Serie B
· Regular Season - 38
May 08, 2026 20:30
✓Model correct — prediction Venezia
I. Doumbia
(ast. J. Yeboah)
46'
M. Compagnon
(ast. G. Busio)
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Venezia a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Palermo 17%). The final result was Venezia 2–0 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Venezia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palermo.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
2
2.86
Actual xG
1.02
2
Saves
7
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
B. Bereszynski
31'
P. Peda
B. Franjic
/ A. Sidibe
35'
46'
D. Veroli
/
P. Peda
⚽I. Doumbia
· ast. J. Yeboah
46'
51'
D. Johnsen
/
A. Vasic
60'
J. Pohjanpalo
/
J. Le Douaron
61'
C. Gomes
/
A. Palumbo
72'
R. Modesto
/
N. Pierozzi
I. Doumbia
74'
J. Yeboah
/ M. Compagnon
76'
L. Lauberbach
/ A. Casas
76'
K. Perez
/ A. Duncan
90'+1
⚽M. Compagnon
· ast. G. Busio
90'+4
M. Compagnon
90'+5
I. Doumbia
/ N. Lella
90'
Pre-match prediction
63.97%
Venezia ←
18.07%
X
17.96%
Palermo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Venezia)
63.97%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.47
2.86
+0.39
1.18
1.02
-0.16
Venezia dominated by xG (2.86 vs 1.02).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
4
B. Franjic
35'
D
30
Michael Svoboda
D
Michael Svoboda
D
3
J. Schingtienne
D
J. Schingtienne
D
5
R. Haps
M
8
I. Doumbia
1 ⚽
89'
M
I. Doumbia
1 ⚽
89'
M
6
G. Busio
1 👟
M
71
Kike Pérez
89'
M
Kike Pérez
89'
M
18
A. Hainaut
M
29
L. Lauberbach
76'
F
10
J. Yeboah
1 👟
76'
F
J. Yeboah
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
21
M. Compagnon
1 ⚽
14'
M
20
R. Sagrado
D
66
Jesse Joronen
G
Jesse Joronen
G
32
Pietro Ceccaroni
D
Pietro Ceccaroni
D
29
Patryk Peda
45'
D
Patryk Peda
45'
D
19
Bartosz Bereszyński
D
Bartosz Bereszyński
D
3
M
28
M
8
Jacopo Segre
M
Jacopo Segre
M
27
N. Pierozzi
72'
M
N. Pierozzi
72'
M
14
Aljoša Vasić
51'
F
Aljoša Vasić
51'
F
5
A. Palumbo
61'
F
A. Palumbo
61'
F
21
Jérémy Le Douaron
60'
F
Jérémy Le Douaron
60'
F
Bench
7
Dennis Johnsen
39'
F
Dennis Johnsen
39'
F
10
Filippo Ranocchia
M
Filippo Ranocchia
M
96
Giangiacomo Magnani
D
Giangiacomo Magnani
D
20
J. Pohjanpalo
30'
F
J. Pohjanpalo
30'
F
18
Rui Modesto
18'
M
Rui Modesto
18'
M
17
Samuel Giovane
M
Samuel Giovane
M
Best on the pitch
I. Doumbia
M · Venezia
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 47 pass
R. Haps
M · Venezia
7.90
2 shots
· 34 pass
Michael Svoboda
D · Venezia
7.70
· 58 pass
G. Busio
M · Venezia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 59 pass
J. Yeboah
F · Venezia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
M. Compagnon
M · Venezia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
Venezia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | — | — | — | |
| B. Franjic | D | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Michael Svoboda | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Schingtienne | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| R. Haps | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 47 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Busio | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 59 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Kike Pérez | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 61 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hainaut | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Lauberbach | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Yeboah | F | 76 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Compagnon | M | 14 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Palermo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Joronen | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Pietro Ceccaroni | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Patryk Peda | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bartosz Bereszyński | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jacopo Segre | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Pierozzi | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Aljoša Vasić | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Palumbo | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jérémy Le Douaron | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Dennis Johnsen | F | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rui Modesto | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Venezia vs Palermo?
The final score was Venezia 2–0 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Venezia vs Palermo?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Venezia win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Palermo win.