Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 16:30

VfL Wolfsburg

#16 · 26 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Werder Bremen

#15 · 32 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Werder Bremen a 52% win probability (draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%). The final result was VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, VfL Wolfsburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

0.76

Actual xG

0.37

57%

Possession

43%

8

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

29.12%

VfL

18.24%

X

52.65%

Werder ←

we assigned to the actual result (Werder Bremen) 52.65% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

VfL

0.92

0.76

-0.16

Werder

2.31

0.37

-1.94

VfL Wolfsburg dominated by xG (0.76 vs 0.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26