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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 17:30
Union Berlin
#12 · 36 pts
1 – 2
Final score
VfL Wolfsburg
#16 · 26 pts
O. Burke (ast. A. Ilic) 85'
11' (ast. J. Maehle) P. Wimmer
46' (ast. C. Eriksen) D. Pejcinovic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Berlin a 49% win probability (draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%). The final result was Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.19
2
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
4
5
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
11'
ast. J. Maehle · P. Wimmer⚽
46'
ast. C. Eriksen · D. Pejcinovic⚽
58'
J. Belocian
↕ T. Rothe / D. Kohn
68'
↕ I. Ansah / T. Skarke
68'
71'
A. Daghim / M. Amoura ↕
71'
Y. Gerhardt / P. Wimmer ↕
↕ A. Kemlein / A. Schafer
75'
R. Khedira
78'
⚽O. Burke · ast. A. Ilic
85'
86'
M. Arnold / C. Eriksen ↕
↕ R. Khedira / L. Burcu
87'
↕ C. Trimmel / J. Haberer
88'
90'+3
M. Jenz / A. Zehnter ↕
90'+3
K. Shiogai / D. Pejcinovic ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.77%
Union
25.7%
X
24.53%
VfL ←
we assigned to the actual result (VfL Wolfsburg) 24.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
1.53
1.84
+0.31
VfL
1.13
0.19
-0.94
Union Berlin dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.19). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-4-3
1
F. Ronnow 89' G 6.70
4 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite 89' D 6.70
14 L. Querfeld L. Querfeld 89' D 7.00
5 Danilho Doekhi Danilho Doekhi 89' D 5.90
15 Tom Alexander Rothe Tom Alexander Rothe 68' M 6.30
6 Aljoscha Kemlein Aljoscha Kemlein 75' M 6.60
8 Rani Khedira Rani Khedira 87' M 6.00
28 Christopher Trimmel Christopher Trimmel 88' M 8.70
10 Ilyas Ansah Ilyas Ansah 68' F 6.90
23 Andrej Ilić Andrej Ilić 1 👟 89' F 6.60
7 Oliver Burke Oliver Burke 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
Bench
33 Alex Král Alex Král M
13 András Schäfer András Schäfer 14' M 6.30
39 Derrick Köhn Derrick Köhn 21' D 6.50
19
J. Haberer 1' M
18 Josip Juranović Josip Juranović D
9 Livan Burcu Livan Burcu 2' F
34 Stanley Nsoki Stanley Nsoki D
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-4-2-1
1
89' G 7.90
4
K. Koulierakis 89' D 6.70
3
Denis Vavro 89' D 7.20
6
J. Belocian 89' D 7.20
25
A. Zehnter 89' M 6.20
5 Vinicius Souza Vinicius Souza 89' M 7.20
24
C. Eriksen 1 👟 86' M 7.20
21 J. Mæhle J. Mæhle 1 👟 89' M 7.50
9 M. Amoura M. Amoura 71' F 6.50
39
P. Wimmer 1 ⚽ 71' F 8.00
17
D. Pejcinovic 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.50
Bench
11
A. Daghim 18' F 6.70
18
Jonas Adjei Adjetey D
7
K. Shiogai F
10
L. Majer M
26
S. Kumbedi D
Best on the pitch
Christopher Trimmel
Christopher Trimmel
M · Union
8.70
· 51 pass
P. Wimmer
F · VfL
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
Oliver Burke
Oliver Burke
F · Union
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
G · VfL
7.90
· 33 pass
J. Mæhle
J. Mæhle
M · VfL
7.50
1 👟
· 33 pass
C. Eriksen
M · VfL
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 38 pass
Union Berlin Union Berlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Ronnow G 89 6.70 — — — 25 17% — — —
Diogo Leite D 89 6.70 — — 1 57 44% 1 — —
L. Querfeld D 89 7.00 — — — 68 59% — — —
Danilho Doekhi D 89 5.90 — — 3 56 43% — — —
Tom Alexander Rothe M 68 6.30 — — 1 22 15% — — —
Aljoscha Kemlein M 75 6.60 — — — 43 34% — — —
Rani Khedira M 87 6.00 — — 2 19 13% — 1 —
Christopher Trimmel M 88 8.70 — — — 51 40% 1 — —
Ilyas Ansah F 68 6.90 — — 4 9 5% 2 — —
Andrej Ilić F 89 6.60 — 1 2 12 6% — — —
Oliver Burke F 89 7.90 1 — 1 23 19% 1 — —
András Schäfer M 14 6.30 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Derrick Köhn D 21 6.50 — — 1 6 3% — — —
J. Haberer M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Livan Burcu F 2 — — — — — — — — —
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 7.90 — — — 33 13% — — —
K. Koulierakis D 89 6.70 — — — 45 34% 2 — —
Denis Vavro D 89 7.20 — — — 43 35% — — —
J. Belocian D 89 7.20 — — — 46 42% 5 1 —
A. Zehnter M 89 6.20 — — 1 31 21% 1 — —
Vinicius Souza M 89 7.20 — — — 39 29% 3 — —
C. Eriksen M 86 7.20 — 1 1 38 28% 1 — —
J. Mæhle M 89 7.50 — 1 — 33 27% 3 — —
M. Amoura F 71 6.50 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
P. Wimmer F 71 8.00 1 — 1 29 20% 3 — —
D. Pejcinovic F 89 6.50 1 — 1 27 18% — — —
A. Daghim F 18 6.70 — — 1 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Union Berlin win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.