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La Liga · Regular Season - 36 May 13, 2026 19:00 Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Villarreal
#17 · 2 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Sevilla
#3 · 10 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Villarreal, result Sevilla wins
G. Moreno (ast. G. Mikautadze) 13'
G. Mikautadze (ast. A. Moleiro) 20'
36' (ast. L. Agoume) Oso
45'+2 (ast. R. Vargas) K. Salas
72' (ast. D. Sow) A. Adams
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Sevilla 14%). The final result was Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla. In 1 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sevilla.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
0.81
Actual xG
0.88
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Moreno · ast. G. Mikautadze
13'
⚽G. Mikautadze · ast. A. Moleiro
20'
36'
ast. L. Agoume · Oso⚽
45'+2
ast. R. Vargas · K. Salas⚽
↕ N. Pepe / T. Buchanan
60'
↕ P. Gueye / T. Partey
60'
68'
J. Sanchez / R. Vargas ↕
↕ G. Mikautadze / A. Perez
70'
↕ D. Parejo / S. Comesana
70'
72'
A. Sanchez / N. Maupay ↕
72'
ast. D. Sow · A. Adams⚽
A. Perez
81'
86'
Castrin / A. Adams ↕
86'
N. Gudelj / D. Sow ↕
R. Veiga
90'+2
90'+3
J. A. Carmona
Pre-match prediction
66.22%
Villarreal
19.52%
X
14.25%
Sevilla ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sevilla) 14.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Villarreal
2.04
0.81
-1.23
Sevilla
0.67
0.88
+0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 Arnau Tenas Arnau Tenas G 6.20
24 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza D 5.90
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga D 6.90
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro D 6.50
3 A. Freeman A. Freeman D 6.90
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro 1 👟 M 7.30
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye 60' M 6.90
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo 70' M 7.50
19 N. Pépé N. Pépé 60' M 6.50
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' F 7.20
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
11 Alfon González Alfon González F
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez 23' F 6.50
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa D
1 Luíz Júnior Luíz Júnior G
4 Rafa Marín Rafa Marín D
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña 23' M 6.50
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona D
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 33' F 6.70
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi F
16 T. Partey T. Partey 33' M 5.50
5 Willy Kambwala Ndengushi Willy Kambwala Ndengushi D
Sevilla Sevilla 5-3-2
1 O. Vlachodimos O. Vlachodimos G 7.20
36 Oso Oso 1 ⚽ D 7.60
12 G. Suazo G. Suazo D 5.90
4 Kike Salas Kike Salas 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3 César Azpilicueta César Azpilicueta D 6.30
2 José Ángel Carmona José Ángel Carmona D 7.20
20 Djibril Sow Djibril Sow 1 👟 86' M 7.50
18 L. Agoumé L. Agoumé 1 👟 M 7.20
11 R. Vargas R. Vargas 1 👟 67' M 6.90
17 N. Maupay N. Maupay 71' F 6.30
9 Akor Adams Akor Adams 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.20
Bench
24 Adnan Januzaj Adnan Januzaj M
32 Andrés Castrín Andrés Castrín 7' D
10 A. Sánchez A. Sánchez 22' F 7.00
19 Batista Mendy Batista Mendy M
21 C. Ejuke C. Ejuke F
15 Fábio Cardoso Fábio Cardoso D
8 Joan Jordán Joan Jordán M
16 Juanlu Sánchez Juanlu Sánchez 26' M 6.60
6 N. Gudelj N. Gudelj 7' M
13 Ø. Nyland Ø. Nyland G
14 Peque Fernández Peque Fernández F
5 T. Nianzou T. Nianzou D
Best on the pitch
Gerard Moreno
Gerard Moreno
F · Villarreal
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Oso
Oso
D · Sevilla
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow
M · Sevilla
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Dani Parejo
Dani Parejo
M · Villarreal
7.50
· 54 pass
Kike Salas
Kike Salas
D · Sevilla
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
Alberto Moleiro
Alberto Moleiro
M · Villarreal
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 45 pass
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Arnau Tenas G 93 6.20 — — — 24 22% — — —
Alfonso Pedraza D 93 5.90 — — — 49 45% 1 — —
Renato Veiga D 93 6.90 — — — 86 79% 1 1 —
Pau Navarro D 93 6.50 — — 1 56 53% — — —
A. Freeman D 93 6.90 — — — 69 62% 5 — —
Alberto Moleiro M 93 7.30 — 1 1 45 39% 1 — —
P. Gueye M 60 6.90 — — 1 35 29% 1 — —
Dani Parejo M 70 7.50 — — — 54 49% 3 — —
N. Pépé M 60 6.50 — — — 18 17% — — —
G. Mikautadze F 70 7.20 1 1 1 18 16% — — —
Gerard Moreno F 93 7.90 1 — 1 38 34% — — —
Ayoze Pérez F 23 6.50 — — — 6 4% — 1 —
Santi Comesaña M 23 6.50 — — — 12 11% — — —
T. Buchanan F 33 6.70 — — — 9 8% — — —
T. Partey M 33 5.50 — — — 23 21% — — —
Sevilla Sevilla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Vlachodimos G 93 7.20 — — — 20 16% — — —
Oso D 93 7.60 1 — 2 12 10% 3 — —
G. Suazo D 93 5.90 — — — 28 21% 1 — —
Kike Salas D 93 7.30 1 — 2 40 35% 2 — —
César Azpilicueta D 93 6.30 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
José Ángel Carmona D 93 7.20 — — — 36 32% 2 1 —
Djibril Sow M 86 7.50 — 1 1 41 39% 4 — —
L. Agoumé M 93 7.20 — 1 — 31 26% 4 — —
R. Vargas M 67 6.90 — 1 — 31 26% 2 — —
N. Maupay F 71 6.30 — — 1 16 14% — — —
Akor Adams F 86 7.20 1 — 1 14 10% 1 — —
Andrés Castrín D 7 — — — — — — — — —
A. Sánchez F 22 7.00 — — 1 5 3% 2 — —
Juanlu Sánchez M 26 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
N. Gudelj M 7 — — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Sevilla?
The final score was Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla.
What did the model predict before Villarreal vs Sevilla?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Villarreal win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Sevilla win.