MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 06:30
✓Model correct — prediction Vancouver Whitecaps
E. Ocampo
(ast. Y. Takaoka)
6'
T. Muller
90'+1
(pen.)
S. Berhalter
90'+5
36'
J. Mosquera
45'+2
(ast. J. Mosquera)
D. Da Costa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Portland Timbers 23%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portland Timbers.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
3
3.03
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
2
12
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Ocampo
· ast. Y. Takaoka
6'
36'
J. Mosquera⚽
45'+2
ast. J. Mosquera ·
D. Da Costa⚽
A. Jackson
/ E. Sabbi
46'
46'
B. Bye
/
J. Mosquera
65'
F. Mora
/
K. Kelsy
M. Laborda
68'
C. Sabaly
/ B. Caicedo
71'
77'
D. Chara
/
J. Ortiz
80'
D. Chara
82'
A. Aravena
/
K. Velde
J. Badwal
/ R. Elloumi
82'
⚽T. Muller
(pen.)
90'+1
⚽S. Berhalter
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
52.48%
Vancouver ←
23.73%
X
23.79%
Portland
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps)
52.48%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
3.03
-1.47
0.68
0.51
-0.17
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (3.03 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
1 👟
G
28
Tate Johnson
D
Tate Johnson
D
2
Mathías Laborda
D
Mathías Laborda
D
33
Tristan Blackmon
D
Tristan Blackmon
D
18
Édier Ocampo
1 ⚽
D
Édier Ocampo
1 ⚽
D
16
Sebastian Berhalter
1 ⚽
M
Sebastian Berhalter
1 ⚽
M
59
Jeevan Badwal
82'
M
Jeevan Badwal
82'
M
22
Aziel Jackson
45'
M
Aziel Jackson
45'
M
13
Thomas Müller
1 ⚽
M
Thomas Müller
1 ⚽
M
7
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
71'
M
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
71'
M
24
Brian White
F
Brian White
F
Bench
14
Bruno Quiñonez
19'
F
Bruno Quiñonez
19'
F
11
Emmanuel Sabbi
45'
F
Emmanuel Sabbi
45'
F
8
Oliver Larraz
M
Oliver Larraz
M
41
G
27
Jímer Fory
D
Jímer Fory
D
6
Alex Bonetig
D
Alex Bonetig
D
20
Finn Surman
D
Finn Surman
D
29
Juan Mosquera
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
D
Juan Mosquera
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
D
10
David Pereira Da Costa
1 ⚽
M
David Pereira Da Costa
1 ⚽
M
30
M
80
Joao Ortíz
77'
M
Joao Ortíz
77'
M
11
Antony Alves
F
Antony Alves
F
19
Kevin Kelsy
65'
F
Kevin Kelsy
65'
F
99
Kristoffer Velde
82'
F
Kristoffer Velde
82'
F
Bench
28
Alexander Aravena
8'
F
Alexander Aravena
8'
F
21
Diego Chará
13'
M
Diego Chará
13'
M
9
Felipe Mora
25'
F
Felipe Mora
25'
F
23
Ian Smith
D
Ian Smith
D
Best on the pitch
Sebastian Berhalter
M · Vancouver
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 96 pass
Juan Mosquera
D · Portland
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
David Pereira Da Costa
M · Portland
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
M · Portland
7.30
· 53 pass
G · Portland
7.30
· 34 pass
Thomas Müller
M · Vancouver
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Tate Johnson | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathías Laborda | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 74% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tristan Blackmon | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 90 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Édier Ocampo | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastian Berhalter | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 96 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeevan Badwal | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Aziel Jackson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Müller | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Cheick Tidiane Sabaly | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Brian White | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Quiñonez | F | 19 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Sabbi | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
Portland Timbers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Jímer Fory | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Bonetig | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Mosquera | D | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| David Pereira Da Costa | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 4 | — | — | |
| Joao Ortíz | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Antony Alves | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Kristoffer Velde | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexander Aravena | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Diego Chará | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Mora | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Vancouver Whitecaps win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Portland Timbers win.