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Valerenga - Sarpsborg 08 FF

Eliteserien May 16, 2026 20:00
Valerenga
#11 · 8 pts
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
#9 · 8 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 10.4°C 💨 7 km/h 🌧️ 84% · Oslo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.94%
Win
Valerenga
30.17%
Draw
27.9%
Win
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.24
Expected xG
0.75

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Valerenga a 41% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Expected goals are 1.2 for Valerenga and 0.8 for Sarpsborg 08 FF (total 2.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.9% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Valerenga Sarpsborg 08 FF →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6% 10.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 16.9% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 10.5% 7.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Valerenga Valerenga
L Ham-Kam 1–0
D KFUM Oslo 2–2
L Molde 5–1
L Lillestrom 0–2
D Fredrikstad 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
W Fredrikstad 2–1
L Lillestrom 4–0
L KFUM Oslo 1–0
L Tromso 0–1
D Bodo/Glimt 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Valerenga Valerenga
Attack
34
Defence
59
Form
38
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Attack
32
Defence
62
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Tromso Tromso 10 23
2 Viking Viking 8 21
3 Lillestrom Lillestrom 8 16
4 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 7 13
5 Molde Molde 8 13
6 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 7 13
7 Sandefjord Sandefjord 8 13
8 Brann Brann 8 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 8 8
10 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 7 8
11 Valerenga Valerenga 8 8
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 8 8
13 Rosenborg Rosenborg 8 8
14 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 8 7
15 Start Start 8 4
16 Aalesund Aalesund 7 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The model gives Valerenga a 41% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 27% for an Sarpsborg 08 FF win.
How many goals are expected in Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Expected goals: Valerenga 1.2, Sarpsborg 08 FF 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.9%.