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La Liga · Regular Season - 32 April 25, 2026 18:30 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia
#20 · 1 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Girona
L. Ramazani (ast. J. Guerra) 50'
U. Sadiq (ast. J. Gaya) 59'
63' (ast. A. Frances) J. Roca
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Girona 20%). The final result was Valencia 2–1 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Girona.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
1.46
Actual xG
1.51
2
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
4
20
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Renzo Saravia
38'
41'
A. Moreno
⚽L. Ramazani · ast. J. Guerra
50'
⚽U. Sadiq · ast. J. Gaya
59'
62'
J. Roca / T. Lemar ↕
62'
A. Frances / A. Moreno ↕
62'
B. Gil / C. Echeverri ↕
63'
ast. A. Frances · J. Roca⚽
↕ J. Guerra / F. Ugrinic
65'
↕ L. Beltran / D. Lopez
65'
69'
C. Stuani / A. Ounahi ↕
69'
H. Rincon / D. Blind ↕
↕ U. Sadiq / H. Duro
71'
↕ Renzo Saravia / U. Nunez
71'
↕ L. Ramazani / A. Almeida
85'
90'+3
C. Stuani
G. Rodriguez
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
54.6%
Valencia ←
24.4%
X
20.99%
Girona
we assigned to the actual result (Valencia) 54.6% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.70
1.46
-0.24
Girona
0.82
1.51
+0.69
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.51). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 5 15
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 5 12
3 Alaves Alaves 5 10
4 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
5 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 5 9
6 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 5 7
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
11 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
12 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
13 Levante Levante 5 5
14 Getafe Getafe 5 5
15 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 6 4
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 5 4
17 Malaga Malaga 5 3
18 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
19 Elche Elche 5 2
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 7.30
14 José Gayà José Gayà 1 👟 D 6.90
18
D 7.30
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.70
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia 71' D 6.60
17 L. Ramazani L. Ramazani 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.90
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez M 6.90
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra 1 👟 65' M 6.60
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja M 7.00
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 1 ⚽ 71' F 6.90
15 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 65' F 6.30
Bench
10 André Almeida André Almeida 15' M 6.50
16 Diego López Diego López 25' F 6.90
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic 25' M 7.90
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 19' F 6.50
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 19' D 6.90
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13
G 7.20
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno 61' D 6.20
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind 69' D 6.50
12 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 6.90
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez D 6.30
20 A. Witsel A. Witsel M 7.50
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín M 6.30
18 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi 69' M 6.60
11 T. Lemar T. Lemar 61' M 7.20
15 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov M 6.20
14 C. Echeverri C. Echeverri 61' F 6.70
Bench
7 C. Stuani C. Stuani 21' F 6.30
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán M
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón 21' D 7.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca 1 ⚽ 29' M 7.60
Best on the pitch
Hugo Rincón
Hugo Rincón
D · Girona
7.90
· 17 pass
F. Ugrinic
F. Ugrinic
M · Valencia
7.90
· 18 pass
L. Ramazani
L. Ramazani
M · Valencia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Joel Roca
Joel Roca
M · Girona
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
A. Witsel
A. Witsel
M · Girona
7.50
· 76 pass
S. Dimitrievski
S. Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
7.30
· 28 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 90 7.30 — — — 28 19% — — —
José Gayà D 90 6.90 — 1 — 29 22% 1 — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 34 33% 4 — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.70 — — — 32 31% — — —
Renzo Saravia D 71 6.60 — — — 24 22% 1 1 —
L. Ramazani M 84 7.90 1 — 1 15 8% 3 — —
Guido Rodríguez M 90 6.90 — — 2 32 25% 1 1 —
Javi Guerra M 65 6.60 — 1 — 28 19% — — —
Luis Rioja M 90 7.00 — — — 25 22% 3 — —
Umar Sadiq F 71 6.90 1 — 3 11 8% 1 — —
L. Beltrán F 65 6.30 — — 1 17 12% 2 — —
André Almeida M 15 6.50 — — — 5 1% — — —
Diego López F 25 6.90 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
F. Ugrinic M 25 7.90 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 19 6.50 — — — 5 — 1 — —
Unai Núñez D 19 6.90 — — — 6 6% — — —
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 23 20% — — —
Álex Moreno D 61 6.20 — — — 18 14% — 1 —
Daley Blind D 69 6.50 — — — 62 54% 2 — —
Vitor Nunes D 90 6.90 — — — 73 68% 4 — —
Arnau Martínez D 90 6.30 — — 1 77 65% 2 — —
A. Witsel M 90 7.50 — — — 76 70% 2 — —
Iván Martín M 90 6.30 — — — 50 45% 2 — —
A. Ounahi M 69 6.60 — — — 36 30% 2 — —
T. Lemar M 61 7.20 — — — 28 25% 4 — —
V. Tsygankov M 90 6.20 — — — 27 18% 1 — —
C. Echeverri F 61 6.70 — — 1 13 10% — — —
C. Stuani F 21 6.30 — — 2 6 3% — 1 —
Hugo Rincón D 21 7.90 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
Joel Roca M 29 7.60 1 — 1 11 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Girona?
The final score was Valencia 2–1 Girona.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Girona?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Valencia win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Girona win.