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La Liga · Regular Season - 36 May 13, 2026 19:00
Villarreal
#3 · 69 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Sevilla
#12 · 43 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Villarreal, result Sevilla vince
G. Moreno (ast. G. Mikautadze) 13'
G. Mikautadze (ast. A. Moleiro) 20'
36' (ast. L. Agoume) Oso
45'+2 (ast. R. Vargas) K. Salas
72' (ast. D. Sow) A. Adams

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Sevilla 14%). The final result was Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla. In 1 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sevilla.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
0.81
Actual xG
0.88
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Moreno · ast. G. Mikautadze
13'
⚽G. Mikautadze · ast. A. Moleiro
20'
36'
ast. L. Agoume · Oso⚽
45'+2
ast. R. Vargas · K. Salas⚽
↕ N. Pepe / T. Buchanan
60'
↕ P. Gueye / T. Partey
60'
68'
J. Sanchez / R. Vargas ↕
↕ G. Mikautadze / A. Perez
70'
↕ D. Parejo / S. Comesana
70'
72'
A. Sanchez / N. Maupay ↕
72'
ast. D. Sow · A. Adams⚽
A. Perez
81'
86'
Castrin / A. Adams ↕
86'
N. Gudelj / D. Sow ↕
R. Veiga
90'+2
90'+3
J. A. Carmona
Pre-match prediction
66.22%
Villarreal
19.52%
X
14.25%
Sevilla ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sevilla) 14.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Villarreal
2.04
0.81
-1.23
Sevilla
0.67
0.88
+0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 Arnau Tenas Arnau Tenas G 6.20
24 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza D 5.90
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga D 6.90
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro D 6.50
3 Alexander Freeman Alexander Freeman D 6.90
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro 1 👟 M 7.30
18 Pape Gueye Pape Gueye 60' M 6.90
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo 70' M 7.50
19 N. Pépé N. Pépé 60' M 6.50
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' F 7.20
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
11 Alfon González Alfon González F
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez 23' F 6.50
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa D
1 Luiz Júnior Luiz Júnior G
4 Rafa Marín Rafa Marín D
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña 23' M 6.50
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona D
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D
17 Tajon Buchanan Tajon Buchanan 33' F 6.70
21 Tani Oluwaseyi Tani Oluwaseyi F
16 Thomas Partey Thomas Partey 33' M 5.50
5 Willy Kambwala Willy Kambwala D
Sevilla Sevilla 5-3-2
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos Odysseas Vlachodimos G 7.20
36 Oso Oso 1 ⚽ D 7.60
12 Gabriel Suazo Gabriel Suazo D 5.90
4 Kike Salas Kike Salas 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3 César Azpilicueta César Azpilicueta D 6.30
2 José Ángel Carmona José Ángel Carmona D 7.20
20 Djibril Sow Djibril Sow 1 👟 86' M 7.50
18 L. Agoumé L. Agoumé 1 👟 M 7.20
11 R. Vargas R. Vargas 1 👟 67' M 6.90
17 Neal Maupay Neal Maupay 71' F 6.30
9 A. Adams A. Adams 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.20
Bench
24 Adnan Januzaj Adnan Januzaj M
10 Alexis Sánchez Alexis Sánchez 22' F 7.00
32 Andres Castrin Andres Castrin 7' D
19 Batista Mendy Batista Mendy M
21 C. Ejuke C. Ejuke F
15 Fábio Cardoso Fábio Cardoso D
8 Joan Jordán Joan Jordán M
16 Juanlu Sánchez Juanlu Sánchez 26' M 6.60
6 Nemanja Gudelj Nemanja Gudelj 7' M
13 Ørjan Nyland Ørjan Nyland G
14 Peque Fernández Peque Fernández F
5 Tanguy Nianzou Tanguy Nianzou D
Best on the pitch
Gerard Moreno
Gerard Moreno
F · Villarreal
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Oso
Oso
D · Sevilla
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow
M · Sevilla
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Dani Parejo
Dani Parejo
M · Villarreal
7.50
· 54 pass
Kike Salas
Kike Salas
D · Sevilla
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
Alberto Moleiro
Alberto Moleiro
M · Villarreal
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 45 pass
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Arnau Tenas G 93 6.20 — — — 24 22% — — —
Alfonso Pedraza D 93 5.90 — — — 49 45% 1 — —
Renato Veiga D 93 6.90 — — — 86 79% 1 1 —
Pau Navarro D 93 6.50 — — 1 56 53% — — —
Alexander Freeman D 93 6.90 — — — 69 62% 5 — —
Alberto Moleiro M 93 7.30 — 1 1 45 39% 1 — —
Pape Gueye M 60 6.90 — — 1 35 29% 1 — —
Dani Parejo M 70 7.50 — — — 54 49% 3 — —
N. Pépé M 60 6.50 — — — 18 17% — — —
G. Mikautadze F 70 7.20 1 1 1 18 16% — — —
Gerard Moreno F 93 7.90 1 — 1 38 34% — — —
Ayoze Pérez F 23 6.50 — — — 6 4% — 1 —
Santi Comesaña M 23 6.50 — — — 12 11% — — —
Tajon Buchanan F 33 6.70 — — — 9 8% — — —
Thomas Partey M 33 5.50 — — — 23 21% — — —
Sevilla Sevilla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Odysseas Vlachodimos G 93 7.20 — — — 20 16% — — —
Oso D 93 7.60 1 — 2 12 10% 3 — —
Gabriel Suazo D 93 5.90 — — — 28 21% 1 — —
Kike Salas D 93 7.30 1 — 2 40 35% 2 — —
César Azpilicueta D 93 6.30 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
José Ángel Carmona D 93 7.20 — — — 36 32% 2 1 —
Djibril Sow M 86 7.50 — 1 1 41 39% 4 — —
L. Agoumé M 93 7.20 — 1 — 31 26% 4 — —
R. Vargas M 67 6.90 — 1 — 31 26% 2 — —
Neal Maupay F 71 6.30 — — 1 16 14% — — —
A. Adams F 86 7.20 1 — 1 14 10% 1 — —
Alexis Sánchez F 22 7.00 — — 1 5 3% 2 — —
Andres Castrin D 7 — — — — — — — — —
Juanlu Sánchez M 26 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Nemanja Gudelj M 7 — — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Sevilla?
The final score was Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla.
What did the model predict before Villarreal vs Sevilla?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Villarreal win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Sevilla win.