V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka — pre-match prediction — J1 League — April 25, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 April 25, 2026 13:30

V-varen Nagasaki

#10 · 19 pts

1 – 1

Final score

pens 5–6

Gamba Osaka

#3 · 25 pts

Matheus Jesus 78' (pen.)

Matheus Jesus 120'+1 (pen.)

Dudu Giusti 120'+2 (pen.)

M. Sekiguchi 120'+3 (pen.)

R. Yamasaki 120'+4 (pen.)

I. Arai 120'+5 (pen.)

80' (ast. R. Yamashita) D. Hummet

(pen.) 120'+1 H. Minamino

(pen.) 120'+2 T. Yamamoto

(pen.) 120'+3 R. Yamashita

(pen.) 120'+4 T. Usami

(pen.) 120'+5 D. Hummet

(pen.) 120'+6 S. Nakano

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gamba Osaka a 47% win probability (draw 27%, V-varen Nagasaki 24%). The final result was V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka. In 1 previous meetings, V-varen Nagasaki have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gamba Osaka.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

13'

R. Yamashita / Welton ↕

38'

T. Usami / I. Jebali ↕

46'

T. Yamamoto / S. Abe ↕

↕ Thiago / Matheus Jesus

63'

↕ N. Campbell / T. Matsumoto

63'

⚽Matheus Jesus (pen.)

78'

80'

ast. R. Yamashita · D. Hummet⚽

81'

S. Nakano / R. Hatsuse ↕

81'

H. Minamino / R. Meshino ↕

Dudu Giusti

85'

↕ M. Hasegawa / R. Yamasaki

87'

↕ R. Yamada / Y. Iwasaki

87'

⚽Matheus Jesus (pen.)

120'+1

(pen.) H. Minamino⚽

⚽Dudu Giusti (pen.)

120'+2

(pen.) T. Yamamoto⚽

⚽M. Sekiguchi (pen.)

120'+3

(pen.) R. Yamashita⚽

⚽R. Yamasaki (pen.)

120'+4

(pen.) T. Usami⚽

⚽I. Arai (pen.)

120'+5

(pen.) D. Hummet⚽

⚽S. Yoneda (missed pen.)

120'+6

(pen.) S. Nakano⚽

Pre-match prediction

24.97%

V-varen

27.72%

X ←

47.31%

Gamba

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.72% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

V-varen

0.91

—

Gamba

1.71

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nagoya Grampus	16	31
1	Nagoya Grampus	16	31
1	Kashima	16	39
1	Kashima	16	39
2	Vissel Kobe	15	28
2	Vissel Kobe	16	31
2	FC Tokyo	16	35
2	FC Tokyo	16	35
3	Machida Zelvia	16	33
3	Gamba Osaka	17	25
3	Machida Zelvia	14	28
3	Gamba Osaka	17	25
4	Tokyo Verdy	16	25
4	Cerezo Osaka	16	25
4	Cerezo Osaka	16	25
4	Urawa	16	24
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	16	24
5	Urawa	16	24
5	Tokyo Verdy	15	24
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	16	24
6	Shimizu S-pulse	16	24
6	Shimizu S-pulse	16	24
6	Kawasaki Frontale	16	23
6	Kawasaki Frontale	16	23
7	Mito Hollyhock	16	18
7	Fagiano Okayama	16	23
7	Mito Hollyhock	16	18
7	Fagiano Okayama	16	23
8	Avispa Fukuoka	17	21
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	16	17
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	16	17
8	Avispa Fukuoka	17	21
9	Kashiwa Reysol	16	14
9	Kyoto Sanga	16	20
9	Kyoto Sanga	15	20
9	Kashiwa Reysol	16	14
10	JEF United Chiba	16	12
10	V-varen Nagasaki	16	19
10	JEF United Chiba	15	12
10	V-varen Nagasaki	16	19

Lineups

V-varen Nagasaki 4-2-3-1

G 7.60

S. Yoneda D 6.50

Dudu Giusti 1 ⚽ D 6.00

I. Arai 1 ⚽ D 6.70

H. Onaga D 6.30

H. Yamaguchi M 6.50

R. Yamada 87' M 6.50

N. Campbell 63' M 6.20

M. Hasegawa 87' M 7.50

M. Sekiguchi 1 ⚽ M 7.00

Thiago 63' F 6.60

Bench

K. Takahata D

Matheus Jesus 2 ⚽ 33' M 7.30

R. Yamasaki 1 ⚽ 9' F 6.30

T. Matsumoto 33' M 7.70

T. Sawada M

Y. Iwasaki 9' F 6.30

Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1

G 8.70

Ryo Hatsuse 81' D 6.20

Shinnosuke Nakatani D 6.20

D 6.60

Takeru Kishimoto D 7.20

R. Mito M 7.00

S. Abe 45' M 6.60

Ryotaro Meshino 81' M 6.60

I. Jebali 38' M 6.30

Welton 13' M 6.60

Deniz Hümmet 2 ⚽ F 8.50

Bench

Genta Miura D

Harumi Minamino 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.60

Kanji Okunuki M

Masaaki Higashiguchi G

R. Yamashita 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' F 7.50

Shinya Nakano 1 ⚽ 15' D 6.30

Takashi Usami 1 ⚽ 58' F 6.20

Takato Yamamoto 1 ⚽ 51' M 6.60

Tokuma Suzuki M

Best on the pitch

G · Gamba

8.70

· 27 pass

Deniz Hümmet

F · Gamba

8.50

2 ⚽

4 shots · 17 pass

T. Matsumoto

M · V-varen

7.70

· 11 pass

G · V-varen

7.60

· 22 pass

R. Yamashita

F · Gamba

7.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 24 pass

M. Hasegawa

M · V-varen

7.50

2 shots · 21 pass

V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	7.60	—	—	—	22	10%	—	—	—
S. Yoneda	D	96	6.50	—	—	—	27	17%	—	—	—
Dudu Giusti	D	96	6.00	1	—	—	42	20%	2	1	—
I. Arai	D	96	6.70	1	—	1	28	19%	—	—	—
H. Onaga	D	96	6.30	—	—	1	29	21%	—	—	—
H. Yamaguchi	M	96	6.50	—	—	1	27	22%	2	—	—
R. Yamada	M	87	6.50	—	—	—	35	30%	1	—	—
N. Campbell	M	63	6.20	—	—	1	20	16%	1	—	—
M. Hasegawa	M	87	7.50	—	—	2	21	16%	2	—	—
M. Sekiguchi	M	96	7.00	1	—	1	21	15%	2	—	—
Thiago	F	63	6.60	—	—	—	12	5%	2	—	—
Matheus Jesus	M	33	7.30	2	—	1	8	5%	—	—	—
R. Yamasaki	F	9	6.30	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
T. Matsumoto	M	33	7.70	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
Y. Iwasaki	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Gamba Osaka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	8.70	—	—	—	27	13%	—	—	—
Ryo Hatsuse	D	81	6.20	—	—	—	27	20%	—	—	—
Shinnosuke Nakatani	D	96	6.20	—	—	1	54	41%	—	—	—
	D	96	6.60	—	—	—	68	54%	—	—	—
Takeru Kishimoto	D	96	7.20	—	—	1	49	35%	2	—	—
R. Mito	M	96	7.00	—	—	—	35	28%	3	—	—
S. Abe	M	45	6.60	—	—	—	28	20%	5	—	—
Ryotaro Meshino	M	81	6.60	—	—	1	11	9%	2	—	—
I. Jebali	M	38	6.30	—	—	1	11	7%	—	—	—
Welton	M	13	6.60	—	—	—	2	2%	1	—	—
Deniz Hümmet	F	96	8.50	2	—	4	17	13%	4	—	—
Harumi Minamino	F	15	6.60	1	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
R. Yamashita	F	83	7.50	1	1	2	24	18%	2	—	—
Shinya Nakano	D	15	6.30	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Takashi Usami	F	58	6.20	1	—	1	15	11%	—	—	—
Takato Yamamoto	M	51	6.60	1	—	—	22	18%	3	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

The final score was V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka.

What did the model predict before V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

The model assigned 24% probability to a V-varen Nagasaki win, 27% to a draw, and 47% to an Gamba Osaka win.