O. Burke
(ast. A. Ilic)
85'
11'
(ast. J. Maehle)
P. Wimmer
46'
(ast. C. Eriksen)
D. Pejcinovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Berlin a 49% win probability (draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%). The final result was Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.19
2
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
4
5
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
11'
ast. J. Maehle ·
P. Wimmer⚽
46'
ast. C. Eriksen ·
D. Pejcinovic⚽
58'
J. Belocian
T. Rothe
/ D. Kohn
68'
I. Ansah
/ T. Skarke
68'
71'
A. Daghim
/
M. Amoura
71'
Y. Gerhardt
/
P. Wimmer
A. Kemlein
/ A. Schafer
75'
R. Khedira
78'
⚽O. Burke
· ast. A. Ilic
85'
86'
M. Arnold
/
C. Eriksen
R. Khedira
/ L. Burcu
87'
C. Trimmel
/ J. Haberer
88'
90'+3
M. Jenz
/
A. Zehnter
90'+3
K. Shiogai
/
D. Pejcinovic
Pre-match prediction
49.77%
Union
25.7%
X
24.53%
VfL ←
we assigned to the actual result (VfL Wolfsburg)
24.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
1.84
+0.31
1.13
0.19
-0.94
Union Berlin dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
F. Rønnow
89'
G
F. Rønnow
89'
G
4
Diogo Leite
89'
D
Diogo Leite
89'
D
14
L. Querfeld
89'
D
L. Querfeld
89'
D
5
Danilho Doekhi
89'
D
Danilho Doekhi
89'
D
15
T. Rothe
68'
M
T. Rothe
68'
M
6
A. Kemlein
75'
M
A. Kemlein
75'
M
8
R. Khedira
87'
M
R. Khedira
87'
M
28
C. Trimmel
88'
M
C. Trimmel
88'
M
10
Ilyas Ansah
68'
F
Ilyas Ansah
68'
F
23
A. Ilić
1 👟
89'
F
A. Ilić
1 👟
89'
F
7
Oliver Burke
1 ⚽
89'
F
Oliver Burke
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
33
A. Král
M
A. Král
M
13
A. Schäfer
14'
M
A. Schäfer
14'
M
39
D. Köhn
21'
D
D. Köhn
21'
D
19
J. Haberer
1'
M
J. Haberer
1'
M
18
J. Juranović
D
J. Juranović
D
9
Livan Burcu
2'
F
Livan Burcu
2'
F
34
Stanley Nsoki
D
Stanley Nsoki
D
1
89'
G
4
K. Koulierakis
89'
D
K. Koulierakis
89'
D
3
D. Vavro
89'
D
D. Vavro
89'
D
6
J. Belocian
89'
D
J. Belocian
89'
D
25
A. Zehnter
89'
M
A. Zehnter
89'
M
5
Vinicius Souza
89'
M
Vinicius Souza
89'
M
24
C. Eriksen
1 👟
86'
M
C. Eriksen
1 👟
86'
M
21
J. Mæhle
1 👟
89'
M
J. Mæhle
1 👟
89'
M
9
M. Amoura
71'
F
M. Amoura
71'
F
39
P. Wimmer
1 ⚽
71'
F
P. Wimmer
1 ⚽
71'
F
17
D. Pejčinović
1 ⚽
89'
F
D. Pejčinović
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
11
A. Daghim
18'
F
A. Daghim
18'
F
18
J. Adjetey
D
J. Adjetey
D
7
Kento Shiogai
F
Kento Shiogai
F
10
L. Majer
M
L. Majer
M
26
S. Kumbedi
D
S. Kumbedi
D
Best on the pitch
C. Trimmel
M · Union
8.70
· 51 pass
P. Wimmer
F · VfL
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Oliver Burke
F · Union
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
G · VfL
7.90
· 33 pass
J. Mæhle
M · VfL
7.50
1 👟
· 33 pass
C. Eriksen
M · VfL
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
Union Berlin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Rønnow | G | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Leite | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Querfeld | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Danilho Doekhi | D | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 43% | — | — | — |
| T. Rothe | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Kemlein | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| R. Khedira | M | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Trimmel | M | 88 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilyas Ansah | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ilić | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Burke | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Schäfer | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Köhn | D | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Haberer | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Livan Burcu | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Vavro | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| J. Belocian | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 5 | 1 | — |
| A. Zehnter | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinicius Souza | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Eriksen | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mæhle | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Wimmer | F | 71 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 89 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Daghim | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Union Berlin win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.