MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 04:30

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 33 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Portland Timbers

#10 · 21 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Vancouver Whitecaps

E. Ocampo (ast. Y. Takaoka) 6'

T. Muller 90'+1 (pen.)

S. Berhalter 90'+5

36' J. Mosquera

45'+2 (ast. J. Mosquera) D. Da Costa

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Portland Timbers 23%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portland Timbers.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

4

9

Shots on target

3

3.03

Actual xG

0.51

1

Saves

6

61%

Possession

39%

7

Corners

2

12

Tackles

20

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽E. Ocampo · ast. Y. Takaoka

6'

36'

J. Mosquera⚽

45'+2

ast. J. Mosquera · D. Da Costa⚽

↕ A. Jackson / E. Sabbi

46'

46'

B. Bye / J. Mosquera ↕

65'

F. Mora / K. Kelsy ↕

M. Laborda

68'

↕ C. Sabaly / B. Caicedo

71'

77'

D. Chara / J. Ortiz ↕

80'

D. Chara

82'

A. Aravena / K. Velde ↕

↕ J. Badwal / R. Elloumi

82'

⚽T. Muller (pen.)

90'+1

⚽S. Berhalter

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

52.48%

Vancouver ←

23.73%

X

23.79%

Portland

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps) 52.48% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Vancouver

4.50

3.03

-1.47

Portland

0.68

0.51

-0.17

Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (3.03 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	16	33
2	Los Angeles FC	18	33
3	San Jose Earthquakes	17	33
4	Real Salt Lake	16	26
5	Houston Dynamo	16	26
6	FC Dallas	17	26
7	St. Louis City	17	25
8	Seattle Sounders	16	24
9	Minnesota United FC	17	23
10	Portland Timbers	17	21
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	18	21
12	San Diego	17	20
13	Colorado Rapids	17	19
14	Austin	17	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	17	14

Lineups

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1

1

1 👟 G 6.60

28 Tate Johnson D 6.90

2 Mathías Laborda D 6.20

33 Tristan Blackmon D 7.00

18 É. Ocampo 1 ⚽ D 7.30

16 S. Berhalter 1 ⚽ M 8.50

59 Jeevan Badwal 82' M 6.90

22 Aziel Jackson 45' M 6.30

13 Thomas Müller 1 ⚽ M 7.30

7 Cheick Tidiane Sabaly 71' M 6.20

24 B. White F 6.30

Bench

14 Bruno Quiñonez 19' F 7.20

11 Emmanuel Sabbi 45' F 6.90

8 Oliver Larraz M

Portland Timbers 4-3-3

41

G 7.30

27 J. Fory D 6.70

6 Alex Bonetig D 6.30

20 Finn Surman D 7.00

29 Juan Mosquera 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' D 8.20

10 David Pereira da Costa 1 ⚽ M 7.50

30

M 7.30

80 Joao Ortíz 77' M 6.90

11 Antony Alves F 6.30

19 K. Kelsy 65' F 6.20

99 Kristoffer Velde 82' F 7.20

Bench

28 Alexander Aravena 8' F 6.30

21 Diego Chará 13' M 6.50

9 Felipe Mora 25' F 6.60

23 Ian Smith D

Best on the pitch

S. Berhalter

M · Vancouver

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 96 pass

Juan Mosquera

D · Portland

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 16 pass

David Pereira da Costa

M · Portland

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

M · Portland

7.30

· 53 pass

G · Portland

7.30

· 34 pass

Thomas Müller

M · Vancouver

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 42 pass

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	1	—	27	23%	—	—	—
Tate Johnson	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	72	67%	2	—	—
Mathías Laborda	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	75	74%	2	1	—
Tristan Blackmon	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	90	77%	—	—	—
É. Ocampo	D	90	7.30	1	—	2	34	27%	2	—	—
S. Berhalter	M	90	8.50	1	—	1	96	82%	1	—	—
Jeevan Badwal	M	82	6.90	—	—	—	56	53%	2	—	—
Aziel Jackson	M	45	6.30	—	—	2	8	5%	—	—	—
Thomas Müller	M	90	7.30	1	—	2	42	33%	—	—	—
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly	M	71	6.20	—	—	1	17	13%	2	—	—
B. White	F	90	6.30	—	—	3	16	13%	—	—	—
Bruno Quiñonez	F	19	7.20	—	—	2	7	5%	1	—	—
Emmanuel Sabbi	F	45	6.90	—	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	34	18%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	50	42%	2	—	—
Alex Bonetig	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	—
Finn Surman	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	26	22%	3	—	—
Juan Mosquera	D	45	8.20	1	1	1	16	16%	1	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	90	7.50	1	—	1	22	21%	—	—	—
	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	53	46%	4	—	—
Joao Ortíz	M	77	6.90	—	—	—	43	41%	4	—	—
Antony Alves	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	30	23%	—	—	—
K. Kelsy	F	65	6.20	—	—	1	10	8%	2	—	—
Kristoffer Velde	F	82	7.20	—	—	—	18	11%	2	—	—
Alexander Aravena	F	8	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Diego Chará	M	13	6.50	—	—	—	7	5%	1	1	—
Felipe Mora	F	25	6.60	—	—	—	10	10%	1	—	—