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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 April 25, 2026 11:30
V-varen Nagasaki
#14 · 7 pts
1 – 1
Final score
pens 5–6
Gamba Osaka
#15 · 6 pts
Matheus Jesus 78' (pen.)
Matheus Jesus 120'+1 (pen.)
Dudu Giusti 120'+2 (pen.)
M. Sekiguchi 120'+3 (pen.)
R. Yamasaki 120'+4 (pen.)
I. Arai 120'+5 (pen.)
80' (ast. R. Yamashita) D. Hummet
(pen.) 120'+1 H. Minamino
(pen.) 120'+2 T. Yamamoto
(pen.) 120'+3 R. Yamashita
(pen.) 120'+4 T. Usami
(pen.) 120'+5 D. Hummet
(pen.) 120'+6 S. Nakano
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gamba Osaka a 47% win probability (draw 27%, V-varen Nagasaki 24%). The final result was V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka. In 2 previous meetings, V-varen Nagasaki have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Gamba Osaka.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
6
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
8
12
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
13'
R. Yamashita / Welton ↕
38'
T. Usami / I. Jebali ↕
46'
T. Yamamoto / S. Abe ↕
↕ Thiago / Matheus Jesus
63'
↕ N. Campbell / T. Matsumoto
63'
⚽Matheus Jesus (pen.)
78'
80'
ast. R. Yamashita · D. Hummet⚽
81'
S. Nakano / R. Hatsuse ↕
81'
H. Minamino / R. Meshino ↕
Dudu Giusti
85'
↕ M. Hasegawa / R. Yamasaki
87'
↕ R. Yamada / Y. Iwasaki
87'
⚽Matheus Jesus (pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.) H. Minamino⚽
⚽Dudu Giusti (pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.) T. Yamamoto⚽
⚽M. Sekiguchi (pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.) R. Yamashita⚽
⚽R. Yamasaki (pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.) T. Usami⚽
⚽I. Arai (pen.)
120'+5
120'+5
(pen.) D. Hummet⚽
⚽S. Yoneda (missed pen.)
120'+6
120'+6
(pen.) S. Nakano⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.97%
V-varen
27.72%
X ←
47.31%
Gamba
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
V-varen
0.91
—
—
Gamba
1.71
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 7 17
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 7 16
3 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 7 15
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 14
5 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 7 14
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 7 12
7 Kashima Kashima 7 12
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 7 11
9 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 6 10
10 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 7 10
11 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 7 9
12 Urawa Urawa 6 9
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 7 7
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 7 7
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 7 6
16 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 7 6
17 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 7 5
18 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 7 4
19 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 6 3
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 6 3
Lineups
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.60
23
Yoneda Shunya D 6.50
4 Eduardo Eduardo 1 ⚽ D 6.00
29 I. Arai I. Arai 1 ⚽ D 6.70
22 H. Onaga H. Onaga D 6.30
5 H. Yamaguchi H. Yamaguchi M 6.50
24 R. Yamada R. Yamada 87' M 6.50
11 N. Campbell N. Campbell 63' M 6.20
41 M. Hasegawa M. Hasegawa 87' M 7.50
3 M. Sekiguchi M. Sekiguchi 1 ⚽ M 7.00
9 Thiago Santana Thiago Santana 63' F 6.60
Bench
17 K. Takahata K. Takahata D
10 Matheus Jesus Matheus Jesus 2 ⚽ 33' M 7.30
18 R. Yamasaki R. Yamasaki 1 ⚽ 9' F 6.30
34
Tenmu Matsumoto 33' M 7.70
19 T. Sawada T. Sawada M
8 Y. Iwasaki Y. Iwasaki 9' F 6.30
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
18
G 8.70
21 R. Hatsuse R. Hatsuse 81' D 6.20
4 S. Nakatani S. Nakatani D 6.20
19
D 6.60
15 T. Kishimoto T. Kishimoto D 7.20
27 R. Mito R. Mito M 7.00
13 S. Abe S. Abe 45' M 6.60
8 R. Meshino R. Meshino 81' M 6.60
11 I. Jebali I. Jebali 38' M 6.30
97 Welton Felipe Welton Felipe 13' M 6.60
23 D. Hümmet D. Hümmet 2 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
5 Genta Miura Genta Miura D
42 H. Minamino H. Minamino 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.60
44 Kanji Okunuki Kanji Okunuki M
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi G
17 R. Yamashita R. Yamashita 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' F 7.50
47 S. Nakano S. Nakano 1 ⚽ 15' D 6.30
36 Takato Yamamoto Takato Yamamoto 1 ⚽ 51' M 6.60
16 T. Suzuki T. Suzuki M
7 T. Usami T. Usami 1 ⚽ 58' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
G · Gamba
8.70
· 27 pass
D. Hümmet
D. Hümmet
F · Gamba
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
Tenmu Matsumoto
M · V-varen
7.70
· 11 pass
G · V-varen
7.60
· 22 pass
R. Yamashita
R. Yamashita
F · Gamba
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 24 pass
M. Hasegawa
M. Hasegawa
M · V-varen
7.50
2 shots · 21 pass
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.60 — — — 22 10% — — —
Yoneda Shunya D 96 6.50 — — — 27 17% — — —
Eduardo D 96 6.00 1 — — 42 20% 2 1 —
I. Arai D 96 6.70 1 — 1 28 19% — — —
H. Onaga D 96 6.30 — — 1 29 21% — — —
H. Yamaguchi M 96 6.50 — — 1 27 22% 2 — —
R. Yamada M 87 6.50 — — — 35 30% 1 — —
N. Campbell M 63 6.20 — — 1 20 16% 1 — —
M. Hasegawa M 87 7.50 — — 2 21 16% 2 — —
M. Sekiguchi M 96 7.00 1 — 1 21 15% 2 — —
Thiago Santana F 63 6.60 — — — 12 5% 2 — —
Matheus Jesus M 33 7.30 2 — 1 8 5% — — —
R. Yamasaki F 9 6.30 1 — — — — — — —
Tenmu Matsumoto M 33 7.70 — — — 11 9% — — —
Y. Iwasaki F 9 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 8.70 — — — 27 13% — — —
R. Hatsuse D 81 6.20 — — — 27 20% — — —
S. Nakatani D 96 6.20 — — 1 54 41% — — —
D 96 6.60 — — — 68 54% — — —
T. Kishimoto D 96 7.20 — — 1 49 35% 2 — —
R. Mito M 96 7.00 — — — 35 28% 3 — —
S. Abe M 45 6.60 — — — 28 20% 5 — —
R. Meshino M 81 6.60 — — 1 11 9% 2 — —
I. Jebali M 38 6.30 — — 1 11 7% — — —
Welton Felipe M 13 6.60 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
D. Hümmet F 96 8.50 2 — 4 17 13% 4 — —
H. Minamino F 15 6.60 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
R. Yamashita F 83 7.50 1 1 2 24 18% 2 — —
S. Nakano D 15 6.30 1 — — — — — — —
Takato Yamamoto M 51 6.60 1 — — 22 18% 3 — —
T. Usami F 58 6.20 1 — 1 15 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?
The final score was V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka.
What did the model predict before V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?
The model assigned 24% probability to a V-varen Nagasaki win, 27% to a draw, and 47% to an Gamba Osaka win.