Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 18:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

#15 · 6 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Borussia Dortmund

#2 · 17 pts

90' K. Adeyemi

90' (ast. F. Silva) J. Brandt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 47% win probability (draw 18%, Borussia Dortmund 33%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund. In 2 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Borussia Dortmund.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

4

3

Shots on target

3

0.58

Actual xG

0.50

1

Saves

3

67%

Possession

33%

5

Corners

2

13

Tackles

12

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

29'

Carney Chukwuemeka

64'

F. Silva / S. Guirassy ↕

64'

K. Adeyemi / C. Chukwuemeka ↕

Ramon Hendriks

65'

↕ C. Fuhrich / J. Leweling

69'

71'

Marcel Sabitzer

↕ L. Assignon / T. Tomas

72'

↕ N. Nartey / B. El Khannouss

72'

72'

J. Brandt / M. Beier ↕

80'

Karim Adeyemi

↕ M. Mittelstadt / E. Demirovic

88'

↕ A. Stiller / C. Andres

88'

Atakan Karazor

90'+7

90'+7

Julian Ryerson

90'

K. Adeyemi⚽

90'

ast. F. Silva · J. Brandt⚽

Pre-match prediction

47.84%

VfB

18.39%

X

33.77%

Borussia ←

we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund) 33.77% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

VfB

2.64

0.58

-2.06

Borussia

2.44

0.50

-1.94

xG dominance was balanced (0.58 – 0.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	6
17	Union Berlin	7	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	3

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1

33

G 6.90

3 R. Hendriks D 6.20

24 J. Chabot D 6.70

29 Finn Jeltsch D 6.70

7 M. Mittelstädt 88' M 7.20

6 A. Stiller 88' M 7.30

16 A. Karazor M 6.30

22 L. Assignon 72' M 7.30

10 C. Führich 69' F 7.20

28 N. Nartey 72' F 6.90

26 D. Undav F 6.50

Bench

11 B. El Khannouss 18' M 6.20

9 E. Demirović 10' F 6.30

18 J. Leweling 21' F 6.30

30 José María Andrés Baixauli 10' M 6.20

4 J. Vagnoman D

8 Tiago Tomás 18' F 6.60

Borussia Dortmund 3-5-2

1 G. Kobel G 6.70

5 R. Bensebaïni D 6.90

4 N. Schlotterbeck D 7.30

3

D 7.50

24 D. Svensson M 6.30

17 C. Chukwuemeka 64' M 6.30

7 J. Bellingham M 7.00

20 M. Sabitzer M 7.20

26 J. Ryerson M 6.70

14 M. Beier 72' F 6.20

9 S. Guirassy 64' F 6.20

Bench

21 Fábio Silva 1 👟 26' F 6.60

10 J. Brandt 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.60

27 K. Adeyemi 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.30

49 L. Reggiani D

25 Niklas Süle D

40 S. Inacio F

Best on the pitch

J. Brandt

M · Borussia

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 10 pass

D · Borussia

7.50

1 shots · 32 pass

K. Adeyemi

F · Borussia

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 5 pass

A. Stiller

M · VfB

7.30

2 shots · 100 pass

L. Assignon

M · VfB

7.30

1 shots · 26 pass

N. Schlotterbeck

D · Borussia

7.30

· 41 pass

VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	46	29%	—	—	—
R. Hendriks	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	57	50%	1	1	—
J. Chabot	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	58	50%	—	—	—
Finn Jeltsch	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	60	54%	1	—	—
M. Mittelstädt	M	88	7.20	—	—	—	63	55%	1	—	—
A. Stiller	M	88	7.30	—	—	2	100	89%	1	—	—
A. Karazor	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	73	60%	2	1	—
L. Assignon	M	72	7.30	—	—	1	26	25%	2	—	—
C. Führich	F	69	7.20	—	—	3	37	33%	2	—	—
N. Nartey	F	72	6.90	—	—	—	32	25%	—	—	—
D. Undav	F	90	6.50	—	—	1	22	16%	2	—	—
B. El Khannouss	M	18	6.20	—	—	—	14	10%	—	—	—
E. Demirović	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
J. Leweling	F	21	6.30	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
José María Andrés Baixauli	M	10	6.20	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
Tiago Tomás	F	18	6.60	—	—	—	10	8%	1	—	—

Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Kobel	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	38	15%	—	—	—
R. Bensebaïni	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	31%	1	—	—
N. Schlotterbeck	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	41	34%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.50	—	—	1	32	24%	3	—	—
D. Svensson	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	20%	1	—	—
C. Chukwuemeka	M	64	6.30	—	—	1	11	9%	—	1	—
J. Bellingham	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	27	18%	4	—	—
M. Sabitzer	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	25%	1	1	—
J. Ryerson	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	20	13%	—	1	—
M. Beier	F	72	6.20	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
S. Guirassy	F	64	6.20	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—
Fábio Silva	F	26	6.60	—	1	—	5	3%	2	—	—
J. Brandt	M	18	7.60	1	—	1	10	6%	—	—	—
K. Adeyemi	F	26	7.30	1	—	1	5	4%	—	1	—