La Liga · Regular Season - 29 March 20, 2026 22:00

Villarreal

#3 · 69 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Real Sociedad

#8 · 45 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Real Sociedad 25%). The final result was Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad. In 1 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Real Sociedad.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

4

3.51

Actual xG

1.18

35%

Possession

65%

4

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

54.14%

Villarreal ←

20.23%

X

25.62%

Real

we assigned to the actual result (Villarreal) 54.14% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Villarreal

2.23

3.51

+1.28

Real

1.31

1.18

-0.13

Villarreal dominated by xG (3.51 vs 1.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Barcelona	36	91
2	Real Madrid	36	80
3	Villarreal	36	69
4	Atletico Madrid	36	66
5	Real Betis	36	57
6	Celta Vigo	36	50
7	Getafe	36	48
8	Real Sociedad	36	45
9	Athletic Club	36	44
10	Rayo Vallecano	36	44
11	Valencia	36	43
12	Sevilla	36	43
13	Osasuna	36	42
14	Espanyol	36	42
15	Girona	36	40
16	Alaves	36	40
17	Elche	36	39
18	Mallorca	36	39
19	Levante	36	39
20	Oviedo	36	29