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MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 06:30
#1 · 29 pts
3 – 2
Final score
#12 · 14 pts
Model correct — prediction Vancouver Whitecaps
E. Ocampo (ast. Y. Takaoka) 6'
T. Muller 90'+1 (pen.)
S. Berhalter 90'+5
36' J. Mosquera
45'+2 (ast. J. Mosquera) D. Da Costa

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Portland Timbers 23%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portland Timbers.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
3
3.03
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
2
12
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
E. Ocampo · ast. Y. Takaoka
6'
36'
J. Mosquera
45'+2
ast. J. Mosquera · D. Da Costa
A. Jackson / E. Sabbi
46'
46'
B. Bye / J. Mosquera
65'
F. Mora / K. Kelsy
M. Laborda
68'
C. Sabaly / B. Caicedo
71'
77'
D. Chara / J. Ortiz
80'
D. Chara
82'
A. Aravena / K. Velde
J. Badwal / R. Elloumi
82'
T. Muller (pen.)
90'+1
S. Berhalter
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
52.48%
Vancouver ←
23.73%
X
23.79%
Portland
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps) 52.48% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vancouver
4.50
3.03
-1.47
Portland
0.68
0.51
-0.17
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (3.03 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
1
1 👟 G 6.60
28 Tate Johnson Tate Johnson D 6.90
2 Mathías Laborda Mathías Laborda D 6.20
33 Tristan Blackmon Tristan Blackmon D 7.00
18 Édier Ocampo Édier Ocampo 1 ⚽ D 7.30
16 Sebastian Berhalter Sebastian Berhalter 1 ⚽ M 8.50
59 Jeevan Badwal Jeevan Badwal 82' M 6.90
22 Aziel Jackson Aziel Jackson 45' M 6.30
13 Thomas Müller Thomas Müller 1 ⚽ M 7.30
7 Cheick Tidiane Sabaly Cheick Tidiane Sabaly 71' M 6.20
24 Brian White Brian White F 6.30
Bench
14 Bruno Quiñonez Bruno Quiñonez 19' F 7.20
11 Emmanuel Sabbi Emmanuel Sabbi 45' F 6.90
8 Oliver Larraz Oliver Larraz M
41
G 7.30
27 Jímer Fory Jímer Fory D 6.70
6 Alex Bonetig Alex Bonetig D 6.30
20 Finn Surman Finn Surman D 7.00
29 Juan Mosquera Juan Mosquera 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' D 8.20
10 David Pereira Da Costa David Pereira Da Costa 1 ⚽ M 7.50
30
M 7.30
80 Joao Ortíz Joao Ortíz 77' M 6.90
11 Antony Alves Antony Alves F 6.30
19 Kevin Kelsy Kevin Kelsy 65' F 6.20
99 Kristoffer Velde Kristoffer Velde 82' F 7.20
Bench
28 Alexander Aravena Alexander Aravena 8' F 6.30
21 Diego Chará Diego Chará 13' M 6.50
9 Felipe Mora Felipe Mora 25' F 6.60
23 Ian Smith Ian Smith D
Best on the pitch
Sebastian Berhalter
Sebastian Berhalter
M · Vancouver
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 96 pass
Juan Mosquera
Juan Mosquera
D · Portland
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
David Pereira Da Costa
David Pereira Da Costa
M · Portland
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
M · Portland
7.30
· 53 pass
G · Portland
7.30
· 34 pass
Thomas Müller
Thomas Müller
M · Vancouver
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 1 27 23%
Tate Johnson D 90 6.90 1 72 67% 2
Mathías Laborda D 90 6.20 1 75 74% 2 1
Tristan Blackmon D 90 7.00 90 77%
Édier Ocampo D 90 7.30 1 2 34 27% 2
Sebastian Berhalter M 90 8.50 1 1 96 82% 1
Jeevan Badwal M 82 6.90 56 53% 2
Aziel Jackson M 45 6.30 2 8 5%
Thomas Müller M 90 7.30 1 2 42 33%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly M 71 6.20 1 17 13% 2
Brian White F 90 6.30 3 16 13%
Bruno Quiñonez F 19 7.20 2 7 5% 1
Emmanuel Sabbi F 45 6.90 1 13 10%
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 34 18%
Jímer Fory D 90 6.70 50 42% 2
Alex Bonetig D 90 6.30 27 21%
Finn Surman D 90 7.00 26 22% 3
Juan Mosquera D 45 8.20 1 1 1 16 16% 1
David Pereira Da Costa M 90 7.50 1 1 22 21%
M 90 7.30 53 46% 4
Joao Ortíz M 77 6.90 43 41% 4
Antony Alves F 90 6.30 1 30 23%
Kevin Kelsy F 65 6.20 1 10 8% 2
Kristoffer Velde F 82 7.20 18 11% 2
Alexander Aravena F 8 6.30 2 2%
Diego Chará M 13 6.50 7 5% 1 1
Felipe Mora F 25 6.60 10 10% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Vancouver Whitecaps win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Portland Timbers win.