Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 17, 2026 20:00

Venezia

3 – 1

Final score

Padova

#6 · 7 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Venezia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Venezia a 74% win probability (draw 17%, Padova 7%). The final result was Venezia 3–1 Padova. In 1 previous meetings, Venezia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Padova.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

3

4.07

Actual xG

0.63

66%

Possession

34%

9

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

74.66%

Venezia ←

17.98%

X

7.36%

Padova

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Venezia) 74.66% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Venezia

2.29

4.07

+1.78

Padova

0.56

0.63

+0.07

Venezia dominated by xG (4.07 vs 0.63). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	11
3	Mantova	5	11
4	Modena	5	10
5	Ascoli	5	10
6	Padova	5	7
7	Benevento	5	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	7
9	Avellino	5	7
10	Cesena	5	7
11	Pisa	5	7
12	Arezzo	5	6
13	Empoli	5	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	5
15	Cremonese	5	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	5
17	Sampdoria	5	4
18	Catanzaro	5	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1
20	Carrarese	5	1