MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 04:30

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 50 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Portland Timbers

#10 · 32 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Vancouver Whitecaps

E. Ocampo (ast. Y. Takaoka) 6'

T. Muller 90'+1 (pen.)

S. Berhalter 90'+5

36' J. Mosquera

45'+2 (ast. J. Mosquera) D. Da Costa

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Portland Timbers 23%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portland Timbers.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

4

9

Shots on target

3

3.03

Actual xG

0.51

1

Saves

6

61%

Possession

39%

7

Corners

2

12

Tackles

20

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽E. Ocampo · ast. Y. Takaoka

6'

36'

J. Mosquera⚽

45'+2

ast. J. Mosquera · D. Da Costa⚽

↕ A. Jackson / E. Sabbi

46'

46'

B. Bye / J. Mosquera ↕

65'

F. Mora / K. Kelsy ↕

M. Laborda

68'

↕ C. Sabaly / B. Caicedo

71'

77'

D. Chara / J. Ortiz ↕

80'

D. Chara

82'

A. Aravena / K. Velde ↕

↕ J. Badwal / R. Elloumi

82'

⚽T. Muller (pen.)

90'+1

⚽S. Berhalter

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

52.48%

Vancouver ←

23.73%

X

23.79%

Portland

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps) 52.48% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Vancouver

4.50

3.03

-1.47

Portland

0.68

0.51

-0.17

Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (3.03 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Lineups

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1

1

1 👟 G 6.60

28 T. Johnson D 6.90

2 M. Laborda D 6.20

33 T. Blackmon D 7.00

18 Édier Ocampo 1 ⚽ D 7.30

16 S. Berhalter 1 ⚽ M 8.50

59 Jeevan Badwal 82' M 6.90

22 A. Jackson 45' M 6.30

13 T. Müller 1 ⚽ M 7.30

7 Cheick Tidiane Sabaly 71' M 6.20

24 B. White F 6.30

Bench

14 Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez 19' F 7.20

11 E. Sabbi 45' F 6.90

8 O. Larraz M

Portland Timbers 4-3-3

41

G 7.30

27 J. Fory D 6.70

6 A. Bonetig D 6.30

20 Finn Surman D 7.00

29 Juan Mosquera 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' D 8.20

10 David Pereira da Costa 1 ⚽ M 7.50

30

M 7.30

80 J. Ortiz 77' M 6.90

11 Antony F 6.30

19 Kevin Kelsy 65' F 6.20

99 K. Velde 82' F 7.20

Bench

28 A. Aravena 8' F 6.30

21 D. Chará 13' M 6.50

9 F. Mora 25' F 6.60

23 Ian Smith D

Best on the pitch

S. Berhalter

M · Vancouver

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 96 pass

Juan Mosquera

D · Portland

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 16 pass

David Pereira da Costa

M · Portland

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

M · Portland

7.30

· 53 pass

G · Portland

7.30

· 34 pass

T. Müller

M · Vancouver

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 42 pass

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	1	—	27	23%	—	—	—
T. Johnson	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	72	67%	2	—	—
M. Laborda	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	75	74%	2	1	—
T. Blackmon	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	90	77%	—	—	—
Édier Ocampo	D	90	7.30	1	—	2	34	27%	2	—	—
S. Berhalter	M	90	8.50	1	—	1	96	82%	1	—	—
Jeevan Badwal	M	82	6.90	—	—	—	56	53%	2	—	—
A. Jackson	M	45	6.30	—	—	2	8	5%	—	—	—
T. Müller	M	90	7.30	1	—	2	42	33%	—	—	—
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly	M	71	6.20	—	—	1	17	13%	2	—	—
B. White	F	90	6.30	—	—	3	16	13%	—	—	—
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez	F	19	7.20	—	—	2	7	5%	1	—	—
E. Sabbi	F	45	6.90	—	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	34	18%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	50	42%	2	—	—
A. Bonetig	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	—
Finn Surman	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	26	22%	3	—	—
Juan Mosquera	D	45	8.20	1	1	1	16	16%	1	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	90	7.50	1	—	1	22	21%	—	—	—
	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	53	46%	4	—	—
J. Ortiz	M	77	6.90	—	—	—	43	41%	4	—	—
Antony	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	30	23%	—	—	—
Kevin Kelsy	F	65	6.20	—	—	1	10	8%	2	—	—
K. Velde	F	82	7.20	—	—	—	18	11%	2	—	—
A. Aravena	F	8	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
D. Chará	M	13	6.50	—	—	—	7	5%	1	1	—
F. Mora	F	25	6.60	—	—	—	10	10%	1	—	—