L. Ramazani
(ast. J. Guerra)
50'
U. Sadiq
(ast. J. Gaya)
59'
63'
(ast. A. Frances)
J. Roca
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Girona 20%). The final result was Valencia 2–1 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Girona.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
1.46
Actual xG
1.51
2
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
4
20
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Renzo Saravia
38'
41'
A. Moreno
⚽L. Ramazani
· ast. J. Guerra
50'
⚽U. Sadiq
· ast. J. Gaya
59'
62'
J. Roca
/
T. Lemar
62'
A. Frances
/
A. Moreno
62'
B. Gil
/
C. Echeverri
63'
ast. A. Frances ·
J. Roca⚽
J. Guerra
/ F. Ugrinic
65'
L. Beltran
/ D. Lopez
65'
69'
C. Stuani
/
A. Ounahi
69'
H. Rincon
/
D. Blind
U. Sadiq
/ H. Duro
71'
Renzo Saravia
/ U. Nunez
71'
L. Ramazani
/ A. Almeida
85'
90'+3
C. Stuani
G. Rodriguez
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
54.6%
Valencia ←
24.4%
X
20.99%
Girona
we assigned to the actual result (Valencia)
54.6%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
1.46
-0.24
0.82
1.51
+0.69
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Dimitrievski
G
S. Dimitrievski
G
14
José Gayà
1 👟
D
José Gayà
1 👟
D
18
D
5
César Tárrega
D
César Tárrega
D
20
Renzo Saravia
71'
D
Renzo Saravia
71'
D
17
L. Ramazani
1 ⚽
84'
M
L. Ramazani
1 ⚽
84'
M
2
G. Rodríguez
M
G. Rodríguez
M
8
Javi Guerra
1 👟
65'
M
Javi Guerra
1 👟
65'
M
11
Luis Rioja
M
Luis Rioja
M
6
Umar Sadiq
1 ⚽
71'
F
Umar Sadiq
1 ⚽
71'
F
15
L. Beltrán
65'
F
L. Beltrán
65'
F
Bench
10
André Almeida
15'
M
André Almeida
15'
M
16
Diego López
25'
F
Diego López
25'
F
23
F. Ugrinic
25'
M
F. Ugrinic
25'
M
9
Hugo Duro
19'
F
Hugo Duro
19'
F
4
Unai Núñez
19'
D
Unai Núñez
19'
D
13
G
24
Álex Moreno
61'
D
Álex Moreno
61'
D
17
D. Blind
69'
D
D. Blind
69'
D
12
Vitor Nunes
D
Vitor Nunes
D
4
Arnau Martínez
D
Arnau Martínez
D
20
A. Witsel
M
A. Witsel
M
23
Iván Martín
M
Iván Martín
M
18
A. Ounahi
69'
M
A. Ounahi
69'
M
11
T. Lemar
61'
M
T. Lemar
61'
M
15
V. Tsygankov
M
V. Tsygankov
M
14
C. Echeverri
61'
F
C. Echeverri
61'
F
Bench
7
C. Stuani
21'
F
C. Stuani
21'
F
8
Fran Beltrán
M
Fran Beltrán
M
2
Hugo Rincón
21'
D
Hugo Rincón
21'
D
3
Joel Roca
1 ⚽
29'
M
Joel Roca
1 ⚽
29'
M
Best on the pitch
Hugo Rincón
D · Girona
7.90
· 17 pass
F. Ugrinic
M · Valencia
7.90
· 18 pass
L. Ramazani
M · Valencia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Joel Roca
M · Girona
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
A. Witsel
M · Girona
7.50
· 76 pass
S. Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
7.30
· 28 pass
Valencia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| José Gayà | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 4 | — | — | |
| César Tárrega | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Renzo Saravia | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Ramazani | M | 84 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Javi Guerra | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Luis Rioja | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 71 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Beltrán | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| André Almeida | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Diego López | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ugrinic | M | 25 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Unai Núñez | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Girona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Álex Moreno | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Blind | D | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitor Nunes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| Arnau Martínez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Witsel | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 76 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Iván Martín | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ounahi | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lemar | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Tsygankov | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Echeverri | F | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Stuani | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Rincón | D | 21 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Roca | M | 29 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Girona?
The final score was Valencia 2–1 Girona.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Girona?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Valencia win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Girona win.