← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 17, 2026 20:00
Venezia
#1 · 82 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Padova
#10 · 46 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Venezia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Venezia a 74% win probability (draw 17%, Padova 7%). The final result was Venezia 3–1 Padova. In 1 previous meetings, Venezia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Padova.

Match statistics
9
Shots on target
3
4.07
Actual xG
0.63
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
74.66%
Venezia ←
17.98%
X
7.36%
Padova
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Venezia) 74.66% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Venezia
2.29
4.07
+1.78
Padova
0.56
0.63
+0.07
Venezia dominated by xG (4.07 vs 0.63). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Venezia vs Padova?
The final score was Venezia 3–1 Padova.
What did the model predict before Venezia vs Padova?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Venezia win, 17% to a draw, and 7% to an Padova win.