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La Liga · Regular Season - 36 May 13, 2026 19:00 Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Villarreal
#3 · 72 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Sevilla
#13 · 43 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Villarreal, result Sevilla wins
G. Moreno (ast. G. Mikautadze) 13'
G. Mikautadze (ast. A. Moleiro) 20'
36' (ast. L. Agoume) Oso
45'+2 (ast. R. Vargas) K. Salas
72' (ast. D. Sow) A. Adams
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Sevilla 14%). The final result was Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla. In 1 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sevilla.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
0.81
Actual xG
0.88
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Moreno · ast. G. Mikautadze
13'
⚽G. Mikautadze · ast. A. Moleiro
20'
36'
ast. L. Agoume · Oso⚽
45'+2
ast. R. Vargas · K. Salas⚽
↕ N. Pepe / T. Buchanan
60'
↕ P. Gueye / T. Partey
60'
68'
J. Sanchez / R. Vargas ↕
↕ G. Mikautadze / A. Perez
70'
↕ D. Parejo / S. Comesana
70'
72'
A. Sanchez / N. Maupay ↕
72'
ast. D. Sow · A. Adams⚽
A. Perez
81'
86'
Castrin / A. Adams ↕
86'
N. Gudelj / D. Sow ↕
R. Veiga
90'+2
90'+3
J. A. Carmona
Pre-match prediction
66.22%
Villarreal
19.52%
X
14.25%
Sevilla ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sevilla) 14.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Villarreal
2.04
0.81
-1.23
Sevilla
0.67
0.88
+0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal Villarreal 38 72
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Real Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe Getafe 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia Valencia 38 49
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol Espanyol 38 46
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 38 45
13 Sevilla Sevilla 38 43
14 Alaves Alaves 38 43
15 Elche Elche 38 43
16 Levante Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna Osasuna 38 42
18 Mallorca Mallorca 38 42
19 Girona Girona 38 41
20 Oviedo Oviedo 38 29
Lineups
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 Arnau Tenas Arnau Tenas G 6.20
24 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza D 5.90
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga D 6.90
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro D 6.50
3 A. Freeman A. Freeman D 6.90
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro 1 👟 M 7.30
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye 60' M 6.90
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo 70' M 7.50
19 N. Pépé N. Pépé 60' M 6.50
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' F 7.20
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
11 Alfon González Alfon González F
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez 23' F 6.50
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa D
1 Luiz Júnior Luiz Júnior G
4 Rafa Marín Rafa Marín D
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña 23' M 6.50
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona D
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 33' F 6.70
16 Thomas Partey Thomas Partey 33' M 5.50
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi F
5 Willy Kambwala Willy Kambwala D
Sevilla Sevilla 5-3-2
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos Odysseas Vlachodimos G 7.20
36 Oso Oso 1 ⚽ D 7.60
12 G. Suazo G. Suazo D 5.90
4 Kike Salas Kike Salas 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3 César Azpilicueta César Azpilicueta D 6.30
2 José Ángel Carmona José Ángel Carmona D 7.20
20 Djibril Sow Djibril Sow 1 👟 86' M 7.50
18 L. Agoumé L. Agoumé 1 👟 M 7.20
11 R. Vargas R. Vargas 1 👟 67' M 6.90
17 Neal Maupay Neal Maupay 71' F 6.30
9 Akor Adams Akor Adams 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.20
Bench
24 Adnan Januzaj Adnan Januzaj M
10 Alexis Sánchez Alexis Sánchez 22' F 7.00
32 Andres Castrin Andres Castrin 7' D
19 Batista Mendy Batista Mendy M
21 Chidera Ejuke Chidera Ejuke F
15 Fábio Cardoso Fábio Cardoso D
8 Joan Jordán Joan Jordán M
16 Juanlu Sánchez Juanlu Sánchez 26' M 6.60
6 Nemanja Gudelj Nemanja Gudelj 7' M
13 Ørjan Nyland Ørjan Nyland G
14 Peque Fernández Peque Fernández F
5 Tanguy Nianzou Tanguy Nianzou D
Best on the pitch
Gerard Moreno
Gerard Moreno
F · Villarreal
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Oso
Oso
D · Sevilla
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow
M · Sevilla
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Dani Parejo
Dani Parejo
M · Villarreal
7.50
· 54 pass
Kike Salas
Kike Salas
D · Sevilla
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
Alberto Moleiro
Alberto Moleiro
M · Villarreal
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 45 pass
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Arnau Tenas G 93 6.20 — — — 24 22% — — —
Alfonso Pedraza D 93 5.90 — — — 49 45% 1 — —
Renato Veiga D 93 6.90 — — — 86 79% 1 1 —
Pau Navarro D 93 6.50 — — 1 56 53% — — —
A. Freeman D 93 6.90 — — — 69 62% 5 — —
Alberto Moleiro M 93 7.30 — 1 1 45 39% 1 — —
P. Gueye M 60 6.90 — — 1 35 29% 1 — —
Dani Parejo M 70 7.50 — — — 54 49% 3 — —
N. Pépé M 60 6.50 — — — 18 17% — — —
G. Mikautadze F 70 7.20 1 1 1 18 16% — — —
Gerard Moreno F 93 7.90 1 — 1 38 34% — — —
Ayoze Pérez F 23 6.50 — — — 6 4% — 1 —
Santi Comesaña M 23 6.50 — — — 12 11% — — —
T. Buchanan F 33 6.70 — — — 9 8% — — —
Thomas Partey M 33 5.50 — — — 23 21% — — —
Sevilla Sevilla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Odysseas Vlachodimos G 93 7.20 — — — 20 16% — — —
Oso D 93 7.60 1 — 2 12 10% 3 — —
G. Suazo D 93 5.90 — — — 28 21% 1 — —
Kike Salas D 93 7.30 1 — 2 40 35% 2 — —
César Azpilicueta D 93 6.30 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
José Ángel Carmona D 93 7.20 — — — 36 32% 2 1 —
Djibril Sow M 86 7.50 — 1 1 41 39% 4 — —
L. Agoumé M 93 7.20 — 1 — 31 26% 4 — —
R. Vargas M 67 6.90 — 1 — 31 26% 2 — —
Neal Maupay F 71 6.30 — — 1 16 14% — — —
Akor Adams F 86 7.20 1 — 1 14 10% 1 — —
Alexis Sánchez F 22 7.00 — — 1 5 3% 2 — —
Andres Castrin D 7 — — — — — — — — —
Juanlu Sánchez M 26 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Nemanja Gudelj M 7 — — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Sevilla?
The final score was Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla.
What did the model predict before Villarreal vs Sevilla?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Villarreal win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Sevilla win.