← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30
Venezia
#1 · 82 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Palermo
#4 · 72 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Venezia
I. Doumbia (ast. J. Yeboah) 46'
M. Compagnon (ast. G. Busio) 90'+4

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Venezia a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Palermo 17%). The final result was Venezia 2–0 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Venezia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
2
2.86
Actual xG
1.02
2
Saves
7
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
B. Bereszynski
31'
P. Peda
↕ B. Franjic / A. Sidibe
35'
46'
D. Veroli / P. Peda ↕
⚽I. Doumbia · ast. J. Yeboah
46'
51'
D. Johnsen / A. Vasic ↕
60'
J. Pohjanpalo / J. Le Douaron ↕
61'
C. Gomes / A. Palumbo ↕
72'
R. Modesto / N. Pierozzi ↕
I. Doumbia
74'
↕ J. Yeboah / M. Compagnon
76'
↕ L. Lauberbach / A. Casas
76'
↕ K. Perez / A. Duncan
90'+1
⚽M. Compagnon · ast. G. Busio
90'+4
M. Compagnon
90'+5
↕ I. Doumbia / N. Lella
90'
Pre-match prediction
63.97%
Venezia ←
18.07%
X
17.96%
Palermo
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Venezia) 63.97% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Venezia
2.47
2.86
+0.39
Palermo
1.18
1.02
-0.16
Venezia dominated by xG (2.86 vs 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Venezia Venezia 3-5-2
1
G 7.20
4
B. Franjic 35' D 7.00
30
M. Svoboda D 7.70
3
J. Schingtienne D 6.60
5
R. Haps M 7.90
8 I. Doumbia I. Doumbia 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.20
6
G. Busio 1 👟 M 7.70
71 Kike Pérez Kike Pérez 89' M 7.20
18
A. Hainaut M 6.90
29
L. Lauberbach 76' F 6.30
10 J. Yeboah J. Yeboah 1 👟 76' F 7.70
Bench
21
M. Compagnon 1 ⚽ 14' M 7.50
20
R. Sagrado D
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
66
J. Joronen G 7.30
32
P. Ceccaroni D 6.20
29
P. Peda 45' D 7.00
19
B. Bereszynski D 6.30
3
M 7.30
28
M 6.70
8
J. Segre M 6.70
27
Niccolò Pierozzi 72' M 6.50
14
A. Vasic 51' F 6.90
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 61' F 6.50
21
J. Le Douaron 60' F 6.30
Bench
7
D. Johnsen 39' F 6.20
10
F. Ranocchia M
96
G. Magnani D
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 30' F 6.70
18
R. Modesto 18' M 6.30
17
S. Giovane M
Best on the pitch
I. Doumbia
I. Doumbia
M · Venezia
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 47 pass
R. Haps
M · Venezia
7.90
2 shots · 34 pass
M. Svoboda
D · Venezia
7.70
· 58 pass
G. Busio
M · Venezia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 59 pass
J. Yeboah
J. Yeboah
F · Venezia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
M. Compagnon
M · Venezia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 2 pass
Venezia Venezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 50 39% — — —
B. Franjic D 35 7.00 — — — 36 34% — — —
M. Svoboda D 90 7.70 — — — 58 49% 1 — —
J. Schingtienne D 90 6.60 — — 1 36 31% — — —
R. Haps M 90 7.90 — — 2 34 31% 1 — —
I. Doumbia M 89 8.20 1 — 3 47 40% 1 1 —
G. Busio M 90 7.70 — 1 1 59 50% 2 — —
Kike Pérez M 89 7.20 — — 3 61 50% 2 — —
A. Hainaut M 90 6.90 — — — 28 22% 2 — —
L. Lauberbach F 76 6.30 — — 2 20 14% 2 — —
J. Yeboah F 76 7.70 — 1 1 28 21% 1 — —
M. Compagnon M 14 7.50 1 — 2 2 1% — 1 —
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Joronen G 90 7.30 — — — 41 24% — — —
P. Ceccaroni D 90 6.20 — — 1 34 22% 1 — —
P. Peda D 45 7.00 — — — 14 11% 1 1 —
B. Bereszynski D 90 6.30 — — 1 24 22% 3 1 —
M 90 7.30 — — 2 39 36% 1 — —
M 90 6.70 — — — 37 30% 2 — —
J. Segre M 90 6.70 — — — 25 20% 3 — —
Niccolò Pierozzi M 72 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
A. Vasic F 51 6.90 — — — 15 9% 3 — —
A. Palumbo F 61 6.50 — — 2 23 16% 1 — —
J. Le Douaron F 60 6.30 — — 2 3 1% 1 — —
D. Johnsen F 39 6.20 — — — 10 7% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 30 6.70 — — — 8 4% — — —
R. Modesto M 18 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Venezia vs Palermo?
The final score was Venezia 2–0 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Venezia vs Palermo?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Venezia win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Palermo win.