Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 08, 2026 02:30
J. Diaz
83'
16'
L. Paredes
65'
(ast. L. Blanco)
A. Bareiro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 35% win probability (draw 34%, Boca Juniors 29%). The final result was U. Catolica 1–2 Boca Juniors. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Boca Juniors.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
0.74
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
17
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
F. Zampedri
10'
10'
L. Paredes
16'
L. Paredes⚽
J. Valencia
32'
39'
L. Blanco
G. Medel
/ F. Zuqui
46'
F. Zuqui
52'
C. Montes
/ M. Palavecino
56'
65'
ast. L. Blanco ·
A. Bareiro⚽
70'
A. Herrera
/
Miguel Merentiel
76'
J. Barinaga
/
M. Weigandt
76'
M. Gimenez
/
A. Bareiro
C. Cuevas
77'
⚽J. Diaz
83'
J. Valencia
/ D. Valencia
88'
C. Cuevas
/ J. A. Martinez
88'
D. Gonzalez
/ D. Corral
90'+3
90'+4
M. Pellegrino
/
T. Aranda
Pre-match prediction
35.4%
U.
34.63%
X
29.97%
Boca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
29.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
0.74
-0.12
0.70
0.68
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.74 – 0.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Vicente Bernedo
G
Vicente Bernedo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
D
Eugenio Mena
D
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
1 ⚽
D
Juan Ignacio Díaz
1 ⚽
D
19
B. Ampuero
D
B. Ampuero
D
2
D
20
J. Valencia
88'
M
J. Valencia
88'
M
7
J. Giani
M
J. Giani
M
15
C. Cuevas
88'
M
C. Cuevas
88'
M
17
G. Medel
45'
M
11
C. Montes
56'
M
C. Montes
56'
M
9
F. Zampedri
F
F. Zampedri
F
Bench
13
Alfred Canales
M
Alfred Canales
M
8
Fernando Zuqui
52'
M
Fernando Zuqui
52'
M
14
Jimmy Martínez
9'
M
Jimmy Martínez
9'
M
18
Juan Francisco Rossel
F
Juan Francisco Rossel
F
10
M. Palavecino
41'
M
M. Palavecino
41'
M
39
Nicolás L'Huiller
D
Nicolás L'Huiller
D
12
Leandro Brey
G
Leandro Brey
G
3
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
32
A. Costa
D
A. Costa
D
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
23
Marcelo Weigandt
76'
D
Marcelo Weigandt
76'
D
5
Leandro Paredes
1 ⚽
M
Leandro Paredes
1 ⚽
M
36
Tomás Aranda
M
Tomás Aranda
M
18
Milton Delgado
M
Milton Delgado
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
M
S. Ascacíbar
M
16
M. Merentiel
70'
F
M. Merentiel
70'
F
28
A. Bareiro
1 ⚽
76'
F
A. Bareiro
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
20
Alan Velasco
M
Alan Velasco
M
21
Ander Herrera
27'
M
Ander Herrera
27'
M
29
Ángel Romero
F
Ángel Romero
F
38
C. Rey Domenech
M
24
Juan Barinaga
21'
D
Juan Barinaga
21'
D
27
Malcom Braida
M
Malcom Braida
M
9
Milton Giménez
21'
F
Milton Giménez
21'
F
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
Williams Alarcón
M
Williams Alarcón
M
Best on the pitch
Leandro Paredes
M · Boca
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 91 pass
Lautaro Di Lollo
D · Boca
7.50
· 56 pass
A. Bareiro
F · Boca
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D · U.
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 56 pass
B. Ampuero
D · U.
7.20
· 46 pass
C. Montes
M · U.
7.00
· 11 pass
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Bernedo | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | D | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Ampuero | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Valencia | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Giani | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Medel | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Montes | M | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Fernando Zuqui | M | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Jimmy Martínez | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Palavecino | M | 41 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Brey | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Costa | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Di Lollo | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcelo Weigandt | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Leandro Paredes | M | 97 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 91 | 82% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Milton Delgado | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ander Herrera | M | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Barinaga | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Milton Giménez | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was U. Catolica 1–2 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 35% probability to a U. Catolica win, 34% to a draw, and 29% to an Boca Juniors win.