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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 15:30 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Union Berlin
#11 · 39 pts
1 – 2
Final score
VfL Wolfsburg
#16 · 29 pts
O. Burke (ast. A. Ilic) 85'
11' (ast. J. Maehle) P. Wimmer
46' (ast. C. Eriksen) D. Pejcinovic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Berlin a 49% win probability (draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%). The final result was Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.19
2
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
4
5
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
11'
ast. J. Maehle · P. Wimmer⚽
46'
ast. C. Eriksen · D. Pejcinovic⚽
58'
J. Belocian
↕ T. Rothe / D. Kohn
68'
↕ I. Ansah / T. Skarke
68'
71'
A. Daghim / M. Amoura ↕
71'
Y. Gerhardt / P. Wimmer ↕
↕ A. Kemlein / A. Schafer
75'
R. Khedira
78'
⚽O. Burke · ast. A. Ilic
85'
86'
M. Arnold / C. Eriksen ↕
↕ R. Khedira / L. Burcu
87'
↕ C. Trimmel / J. Haberer
88'
90'+3
M. Jenz / A. Zehnter ↕
90'+3
K. Shiogai / D. Pejcinovic ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.77%
Union
25.7%
X
24.53%
VfL ←
we assigned to the actual result (VfL Wolfsburg) 24.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
1.53
1.84
+0.31
VfL
1.13
0.19
-0.94
Union Berlin dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.19). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 34 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 34 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 34 26
Lineups
Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-4-3
1
F. Ronnow 89' G 6.70
4 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite 89' D 6.70
14 L. Querfeld L. Querfeld 89' D 7.00
5 Danilho Doekhi Danilho Doekhi 89' D 5.90
15 Tom Alexander Rothe Tom Alexander Rothe 68' M 6.30
6 Aljoscha Kemlein Aljoscha Kemlein 75' M 6.60
8 R. Khedira R. Khedira 87' M 6.00
28 C. Trimmel C. Trimmel 88' M 8.70
10 Ilyas Ansah Ilyas Ansah 68' F 6.90
23 A. Ilić A. Ilić 1 👟 89' F 6.60
7 Oliver Burke Oliver Burke 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
Bench
33 Alex Král Alex Král M
13 A. Schäfer A. Schäfer 14' M 6.30
39 D. Köhn D. Köhn 21' D 6.50
19 J. Haberer J. Haberer 1' M
18 Josip Juranović Josip Juranović D
9 Livan Burcu Livan Burcu 2' F
34 Stanley Nsoki Stanley Nsoki D
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-4-2-1
1
89' G 7.90
4 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis 89' D 6.70
3
Denis Vavro 89' D 7.20
6 Jeanuël Belocian Jeanuël Belocian 89' D 7.20
25 Aaron Zehnter Aaron Zehnter 89' M 6.20
5 Vinicius Souza Vinicius Souza 89' M 7.20
24 C. Eriksen C. Eriksen 1 👟 86' M 7.20
21 J. Mæhle J. Mæhle 1 👟 89' M 7.50
9 M. Amoura M. Amoura 71' F 6.50
39 Patrick Wimmer Patrick Wimmer 1 ⚽ 71' F 8.00
17 D. Pejčinović D. Pejčinović 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.50
Bench
11 Adam Daghim Adam Daghim 18' F 6.70
18 Jonas Adjei Adjetey Jonas Adjei Adjetey D
7 K. Shiogai K. Shiogai F
10 Lovro Majer Lovro Majer M
26 Saël Kumbedi Saël Kumbedi D
Best on the pitch
C. Trimmel
C. Trimmel
M · Union
8.70
· 51 pass
Patrick Wimmer
Patrick Wimmer
F · VfL
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
Oliver Burke
Oliver Burke
F · Union
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
G · VfL
7.90
· 33 pass
J. Mæhle
J. Mæhle
M · VfL
7.50
1 👟
· 33 pass
C. Eriksen
C. Eriksen
M · VfL
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 38 pass
Union Berlin Union Berlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Ronnow G 89 6.70 — — — 25 17% — — —
Diogo Leite D 89 6.70 — — 1 57 44% 1 — —
L. Querfeld D 89 7.00 — — — 68 59% — — —
Danilho Doekhi D 89 5.90 — — 3 56 43% — — —
Tom Alexander Rothe M 68 6.30 — — 1 22 15% — — —
Aljoscha Kemlein M 75 6.60 — — — 43 34% — — —
R. Khedira M 87 6.00 — — 2 19 13% — 1 —
C. Trimmel M 88 8.70 — — — 51 40% 1 — —
Ilyas Ansah F 68 6.90 — — 4 9 5% 2 — —
A. Ilić F 89 6.60 — 1 2 12 6% — — —
Oliver Burke F 89 7.90 1 — 1 23 19% 1 — —
A. Schäfer M 14 6.30 — — 1 5 3% — — —
D. Köhn D 21 6.50 — — 1 6 3% — — —
J. Haberer M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Livan Burcu F 2 — — — — — — — — —
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 7.90 — — — 33 13% — — —
K. Koulierakis D 89 6.70 — — — 45 34% 2 — —
Denis Vavro D 89 7.20 — — — 43 35% — — —
Jeanuël Belocian D 89 7.20 — — — 46 42% 5 1 —
Aaron Zehnter M 89 6.20 — — 1 31 21% 1 — —
Vinicius Souza M 89 7.20 — — — 39 29% 3 — —
C. Eriksen M 86 7.20 — 1 1 38 28% 1 — —
J. Mæhle M 89 7.50 — 1 — 33 27% 3 — —
M. Amoura F 71 6.50 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
Patrick Wimmer F 71 8.00 1 — 1 29 20% 3 — —
D. Pejčinović F 89 6.50 1 — 1 27 18% — — —
Adam Daghim F 18 6.70 — — 1 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Union Berlin win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.