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#4 · 30 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#6 · 29 pts
L. Smyth 7' (pen.)
63' (ast. D. Perez) A. Akinyemi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VPS a 39% win probability (draw 34%, Gnistan 26%). The final result was VPS 1–1 Gnistan. In 3 previous meetings, VPS have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Gnistan.

Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
1.06
Actual xG
0.63
45%
Possession
55%
8
Corners
4
Match Events
6'
A. Craninx
L. Smyth (pen.)
7'
44'
J. Ojala / R. Gnanou
46'
D. Perez / S. Ylatupa
P. Lima
54'
63'
ast. D. Perez · A. Akinyemi
J. Muzinga / J. Vahtera
68'
74'
V. Hanninen / J. Latonen
M. Haukioja / M. Niemi
78'
L. Smyth / O. Keturi
78'
J. Turfkruier
83'
84'
A. Jouhi / S. Eremenko
85'
V. Hanninen
S. Lindholm / O. Ogunniyi
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
39.54%
VPS
34.25%
X ←
26.22%
Gnistan
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VPS
0.90
1.06
+0.16
Gnistan
0.30
0.63
+0.33
VPS dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 KuPS KuPS 19 40
2 Inter Turku Inter Turku 19 35
3 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 19 31
4 VPS VPS 19 30
5 AC Oulu AC Oulu 19 30
6 Gnistan Gnistan 19 29
7 Lahti Lahti 19 26
8 Turku PS Turku PS 19 26
9 Ilves Ilves 19 25
10 SJK SJK 19 18
11 FF Jaro FF Jaro 19 15
12 Mariehamn Mariehamn 19 5
Lineups
VPS VPS 3-4-3
41
G
19
Martti Haukioja D
6
D
2
D
7
Jayden Turfkruier M
8 Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima M
34
Antti-Ville Räisänen M
27
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan M
11
Jonathan Muzinga F
14
Simon Lindholm F
15 Luka Smyth Luka Smyth 1 ⚽ F
Bench
13
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi D
24
Yassin Daoussi M
Gnistan Gnistan 3-4-3
1
Alexandro Craninx G
4
Marcelo Costa D
67
Ayo Obileye D
24
Rachide Gnanou D
10
Joakim Latonen F
12
Edmund Arko-Mensah M
14
Sergei Eremenko M
27
Otto Hannula M
15
Gabriel Europaeus M
23
Saku Ylätupa F
17
Adeleke Akinyemi 1 ⚽ F
Bench
31
Adam Jouhi M
11
Danny Pérez 1 👟 F
40
Juhani Ojala D
20
Max Bjurstrøm D
19
Vertti Hänninen M
VPS VPS — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G
Martti Haukioja D
D
D
Jayden Turfkruier M
Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima M
Antti-Ville Räisänen M
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan M
Jonathan Muzinga F
Simon Lindholm F
Luka Smyth F 1
Gnistan Gnistan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexandro Craninx G
Marcelo Costa D
Ayo Obileye D
Rachide Gnanou D
Joakim Latonen F
Edmund Arko-Mensah M
Sergei Eremenko M
Otto Hannula M
Gabriel Europaeus M
Saku Ylätupa F
Adeleke Akinyemi F 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VPS vs Gnistan?
The final score was VPS 1–1 Gnistan.
What did the model predict before VPS vs Gnistan?
The model assigned 39% probability to a VPS win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Gnistan win.