Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 28
April 04, 2026 20:30
90'
K. Adeyemi
90'
(ast. F. Silva)
J. Brandt
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 47% win probability (draw 18%, Borussia Dortmund 33%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Borussia Dortmund.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
3
0.58
Actual xG
0.50
1
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
2
13
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
29'
Carney Chukwuemeka
64'
F. Silva
/
S. Guirassy
64'
K. Adeyemi
/
C. Chukwuemeka
Ramon Hendriks
65'
C. Fuhrich
/ J. Leweling
69'
71'
Marcel Sabitzer
L. Assignon
/ T. Tomas
72'
N. Nartey
/ B. El Khannouss
72'
72'
J. Brandt
/
M. Beier
80'
Karim Adeyemi
M. Mittelstadt
/ E. Demirovic
88'
A. Stiller
/ C. Andres
88'
Atakan Karazor
90'+7
90'+7
Julian Ryerson
90'
K. Adeyemi⚽
90'
ast. F. Silva ·
J. Brandt⚽
Pre-match prediction
47.84%
VfB
18.39%
X
33.77%
Borussia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund)
33.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.64
0.58
-2.06
2.44
0.50
-1.94
xG dominance was balanced (0.58 – 0.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
3
R. Hendriks
D
R. Hendriks
D
24
J. Chabot
D
J. Chabot
D
29
F. Jeltsch
D
7
Maximilian Mittelstädt
88'
M
6
Angelo Stiller
88'
M
16
A. Karazor
M
A. Karazor
M
22
L. Assignon
72'
M
L. Assignon
72'
M
10
C. Fuhrich
69'
F
28
N. Nartey
72'
F
26
D. Undav
F
D. Undav
F
Bench
11
B. El Khannouss
18'
M
B. El Khannouss
18'
M
30
C. Andres
10'
M
9
E. Demirović
10'
F
E. Demirović
10'
F
18
J. Leweling
21'
F
J. Leweling
21'
F
4
J. Vagnoman
D
8
Tiago Tomás
18'
F
1
G. Kobel
G
5
Ramy Bensebaini
D
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
D
3
D
24
D. Svensson
M
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
64'
M
7
J. Bellingham
M
20
M. Sabitzer
M
M. Sabitzer
M
26
J. Ryerson
M
J. Ryerson
M
14
Maximilian Beier
72'
F
9
Serhou Guirassy
64'
F
Bench
21
Fábio Silva
1 👟
26'
F
10
J. Brandt
1 ⚽
18'
M
27
K. Adeyemi
1 ⚽
26'
F
49
L. Reggiani
D
25
N. Sule
D
40
S. Inacio
F
Best on the pitch
J. Brandt
M · Borussia
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
D · Borussia
7.50
1 shots
· 32 pass
K. Adeyemi
F · Borussia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Angelo Stiller
M · VfB
7.30
2 shots
· 100 pass
L. Assignon
M · VfB
7.30
1 shots
· 26 pass
Nico Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
7.30
· 41 pass
VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| R. Hendriks | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | — | — | — |
| F. Jeltsch | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Angelo Stiller | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 100 | 89% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Karazor | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 73 | 60% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Assignon | M | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Fuhrich | F | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Nartey | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Undav | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Andres | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Leweling | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Tomás | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Kobel | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ramy Bensebaini | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — | |
| D. Svensson | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Ryerson | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Maximilian Beier | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Serhou Guirassy | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Silva | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Brandt | M | 18 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Adeyemi | F | 26 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model assigned 47% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 18% to a draw, and 33% to an Borussia Dortmund win.