USM Alger - Paradou AC
Ligue Professionnelle 1
May 04, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.83%
Win
USM Alger
39.11%
Draw
20.06%
Win
Paradou AC
0.81
0.49
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives USM Alger a 40% win probability, against 39% for a draw and 20% for Paradou AC. Expected goals are 0.8 for USM Alger and 0.5 for Paradou AC (total 1.3), with a 55% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 27.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, USM Alger have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paradou AC.
Score Matrix
↕ USM Alger
Paradou AC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27.1% | 13.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 22.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
USM Alger
Attack
16
Defence
78
Form
39
Paradou AC
Attack
33
Defence
51
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
W
6 Sep 2025
1–0
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MC Alger
|
28 | 62 |
| 2 |
JS Saoura
|
28 | 51 |
| 3 |
MC Oran
|
28 | 48 |
| 4 |
CR Belouizdad
|
25 | 45 |
| 5 |
Olympique Akbou
|
28 | 44 |
| 6 |
CS Constantine
|
28 | 42 |
| 7 |
JS Kabylie
|
28 | 41 |
| 8 |
Ben Aknoun
|
26 | 38 |
| 9 |
Khenchela
|
27 | 37 |
| 10 |
ASO Chlef
|
28 | 34 |
| 11 |
USM Alger
|
23 | 30 |
| 12 |
MB Rouisset
|
27 | 30 |
| 13 |
ES Setif
|
27 | 30 |
| 14 |
Paradou AC
|
27 | 24 |
| 15 |
Mostaganem
|
28 | 18 |
| 16 |
El Bayadh
|
28 | 15 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
The model gives USM Alger a 40% win probability, 39% for a draw, and 20% for an Paradou AC win.
How many goals are expected in USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
Expected goals: USM Alger 0.8, Paradou AC 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 55%.
What is the most likely score in USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 27.1%.