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La Liga · Regular Season - 32 April 25, 2026 20:30
Valencia
#11 · 43 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Girona
#15 · 40 pts
L. Ramazani (ast. J. Guerra) 50'
U. Sadiq (ast. J. Gaya) 59'
63' (ast. A. Frances) J. Roca

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Girona 20%). The final result was Valencia 2–1 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Girona.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
1.46
Actual xG
1.51
2
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
4
20
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Renzo Saravia
38'
41'
A. Moreno
⚽L. Ramazani · ast. J. Guerra
50'
⚽U. Sadiq · ast. J. Gaya
59'
62'
J. Roca / T. Lemar ↕
62'
A. Frances / A. Moreno ↕
62'
B. Gil / C. Echeverri ↕
63'
ast. A. Frances · J. Roca⚽
↕ J. Guerra / F. Ugrinic
65'
↕ L. Beltran / D. Lopez
65'
69'
C. Stuani / A. Ounahi ↕
69'
H. Rincon / D. Blind ↕
↕ U. Sadiq / H. Duro
71'
↕ Renzo Saravia / U. Nunez
71'
↕ L. Ramazani / A. Almeida
85'
90'+3
C. Stuani
G. Rodriguez
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
54.6%
Valencia ←
24.4%
X
20.99%
Girona
we assigned to the actual result (Valencia) 54.6% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.70
1.46
-0.24
Girona
0.82
1.51
+0.69
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.51). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 Stole Dimitrievski Stole Dimitrievski G 7.30
14 José Luis Gayà José Luis Gayà 1 👟 D 6.90
18
D 7.30
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.70
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia 71' D 6.60
17 Largie Ramazani Largie Ramazani 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.90
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez M 6.90
8 Javier Guerra Javier Guerra 1 👟 65' M 6.60
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja M 7.00
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 1 ⚽ 71' F 6.90
15 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 65' F 6.30
Bench
10 André Almeida André Almeida 15' M 6.50
16 Diego López Diego López 25' F 6.90
23 Filip Ugrinić Filip Ugrinić 25' M 7.90
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 19' F 6.50
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 19' D 6.90
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13
G 7.20
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno 61' D 6.20
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind 69' D 6.50
12 Vitor Reis Vitor Reis D 6.90
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez D 6.30
20 Axel Witsel Axel Witsel M 7.50
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín M 6.30
18 Azzedine Ounahi Azzedine Ounahi 69' M 6.60
11 Thomas Lemar Thomas Lemar 61' M 7.20
15 Viktor Tsygankov Viktor Tsygankov M 6.20
14 Claudio Echeverri Claudio Echeverri 61' F 6.70
Bench
7 Cristhian Stuani Cristhian Stuani 21' F 6.30
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán M
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón 21' D 7.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca 1 ⚽ 29' M 7.60
Best on the pitch
Hugo Rincón
Hugo Rincón
D · Girona
7.90
· 17 pass
Filip Ugrinić
Filip Ugrinić
M · Valencia
7.90
· 18 pass
Largie Ramazani
Largie Ramazani
M · Valencia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Joel Roca
Joel Roca
M · Girona
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel
M · Girona
7.50
· 76 pass
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
7.30
· 28 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stole Dimitrievski G 90 7.30 — — — 28 19% — — —
José Luis Gayà D 90 6.90 — 1 — 29 22% 1 — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 34 33% 4 — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.70 — — — 32 31% — — —
Renzo Saravia D 71 6.60 — — — 24 22% 1 1 —
Largie Ramazani M 84 7.90 1 — 1 15 8% 3 — —
Guido Rodríguez M 90 6.90 — — 2 32 25% 1 1 —
Javier Guerra M 65 6.60 — 1 — 28 19% — — —
Luis Rioja M 90 7.00 — — — 25 22% 3 — —
Umar Sadiq F 71 6.90 1 — 3 11 8% 1 — —
L. Beltrán F 65 6.30 — — 1 17 12% 2 — —
André Almeida M 15 6.50 — — — 5 1% — — —
Diego López F 25 6.90 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
Filip Ugrinić M 25 7.90 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 19 6.50 — — — 5 — 1 — —
Unai Núñez D 19 6.90 — — — 6 6% — — —
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 23 20% — — —
Álex Moreno D 61 6.20 — — — 18 14% — 1 —
Daley Blind D 69 6.50 — — — 62 54% 2 — —
Vitor Reis D 90 6.90 — — — 73 68% 4 — —
Arnau Martínez D 90 6.30 — — 1 77 65% 2 — —
Axel Witsel M 90 7.50 — — — 76 70% 2 — —
Iván Martín M 90 6.30 — — — 50 45% 2 — —
Azzedine Ounahi M 69 6.60 — — — 36 30% 2 — —
Thomas Lemar M 61 7.20 — — — 28 25% 4 — —
Viktor Tsygankov M 90 6.20 — — — 27 18% 1 — —
Claudio Echeverri F 61 6.70 — — 1 13 10% — — —
Cristhian Stuani F 21 6.30 — — 2 6 3% — 1 —
Hugo Rincón D 21 7.90 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
Joel Roca M 29 7.60 1 — 1 11 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Girona?
The final score was Valencia 2–1 Girona.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Girona?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Valencia win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Girona win.