Veikkausliiga
· Regular Season - 6
May 09, 2026 16:00
L. Smyth
7'
(pen.)
63'
(ast. D. Perez)
A. Akinyemi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VPS a 39% win probability (draw 34%, Gnistan 26%). The final result was VPS 1–1 Gnistan.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
1.06
Actual xG
0.63
45%
Possession
55%
8
Corners
4
Match Events
6'
A. Craninx
⚽L. Smyth
(pen.)
7'
44'
J. Ojala
/
R. Gnanou
46'
D. Perez
/
S. Ylatupa
P. Lima
54'
63'
ast. D. Perez ·
A. Akinyemi⚽
J. Muzinga
/ J. Vahtera
68'
74'
V. Hanninen
/
J. Latonen
M. Haukioja
/ M. Niemi
78'
L. Smyth
/ O. Keturi
78'
J. Turfkruier
83'
84'
A. Jouhi
/
S. Eremenko
85'
V. Hanninen
S. Lindholm
/ O. Ogunniyi
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
39.54%
VPS
34.25%
X ←
26.22%
Gnistan
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
1.06
+0.16
0.30
0.63
+0.33
VPS dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
41
G
19
M. Haukioja
D
6
D
2
D
7
J. Turfkruier
M
8
P. Lima
M
34
A. Raisanen
M
27
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
M
11
J. Muzinga
F
14
S. Lindholm
F
15
L. Smyth
1 ⚽
F
Bench
13
O. Ogunniyi
D
24
Y. Daoussi
M
1
A. Craninx
G
4
Marcelo Costa
D
67
A. Obileye
D
24
R. Gnanou
D
10
J. Latonen
F
12
E. Arko-Mensah
M
E. Arko-Mensah
M
14
S. Eremenko
M
27
O. Hannula
M
O. Hannula
M
15
G. Europaeus
M
23
S. Ylatupa
F
17
A. Akinyemi
1 ⚽
F
A. Akinyemi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
31
A. Jouhi
M
11
D. Perez
1 👟
F
40
J. Ojala
D
20
M. H. Bjurstrom
D
19
V. Hänninen
M
V. Hänninen
M
VPS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Haukioja | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Turfkruier | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Lima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Raisanen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kouassivi-Benissan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Muzinga | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lindholm | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Smyth | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gnistan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Craninx | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Costa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Obileye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Gnanou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Latonen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Arko-Mensah | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Eremenko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Hannula | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Europaeus | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Ylatupa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Akinyemi | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VPS vs Gnistan?
The final score was VPS 1–1 Gnistan.
What did the model predict before VPS vs Gnistan?
The model assigned 39% probability to a VPS win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Gnistan win.