← Ligue Professionnelle 1

USM Alger - Paradou AC

Ligue Professionnelle 1 May 04, 2026 21:00
#11 · 30 pts
vs
#14 · 24 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.83%
Win
USM Alger
39.11%
Draw
20.06%
Win
Paradou AC
0.81
Expected xG
0.49

The ForzaPitch prediction gives USM Alger a 40% win probability, against 39% for a draw and 20% for Paradou AC. Expected goals are 0.8 for USM Alger and 0.5 for Paradou AC (total 1.3), with a 55% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 27.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, USM Alger have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paradou AC.

Score Matrix
↕ USM Alger Paradou AC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 27.1% 13.3% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 22.1% 10.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2%
3 2.4% 1.2% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1%
Recent form
D Mostaganem 1–1
L ASO Chlef 2–1
L MC Alger 1–0
L JS Kabylie 0–1
W ES Setif 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 51%
W CS Constantine 5–3
W El Bayadh 0–1
D JS Saoura 1–1
L Khenchela 1–0
L CR Belouizdad 0–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
USM Alger USM Alger
Attack
16
Defence
78
Form
39
Paradou AC Paradou AC
Attack
33
Defence
51
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
USM Alger
0
Draw
0
Paradou AC
W 6 Sep 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1 1–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 MC Alger MC Alger 28 62
2 JS Saoura JS Saoura 28 51
3 MC Oran MC Oran 28 48
4 CR Belouizdad CR Belouizdad 25 45
5 Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou 28 44
6 CS Constantine CS Constantine 28 42
7 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 28 41
8 Ben Aknoun Ben Aknoun 26 38
9 Khenchela Khenchela 27 37
10 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 28 34
11 USM Alger USM Alger 23 30
12 MB Rouisset MB Rouisset 27 30
13 ES Setif ES Setif 27 30
14 Paradou AC Paradou AC 27 24
15 Mostaganem Mostaganem 28 18
16 El Bayadh El Bayadh 28 15
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
The model gives USM Alger a 40% win probability, 39% for a draw, and 20% for an Paradou AC win.
How many goals are expected in USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
Expected goals: USM Alger 0.8, Paradou AC 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 55%.
What is the most likely score in USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 27.1%.