Friendlies Internazionali
· Friendly International
March 31, 2026 20:45
S. Thomas
46'
22'
J. Donley
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wales a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Northern Ireland 33%). The final result was Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
2
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
2
14
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
J. Donley⚽
D. Brooks
38'
B. Cabango
/ D. Lawlor
46'
J. Colwill
/ D. James
46'
46'
P. Charles
/
C. Hazard
46'
G. Saville
/
S. Charles
46'
C. Marshall
/
I. Price
⚽S. Thomas
46'
61'
E. Galbraith
L. Koumas
/ N. Broadhead
64'
64'
B. Spencer
/
C. Brown
64'
B. Lyons
/
P. Kelly
64'
J. Reid
/
J. Donley
/ E. Ampadu
71'
S. Thomas
/ B. Johnson
71'
80'
T. Atcheson
/
E. Galbraith
80'
P. Smyth
/
T. Devlin
J. Dasilva
/ R. Norrington-Davies
88'
Pre-match prediction
33.33%
Wales
33.33%
X ←
33.33%
Northern
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
33.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
—
—
0.78
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
Neco Williams
D
Neco Williams
D
6
Joe Rodon
D
Joe Rodon
D
13
B. Cabango
45'
D
2
J. Dasilva
88'
D
22
Josh Sheehan
M
Josh Sheehan
M
16
J. Colwill
45'
M
7
D. Brooks
M
8
H. Wilson
M
H. Wilson
M
19
S. Thomas
1 ⚽
71'
M
S. Thomas
1 ⚽
71'
M
9
Lewis Koumas
64'
F
Lewis Koumas
64'
F
Bench
11
Brennan Johnson
19'
F
Brennan Johnson
19'
F
4
D. Lawlor
26'
D
5
E. Ampadu
19'
D
E. Ampadu
19'
D
10
L. Cullen
F
18
M. Harris
F
23
Nathan Broadhead
26'
F
15
R. Kpakio
D
14
R. Norrington-Davies
2'
D
15
M
12
C. Hazard
45'
G
5
T. Hume
D
T. Hume
D
3
Eoin Toal
D
Eoin Toal
D
22
C. Brown
64'
D
2
T. Devlin
80'
M
19
Shea Charles
45'
M
Shea Charles
45'
M
7
E. Galbraith
80'
M
13
P. Kelly
64'
F
10
J. Donley
1 ⚽
64'
F
14
I. Price
45'
F
Bench
16
B. Lyons
26'
M
B. Lyons
26'
M
20
B. Spencer
26'
D
8
Callum Marshall
45'
F
21
J. Magennis
F
24
J. McDonnell
M
18
J. Reid
26'
F
J. Reid
26'
F
11
Paul Smyth
10'
F
23
P. Charles
45'
G
Best on the pitch
G · Wales
7.70
· 37 pass
Joe Rodon
D · Wales
7.30
· 109 pass
S. Thomas
M · Wales
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
P. Charles
G · Northern
7.20
· 19 pass
E. Ampadu
D · Wales
7.20
· 41 pass
D. Lawlor
D · Wales
7.20
· 32 pass
Wales — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| Neco Williams | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 109 | 100% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Cabango | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dasilva | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 89 | 81% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Sheehan | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Brooks | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Wilson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 71 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Koumas | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Lawlor | D | 26 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 32% | — | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | D | 19 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Nathan Broadhead | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Norrington-Davies | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Northern Ireland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 4 | — | — | |
| C. Hazard | G | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Eoin Toal | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Brown | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Devlin | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Galbraith | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Kelly | F | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Donley | F | 64 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Price | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Lyons | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Spencer | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Callum Marshall | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Reid | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Paul Smyth | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Charles | G | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wales vs Northern Ireland?
The final score was Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland.
What did the model predict before Wales vs Northern Ireland?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Wales win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an Northern Ireland win.