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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 9 May 16, 2026 20:00 Intility Arena, Oslo
Valerenga
#11 · 22 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Sarpsborg 08 FF
#9 · 24 pts
F. Thorvaldsen (ast. C. Lange) 6'
E. Sorensen 20'
M. Grundetjern (ast. P. Strand) 90'+1
11' (ast. S. Christiansen) D. Karlsbakk
28' (ast. C. Niyukuri) A. Nibe
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valerenga a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 27%). The final result was Valerenga 3–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF. In 1 previous meetings, Valerenga have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
7
Shots on target
10
2.01
Actual xG
1.59
8
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
0
13
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽F. Thorvaldsen · ast. C. Lange
6'
11'
ast. S. Christiansen · D. Karlsbakk⚽
⚽E. Sorensen (missed pen.)
20'
⚽E. Sorensen
20'
28'
ast. C. Niyukuri · A. Nibe⚽
A. Olsen
30'
↕ V. Hedenstad / H. Sjatil
46'
↕ L. Haren / M. Grundetjern
64'
↕ M. Westergaard / O. T. Holm
64'
80'
M. Odegaard / C. Niyukuri ↕
83'
B. Gueye / A. Nibe ↕
83'
N. Williams / D. Karlsbakk ↕
↕ E. Sorensen / P. Strand
83'
↕ C. Lange / F. Ambina
88'
⚽M. Grundetjern · ast. P. Strand
90'+1
90'+3
E. Wichne / A. Hiim ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.09%
Valerenga ←
29.21%
X
27.7%
Sarpsborg
we assigned to the actual result (Valerenga) 43.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valerenga
1.24
2.01
+0.77
Sarpsborg
0.75
1.59
+0.84
Valerenga dominated by xG (2.01 vs 1.59). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 19 47
2 Viking Viking 19 44
3 Tromso Tromso 19 35
4 Molde Molde 19 33
5 Lillestrom Lillestrom 20 32
6 Rosenborg Rosenborg 19 27
7 Brann Brann 19 26
8 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 19 26
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 19 24
10 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 19 23
11 Valerenga Valerenga 20 22
12 Sandefjord Sandefjord 19 20
13 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 19 19
14 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 19 19
15 Aalesund Aalesund 19 18
16 Start Start 19 13
Lineups
Valerenga Valerenga 4-4-2
1 O. Hedvall O. Hedvall G 8.50
2 K. Finnsson K. Finnsson D 6.70
37 I. Näsberg I. Näsberg D 6.60
4 Aaron Kiil Olsen Aaron Kiil Olsen D 6.30
6 V. Hedenstad V. Hedenstad 45' D 6.50
11 E. Sørensen E. Sørensen 1 ⚽ 83' M 6.20
28 M. Westergaard M. Westergaard 64' M 6.20
10 C. Lange C. Lange 1 👟 88' M 7.20
8 H. Bjørdal H. Bjørdal M 6.50
77 L. Haren L. Haren 64' F 6.90
26 Filip Thorvaldsen Filip Thorvaldsen 1 ⚽ F 9.00
Bench
29 Ambina Fidèle Brice Ambina Fidèle Brice 8' M 6.70
9 G. Rajkovic G. Rajkovic F
3 H. Sjåtil H. Sjåtil 51' D 6.60
5 K. Tshiembe K. Tshiembe D
21 Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng G
17 M. Grundetjern M. Grundetjern 1 ⚽ 32' M 7.70
15 O. Holm O. Holm 32' M 6.90
24 P. Strand P. Strand 1 👟 13' M 6.30
55 S. Jarl S. Jarl D
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1
1 Mamour Ndiaye Mamour Ndiaye G 6.90
21 A. Hiim A. Hiim D 6.50
2 Menno Koch Menno Koch D 6.30
4 B. Utvik B. Utvik D 7.60
12 C. Niyukuri C. Niyukuri 1 👟 80' D 6.60
6 A. Sher A. Sher M 6.60
8 S. Christiansen S. Christiansen 1 👟 M 7.60
33 A. Nibe A. Nibe 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.30
22 Victor Emanuel Halvorsen Victor Emanuel Halvorsen M 6.30
10 S. Sørli S. Sørli M 6.70
11 D. Karlsbakk D. Karlsbakk 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.00
Bench
18 Bop Gueye Bop Gueye 13' M 6.50
26 C. Kouakou C. Kouakou M
32 E. Wichne E. Wichne 6' D
87 L. Øy L. Øy G
5 Magnar Odegaard Magnar Odegaard 16' D 6.90
50 Magnus Mevik Eidal Magnus Mevik Eidal D
81 Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn M
17 N. Williams N. Williams 13' M 6.50
20 Peter Reinhardsen Peter Reinhardsen D
Best on the pitch
Filip Thorvaldsen
Filip Thorvaldsen
F · Valerenga
9.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
O. Hedvall
O. Hedvall
G · Valerenga
8.50
· 36 pass
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern
M · Valerenga
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
S. Christiansen
S. Christiansen
M · Sarpsborg
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
B. Utvik
B. Utvik
D · Sarpsborg
7.60
1 shots · 46 pass
A. Nibe
A. Nibe
M · Sarpsborg
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Valerenga Valerenga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Hedvall G 96 8.50 — — — 36 20% — — —
K. Finnsson D 96 6.70 — — — 52 40% 3 — —
I. Näsberg D 96 6.60 — — — 46 42% 1 — —
Aaron Kiil Olsen D 96 6.30 — — — 69 60% — 1 —
V. Hedenstad D 45 6.50 — — — 22 20% — — —
E. Sørensen M 83 6.20 1 — 3 22 12% 1 — —
M. Westergaard M 64 6.20 — — 2 21 20% — — —
C. Lange M 88 7.20 — 1 — 61 50% 1 — —
H. Bjørdal M 96 6.50 — — 3 36 26% 3 — —
L. Haren F 64 6.90 — — — 6 2% 2 — —
Filip Thorvaldsen F 96 9.00 1 — 2 24 22% 1 — —
Ambina Fidèle Brice M 8 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
H. Sjåtil D 51 6.60 — — — 18 17% — — —
M. Grundetjern M 32 7.70 1 — 1 10 7% — — —
O. Holm M 32 6.90 — — — 18 17% 1 — —
P. Strand M 13 6.30 — 1 1 3 2% — — —
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mamour Ndiaye G 96 6.90 — — — 25 13% — — —
A. Hiim D 90 6.50 — — 1 42 30% 1 — —
Menno Koch D 96 6.30 — — 1 31 27% 1 — —
B. Utvik D 96 7.60 — — 1 46 38% 1 — —
C. Niyukuri D 80 6.60 — 1 — 36 28% 1 — —
A. Sher M 96 6.60 — — — 52 41% 2 — —
S. Christiansen M 96 7.60 — 1 1 39 34% 3 — —
A. Nibe M 83 7.30 1 — 2 26 23% 2 — —
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen M 96 6.30 — — 3 24 16% — — —
S. Sørli M 96 6.70 — — 2 23 20% 2 — —
D. Karlsbakk F 83 7.00 1 — 2 18 10% — — —
Bop Gueye M 13 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
E. Wichne D 6 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Magnar Odegaard D 16 6.90 — — — 7 5% — — —
N. Williams M 13 6.50 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The final score was Valerenga 3–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What did the model predict before Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Valerenga win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Sarpsborg 08 FF win.