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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wales a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Northern Ireland 33%). The final result was Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
2
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
2
14
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
J. Donley
D. Brooks
38'
B. Cabango / D. Lawlor
46'
J. Colwill / D. James
46'
46'
P. Charles / C. Hazard
46'
G. Saville / S. Charles
46'
C. Marshall / I. Price
S. Thomas
46'
61'
E. Galbraith
L. Koumas / N. Broadhead
64'
64'
B. Spencer / C. Brown
64'
B. Lyons / P. Kelly
64'
J. Reid / J. Donley
/ E. Ampadu
71'
S. Thomas / B. Johnson
71'
80'
T. Atcheson / E. Galbraith
80'
P. Smyth / T. Devlin
J. Dasilva / R. Norrington-Davies
88'
Pre-match prediction
33.33%
Wales
33.33%
X ←
33.33%
Northern
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 33.33% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wales
0.96
Northern
0.78
Lineups
1
G 7.70
3 N. Williams N. Williams D 6.60
6 Joe Rodon Joe Rodon D 7.30
13
B. Cabango 45' D 6.50
2 J. Dasilva J. Dasilva 88' D 6.60
22 J. Sheehan J. Sheehan M 7.20
16 J. Colwill J. Colwill 45' M 6.20
7 D. Brooks D. Brooks M 7.20
8 H. Wilson H. Wilson M 6.90
19 S. Thomas S. Thomas 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.30
9 Lewis Koumas Lewis Koumas 64' F 6.50
Bench
11 Brennan Johnson Brennan Johnson 19' F 6.50
4 Dylan Lawlor Dylan Lawlor 26' D 7.20
5 E. Ampadu E. Ampadu 19' D 7.20
10
L. Cullen F
18
M. Harris F
23 N. Broadhead N. Broadhead 26' F 6.20
14 Rhys Norrington-Davies Rhys Norrington-Davies 2' D
15 R. Kpakio R. Kpakio D
15
M 7.00
12
C. Hazard 45' G 6.70
5 T. Hume T. Hume D 6.90
3 Eoin Toal Eoin Toal D 6.90
22 Ciaron Brown Ciaron Brown 64' D 6.30
2 T. Devlin T. Devlin 80' M 6.90
19 Shea Charles Shea Charles 45' M 6.20
7 Ethan Galbraith Ethan Galbraith 80' M 6.70
13 Patrick Kelly Patrick Kelly 64' F 7.00
10 Jamie Donley Jamie Donley 1 ⚽ 64' F 7.20
14 Isaac Price Isaac Price 45' F 6.50
Bench
16 B. Lyons B. Lyons 26' M 6.70
20 Brodie Spencer Brodie Spencer 26' D 6.70
8 Callum Marshall Callum Marshall 45' F 6.50
24 Jamie McDonnell Jamie McDonnell M
21 Josh Magennis Josh Magennis F
18 J. Reid J. Reid 26' F 6.30
11 Paul Smyth Paul Smyth 10' F 6.90
23 Pierce Charles Pierce Charles 45' G 7.20
Best on the pitch
G · Wales
7.70
· 37 pass
Joe Rodon
Joe Rodon
D · Wales
7.30
· 109 pass
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
M · Wales
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Pierce Charles
Pierce Charles
G · Northern
7.20
· 19 pass
E. Ampadu
E. Ampadu
D · Wales
7.20
· 41 pass
Dylan Lawlor
Dylan Lawlor
D · Wales
7.20
· 32 pass
Wales Wales — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 37 31%
N. Williams D 90 6.60 2 59 50% 2
Joe Rodon D 90 7.30 109 100% 2
B. Cabango D 45 6.50 45 38% 1
J. Dasilva D 88 6.60 89 81% 2
J. Sheehan M 90 7.20 58 57% 1
J. Colwill M 45 6.20 1 12 9%
D. Brooks M 90 7.20 51 44% 1 1
H. Wilson M 90 6.90 3 45 39% 2
S. Thomas M 71 7.30 1 1 31 26%
Lewis Koumas F 64 6.50 1 7 3%
Brennan Johnson F 19 6.50 11 8%
Dylan Lawlor D 26 7.20 32 32%
E. Ampadu D 19 7.20 41 37% 2
N. Broadhead F 26 6.20 11 8% 1
Rhys Norrington-Davies D 2 11 11%
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M 90 7.00 36 30% 4
C. Hazard G 45 6.70 14 5%
T. Hume D 90 6.90 39 30% 1
Eoin Toal D 90 6.90 2 23 22%
Ciaron Brown D 64 6.30 21 18%
T. Devlin M 80 6.90 31 23% 1
Shea Charles M 45 6.20 19 13%
Ethan Galbraith M 80 6.70 31 22% 1
Patrick Kelly F 64 7.00 14 12%
Jamie Donley F 64 7.20 1 3 6 6% 1
Isaac Price F 45 6.50 1 19 12% 1
B. Lyons M 26 6.70 8 7%
Brodie Spencer D 26 6.70 16 13% 1
Callum Marshall F 45 6.50 1 10 6% 1
J. Reid F 26 6.30 2 2%
Paul Smyth F 10 6.90 2 2%
Pierce Charles G 45 7.20 19 8%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wales vs Northern Ireland?
The final score was Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland.
What did the model predict before Wales vs Northern Ireland?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Wales win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an Northern Ireland win.