Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 08, 2026 02:30
J. Diaz
83'
16'
L. Paredes
65'
(ast. L. Blanco)
A. Bareiro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 35% win probability (draw 34%, Boca Juniors 29%). The final result was U. Catolica 1–2 Boca Juniors. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Boca Juniors.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
0.74
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
17
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
F. Zampedri
10'
10'
L. Paredes
16'
L. Paredes⚽
J. Valencia
32'
39'
L. Blanco
G. Medel
/ F. Zuqui
46'
F. Zuqui
52'
C. Montes
/ M. Palavecino
56'
65'
ast. L. Blanco ·
A. Bareiro⚽
70'
A. Herrera
/
Miguel Merentiel
76'
J. Barinaga
/
M. Weigandt
76'
M. Gimenez
/
A. Bareiro
C. Cuevas
77'
⚽J. Diaz
83'
J. Valencia
/ D. Valencia
88'
C. Cuevas
/ J. A. Martinez
88'
D. Gonzalez
/ D. Corral
90'+3
90'+4
M. Pellegrino
/
T. Aranda
Pre-match prediction
35.4%
U.
34.63%
X
29.97%
Boca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
29.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
0.74
-0.12
0.70
0.68
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.74 – 0.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
V. Bernedo
G
V. Bernedo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
D
Eugenio Mena
D
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
1 ⚽
D
Juan Ignacio Díaz
1 ⚽
D
19
B. Ampuero
D
B. Ampuero
D
2
D
20
J. Valencia
88'
M
J. Valencia
88'
M
7
J. Giani
M
J. Giani
M
15
C. Cuevas
88'
M
C. Cuevas
88'
M
17
Gary Medel
45'
M
Gary Medel
45'
M
11
C. Montes
56'
M
C. Montes
56'
M
9
F. Zampedri
F
F. Zampedri
F
Bench
13
A. Canales
M
A. Canales
M
8
F. Zuqui
52'
M
F. Zuqui
52'
M
14
J. Martínez
9'
M
J. Martínez
9'
M
18
Juan Francisco Rossel
F
Juan Francisco Rossel
F
10
M. Palavecino
41'
M
M. Palavecino
41'
M
39
N. L’Huillier
D
N. L’Huillier
D
12
L. Brey
G
L. Brey
G
3
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
32
A. Costa
D
A. Costa
D
2
L. Di Lollo
D
L. Di Lollo
D
23
M. Weigandt
76'
D
M. Weigandt
76'
D
5
L. Paredes
1 ⚽
M
L. Paredes
1 ⚽
M
36
Tomás Aranda
M
Tomás Aranda
M
18
M. Delgado
M
M. Delgado
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
M
S. Ascacíbar
M
16
M. Merentiel
70'
F
M. Merentiel
70'
F
28
A. Bareiro
1 ⚽
76'
F
A. Bareiro
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
21
Ander Herrera
27'
M
Ander Herrera
27'
M
29
Á. Romero
F
Á. Romero
F
20
A. Velasco
M
A. Velasco
M
38
C. Rey
M
C. Rey
M
24
J. Barinaga
21'
D
J. Barinaga
21'
D
27
M. Braida
M
M. Braida
M
9
M. Giménez
21'
F
M. Giménez
21'
F
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
Best on the pitch
L. Paredes
M · Boca
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 91 pass
L. Di Lollo
D · Boca
7.50
· 56 pass
A. Bareiro
F · Boca
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D · U.
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 56 pass
B. Ampuero
D · U.
7.20
· 46 pass
C. Montes
M · U.
7.00
· 11 pass
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Bernedo | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | D | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Ampuero | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Valencia | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Giani | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gary Medel | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Montes | M | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Zuqui | M | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Martínez | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Palavecino | M | 41 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brey | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Costa | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Weigandt | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 97 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 91 | 82% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ander Herrera | M | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Barinaga | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Giménez | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was U. Catolica 1–2 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 35% probability to a U. Catolica win, 34% to a draw, and 29% to an Boca Juniors win.