Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 15:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

0 – 1

Final score

Werder Bremen

#9 · 4 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Werder Bremen a 52% win probability (draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%). The final result was VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, VfL Wolfsburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

0.76

Actual xG

0.37

57%

Possession

43%

8

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

29.12%

VfL

18.24%

X

52.65%

Werder ←

we assigned to the actual result (Werder Bremen) 52.65% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

VfL

0.92

0.76

-0.16

Werder

2.31

0.37

-1.94

VfL Wolfsburg dominated by xG (0.76 vs 0.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	SV Elversberg	2	6
5	Bayern München	2	4
6	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
7	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
9	Werder Bremen	3	4
10	FC Schalke 04	3	4
11	1. FC Köln	3	4
12	RB Leipzig	2	3
13	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Hamburger SV	2	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0