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Verl - TSV 1860 München

3. Liga May 16, 2026 13:30
#6 · 61 pts
vs
#8 · 56 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Light rain 10.0°C 💨 12 km/h · Verl
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.71%
Win
Verl
25.75%
Draw
15.55%
Win
TSV 1860 München
1.9
Expected xG
0.8
Model prediction
Verl
58.71%
Probability
55.2%
1X2 accuracy · 29 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Verl a 58% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 15% for TSV 1860 München. Expected goals are 1.9 for Verl and 0.8 for TSV 1860 München (total 2.7), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Verl have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for TSV 1860 München.

Score Matrix
↕ Verl TSV 1860 München →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 10.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
2 12.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
3 7.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
4 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Recent form
L Rot-Weiß Essen 1–0
W Havelse 4–0
L VfL Osnabrück 2–1
W FC Viktoria Köln 2–0
D Erzgebirge Aue 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 44%
L FC Ingolstadt 04 1–2
D FC Schweinfurt 05 1–1
W SSV Ulm 1846 3–2
D FC Saarbrücken 0–0
D SSV Jahn Regensburg 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 31%
Playing profile
Verl Verl
Attack
37
Defence
78
Form
58
TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München
Attack
29
Defence
60
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Verl
0
Draw
0
TSV 1860 München
W 20 Dec 2025 3. Liga 2–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 37 77
2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 37 69
3 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 37 67
4 Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 37 67
5 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 37 64
6 Verl Verl 37 61
7 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 37 61
8 TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München 37 56
9 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 37 52
10 SV Wehen SV Wehen 37 50
11 FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 37 50
12 SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg 37 49
13 FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 37 46
14 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 37 46
15 FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 37 44
16 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 37 43
17 Havelse Havelse 37 35
18 SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 37 33
19 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 37 31
20 FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05 37 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Verl vs TSV 1860 München?
The model gives Verl a 58% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 15% for an TSV 1860 München win.
How many goals are expected in Verl vs TSV 1860 München?
Expected goals: Verl 1.9, TSV 1860 München 0.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Verl vs TSV 1860 München?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.