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Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30
Venezia
2 – 0
Final score
Palermo
#1 · 27 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Venezia
I. Doumbia (ast. J. Yeboah) 46'
M. Compagnon (ast. G. Busio) 90'+4
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Venezia a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Palermo 17%). The final result was Venezia 2–0 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Venezia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
2
2.86
Actual xG
1.02
2
Saves
7
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
B. Bereszynski
31'
P. Peda
↕ B. Franjic / A. Sidibe
35'
46'
D. Veroli / P. Peda ↕
⚽I. Doumbia · ast. J. Yeboah
46'
51'
D. Johnsen / A. Vasic ↕
60'
J. Pohjanpalo / J. Le Douaron ↕
61'
C. Gomes / A. Palumbo ↕
72'
R. Modesto / N. Pierozzi ↕
I. Doumbia
74'
↕ J. Yeboah / M. Compagnon
76'
↕ L. Lauberbach / A. Casas
76'
↕ K. Perez / A. Duncan
90'+1
⚽M. Compagnon · ast. G. Busio
90'+4
M. Compagnon
90'+5
↕ I. Doumbia / N. Lella
90'
Pre-match prediction
63.97%
Venezia ←
18.07%
X
17.96%
Palermo
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Venezia) 63.97% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Venezia
2.47
2.86
+0.39
Palermo
1.18
1.02
-0.16
Venezia dominated by xG (2.86 vs 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 11 27
2 Ascoli Ascoli 11 20
3 Modena Modena 10 20
4 Mantova Mantova 10 18
5 Avellino Avellino 10 15
6 Benevento Benevento 10 15
7 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 10 15
8 Pisa Pisa 10 15
9 Padova Padova 10 14
10 Sudtirol Sudtirol 10 14
11 Cremonese Cremonese 10 12
12 Cesena Cesena 10 12
13 Arezzo Arezzo 10 11
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 10 10
15 Carrarese Carrarese 10 10
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 10 9
17 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 10 9
18 Empoli Empoli 10 8
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 10 8
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 10 6
Lineups
Venezia Venezia 3-5-2
1
G 7.20
4 Bartol Franjić Bartol Franjić 35' D 7.00
30 Michael Svoboda Michael Svoboda D 7.70
3 J. Schingtienne J. Schingtienne D 6.60
5 R. Haps R. Haps M 7.90
8 I. Doumbia I. Doumbia 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.20
6 G. Busio G. Busio 1 👟 M 7.70
71 Kike Pérez Kike Pérez 89' M 7.20
18 A. Hainaut A. Hainaut M 6.90
29 L. Lauberbach L. Lauberbach 76' F 6.30
10 J. Yeboah J. Yeboah 1 👟 76' F 7.70
Bench
21 M. Compagnon M. Compagnon 1 ⚽ 14' M 7.50
20 R. Sagrado R. Sagrado D
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
66 Jesse Joronen Jesse Joronen G 7.30
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni D 6.20
29 P. Peda P. Peda 45' D 7.00
19 B. Bereszyński B. Bereszyński D 6.30
3
M 7.30
28
M 6.70
8 J. Segre J. Segre M 6.70
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi 72' M 6.50
14 A. Vasic A. Vasic 51' F 6.90
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 61' F 6.50
21 J. Le Douaron J. Le Douaron 60' F 6.30
Bench
7 D. Johnsen D. Johnsen 39' F 6.20
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia M
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani D
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 30' F 6.70
18 Rui Modesto Rui Modesto 18' M 6.30
17 S. Giovane S. Giovane M
Best on the pitch
I. Doumbia
I. Doumbia
M · Venezia
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 47 pass
R. Haps
R. Haps
M · Venezia
7.90
2 shots · 34 pass
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda
D · Venezia
7.70
· 58 pass
G. Busio
G. Busio
M · Venezia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 59 pass
J. Yeboah
J. Yeboah
F · Venezia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
M. Compagnon
M. Compagnon
M · Venezia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 2 pass
Venezia Venezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 50 39% — — —
Bartol Franjić D 35 7.00 — — — 36 34% — — —
Michael Svoboda D 90 7.70 — — — 58 49% 1 — —
J. Schingtienne D 90 6.60 — — 1 36 31% — — —
R. Haps M 90 7.90 — — 2 34 31% 1 — —
I. Doumbia M 89 8.20 1 — 3 47 40% 1 1 —
G. Busio M 90 7.70 — 1 1 59 50% 2 — —
Kike Pérez M 89 7.20 — — 3 61 50% 2 — —
A. Hainaut M 90 6.90 — — — 28 22% 2 — —
L. Lauberbach F 76 6.30 — — 2 20 14% 2 — —
J. Yeboah F 76 7.70 — 1 1 28 21% 1 — —
M. Compagnon M 14 7.50 1 — 2 2 1% — 1 —
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jesse Joronen G 90 7.30 — — — 41 24% — — —
P. Ceccaroni D 90 6.20 — — 1 34 22% 1 — —
P. Peda D 45 7.00 — — — 14 11% 1 1 —
B. Bereszyński D 90 6.30 — — 1 24 22% 3 1 —
M 90 7.30 — — 2 39 36% 1 — —
M 90 6.70 — — — 37 30% 2 — —
J. Segre M 90 6.70 — — — 25 20% 3 — —
N. Pierozzi M 72 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
A. Vasic F 51 6.90 — — — 15 9% 3 — —
A. Palumbo F 61 6.50 — — 2 23 16% 1 — —
J. Le Douaron F 60 6.30 — — 2 3 1% 1 — —
D. Johnsen F 39 6.20 — — — 10 7% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 30 6.70 — — — 8 4% — — —
Rui Modesto M 18 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Venezia vs Palermo?
The final score was Venezia 2–0 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Venezia vs Palermo?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Venezia win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Palermo win.