The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Werder Bremen a 52% win probability (draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%). The final result was VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, VfL Wolfsburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Werder Bremen.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
0.76
Actual xG
0.37
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
29.12%
VfL
18.24%
X
52.65%
Werder ←
we assigned to the actual result (Werder Bremen)
52.65%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
0.76
-0.16
2.31
0.37
-1.94
VfL Wolfsburg dominated by xG (0.76 vs 0.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfL Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen?
The final score was VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Werder Bremen.
What did the model predict before VfL Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen?
The model assigned 29% probability to a VfL Wolfsburg win, 18% to a draw, and 52% to an Werder Bremen win.