Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland — pre-match prediction — Friendlies Internazionali — March 31, 2026

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Friendlies Internazionali · Friendly International March 31, 2026 20:45

Wales

1 – 1

Final score

Northern Ireland

S. Thomas 46'

22' J. Donley

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wales a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Northern Ireland 33%). The final result was Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

66%

Possession

34%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

22'

J. Donley⚽

D. Brooks

38'

↕ B. Cabango / D. Lawlor

46'

↕ J. Colwill / D. James

46'

P. Charles / C. Hazard ↕

46'

G. Saville / S. Charles ↕

46'

C. Marshall / I. Price ↕

⚽S. Thomas

46'

61'

E. Galbraith

↕ L. Koumas / N. Broadhead

64'

B. Spencer / C. Brown ↕

64'

B. Lyons / P. Kelly ↕

64'

J. Reid / J. Donley ↕

↕ / E. Ampadu

71'

↕ S. Thomas / B. Johnson

71'

80'

T. Atcheson / E. Galbraith ↕

80'

P. Smyth / T. Devlin ↕

↕ J. Dasilva / R. Norrington-Davies

88'

Pre-match prediction

33.33%

Wales

33.33%

X ←

33.33%

Northern

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 33.33% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Wales

0.96

—

Northern

0.78

—

Lineups

Wales

G 7.70

N. Williams D 6.60

Joe Rodon D 7.30

B. Cabango 45' D 6.50

J. Dasilva 88' D 6.60

J. Sheehan M 7.20

J. Colwill 45' M 6.20

D. Brooks M 7.20

H. Wilson M 6.90

S. Thomas 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.30

L. Koumas 64' F 6.50

Bench

B. Johnson 19' F 6.50

Dylan Lawlor 26' D 7.20

E. Ampadu 19' D 7.20

L. Cullen F

M. Harris F

N. Broadhead 26' F 6.20

R. Kpakio D

R. Norrington-Davies 2' D

Northern Ireland

M 7.00

C. Hazard 45' G 6.70

T. Hume D 6.90

E. Toal D 6.90

C. Brown 64' D 6.30

T. Devlin 80' M 6.90

S. Charles 45' M 6.20

E. Galbraith 80' M 6.70

Patrick Kelly 64' F 7.00

J. Donley 1 ⚽ 64' F 7.20

I. Price 45' F 6.50

Bench

B. Lyons 26' M 6.70

B. Spencer 26' D 6.70

C. Marshall 45' F 6.50

Jamie Carson McDonnell M

J. Magennis F

J. Reid 26' F 6.30

P. Charles 45' G 7.20

P. Smyth 10' F 6.90

Best on the pitch

G · Wales

7.70

· 37 pass

Joe Rodon

D · Wales

7.30

· 109 pass

S. Thomas

M · Wales

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 31 pass

P. Charles

G · Northern

7.20

· 19 pass

E. Ampadu

D · Wales

7.20

· 41 pass

J. Sheehan

M · Wales

7.20

· 58 pass

Wales — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	37	31%	—	—	—
N. Williams	D	90	6.60	—	—	2	59	50%	2	—	—
Joe Rodon	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	109	100%	2	—	—
B. Cabango	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	45	38%	1	—	—
J. Dasilva	D	88	6.60	—	—	—	89	81%	2	—	—
J. Sheehan	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	58	57%	1	—	—
J. Colwill	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	12	9%	—	—	—
D. Brooks	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	51	44%	1	1	—
H. Wilson	M	90	6.90	—	—	3	45	39%	2	—	—
S. Thomas	M	71	7.30	1	—	1	31	26%	—	—	—
L. Koumas	F	64	6.50	—	—	1	7	3%	—	—	—
B. Johnson	F	19	6.50	—	—	—	11	8%	—	—	—
Dylan Lawlor	D	26	7.20	—	—	—	32	32%	—	—	—
E. Ampadu	D	19	7.20	—	—	—	41	37%	2	—	—
N. Broadhead	F	26	6.20	—	—	—	11	8%	1	—	—
R. Norrington-Davies	D	2	—	—	—	—	11	11%	—	—	—

Northern Ireland — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	36	30%	4	—	—
C. Hazard	G	45	6.70	—	—	—	14	5%	—	—	—
T. Hume	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	39	30%	1	—	—
E. Toal	D	90	6.90	—	—	2	23	22%	—	—	—
C. Brown	D	64	6.30	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
T. Devlin	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	31	23%	1	—	—
S. Charles	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	19	13%	—	—	—
E. Galbraith	M	80	6.70	—	—	—	31	22%	—	1	—
Patrick Kelly	F	64	7.00	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—
J. Donley	F	64	7.20	1	—	3	6	6%	1	—	—
I. Price	F	45	6.50	—	—	1	19	12%	1	—	—
B. Lyons	M	26	6.70	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
B. Spencer	D	26	6.70	—	—	—	16	13%	1	—	—
C. Marshall	F	45	6.50	—	—	1	10	6%	1	—	—
J. Reid	F	26	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
P. Charles	G	45	7.20	—	—	—	19	8%	—	—	—
P. Smyth	F	10	6.90	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Wales vs Northern Ireland?

The final score was Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland.

What did the model predict before Wales vs Northern Ireland?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Wales win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an Northern Ireland win.