La Liga · Regular Season - 29 March 20, 2026 21:00 Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

Villarreal

#10 · 12 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Real Sociedad

#5 · 19 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Real Sociedad 25%). The final result was Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad. In 1 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Real Sociedad.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

4

3.51

Actual xG

1.18

35%

Possession

65%

4

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

54.14%

Villarreal ←

20.23%

X

25.62%

Real

we assigned to the actual result (Villarreal) 54.14% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Villarreal

2.23

3.51

+1.28

Real

1.31

1.18

-0.13

Villarreal dominated by xG (3.51 vs 1.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Barcelona	10	27
2	Atletico Madrid	10	25
3	Real Madrid	10	24
4	Real Betis	10	20
5	Real Sociedad	10	19
6	Sevilla	10	17
7	Alaves	10	12
8	Athletic Club	9	12
9	Celta Vigo	10	12
10	Villarreal	10	12
11	Deportivo La Coruna	10	11
12	Osasuna	10	11
13	Racing Santander	10	11
14	Levante	10	10
15	Elche	10	10
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	9
17	Getafe	10	9
18	Espanyol	10	8
19	Valencia	10	6
20	Malaga	10	5