Vicente Bernedo G 6.90
3
E. Mena D 6.90
26 J. Díaz J. Díaz 1 ⚽ D 7.20
19
B. Ampuero D 7.20
2
D 6.90
20 J. Valencia J. Valencia 88' M 6.90
7 J. Giani J. Giani M 6.20
15 C. Cuevas C. Cuevas 88' M 6.50
17
G. Medel 45' M 6.50
11 C. Montes C. Montes 56' M 7.00
9 F. Zampedri F. Zampedri F 6.50
Bench
13
Alfred Canales M
8
Fernando Zuqui 52' M 6.20
14
Jimmy Martínez 9' M 6.70
18
Juan Francisco Rossel F
10 M. Palavecino M. Palavecino 41' M 6.50
39
N. L’Huillier D
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-1-3-2
12 Leandro Brey Leandro Brey G 6.90
3 L. Blanco L. Blanco 1 👟 D 6.90
32 Ayrton Costa Ayrton Costa D 6.30
2 Lautaro Di Lollo Lautaro Di Lollo D 7.50
23 Marcelo Weigandt Marcelo Weigandt 76' D 6.90
5 L. Paredes L. Paredes 1 ⚽ M 8.90
36 Tomás Aranda Tomás Aranda M 6.00
18 Milton Delgado Milton Delgado M 6.70
25 Santiago Ascacíbar Santiago Ascacíbar M 6.90
16 M. Merentiel M. Merentiel 70' F 6.50
28 A. Bareiro A. Bareiro 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30
Bench
20 Alan Velasco Alan Velasco M
21 Ander Herrera Ander Herrera 27' M 6.20
29 Ángel Romero Ángel Romero F
38
C. Rey Domenech M
24 Juan Barinaga Juan Barinaga 21' D 6.30
27 Malcom Braida Malcom Braida M
9 Milton Giménez Milton Giménez 21' F 6.20
30 Tomás Belmonte Tomás Belmonte M
15 Williams Alarcón Williams Alarcón M
Best on the pitch
L. Paredes
L. Paredes
M · Boca
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 91 pass
Lautaro Di Lollo
Lautaro Di Lollo
D · Boca
7.50
· 56 pass
A. Bareiro
A. Bareiro
F · Boca
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
J. Díaz
J. Díaz
D · U.
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 56 pass
B. Ampuero
D · U.
7.20
· 46 pass
C. Montes
C. Montes
M · U.
7.00
· 11 pass
U. Catolica U. Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Vicente Bernedo G 97 6.90 — — — 22 18% — — —
E. Mena D 97 6.90 — — 1 43 36% 1 — —
J. Díaz D 97 7.20 1 — 1 56 49% 1 — —
B. Ampuero D 97 7.20 — — — 46 44% 2 — —
D 93 6.90 — — — 28 23% 4 — —
J. Valencia M 88 6.90 — — 2 48 38% 2 1 —
J. Giani M 97 6.20 — — 1 24 16% — — —
C. Cuevas M 88 6.50 — — — 33 27% 3 1 —
G. Medel M 45 6.50 — — — 20 17% — — —
C. Montes M 56 7.00 — — — 11 10% 3 — —
F. Zampedri F 97 6.50 — — 2 5 5% — 1 —
Fernando Zuqui M 52 6.20 — — — 16 14% — 1 —
Jimmy Martínez M 9 6.70 — — 1 4 3% 1 — —
M. Palavecino M 41 6.50 — — — 19 15% — — —
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leandro Brey G 97 6.90 — — — 26 16% — — —
L. Blanco D 97 6.90 — 1 — 43 36% 2 1 —
Ayrton Costa D 97 6.30 — — 2 59 52% 1 — —
Lautaro Di Lollo D 97 7.50 — — — 56 53% 2 — —
Marcelo Weigandt D 76 6.90 — — — 32 24% 2 — —
L. Paredes M 97 8.90 1 — 1 91 82% 1 1 —
Tomás Aranda M 94 6.00 — — 1 43 39% — — —
Milton Delgado M 97 6.70 — — — 60 56% 1 — —
Santiago Ascacíbar M 97 6.90 — — 1 34 29% — — —
M. Merentiel F 70 6.50 — — — 11 10% — — —
A. Bareiro F 76 7.30 1 — 2 11 8% — — —
Ander Herrera M 27 6.20 — — — 16 13% 3 — —
Juan Barinaga D 21 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
Milton Giménez F 21 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was U. Catolica 1–2 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 35% probability to a U. Catolica win, 34% to a draw, and 29% to an Boca Juniors win.