Waterford - Drogheda United
Premier Division
April 10, 2026 22:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.15%
Win
Waterford
28.4%
Draw
45.45%
Win
Drogheda United
1.04
1.5
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Drogheda United a 45% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Waterford. Expected goals are 1.0 for Waterford and 1.5 for Drogheda United (total 2.5), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Waterford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Drogheda United.
Score Matrix
↕ Waterford
Drogheda United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Waterford
Attack
28
Defence
48
Form
29
Drogheda United
Attack
38
Defence
49
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
13 Feb 2026
0–2
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shamrock Rovers
|
16 | 34 |
| 2 |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
16 | 31 |
| 3 |
Bohemians
|
16 | 25 |
| 4 |
Dundalk
|
16 | 22 |
| 5 |
Derry City
|
16 | 19 |
| 6 |
Drogheda United
|
15 | 19 |
| 7 |
Shelbourne
|
15 | 18 |
| 8 |
Galway United
|
15 | 17 |
| 9 |
Sligo Rovers
|
16 | 16 |
| 10 |
Waterford
|
15 | 6 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
The model gives Waterford a 26% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 45% for an Drogheda United win.
How many goals are expected in Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Expected goals: Waterford 1.0, Drogheda United 1.5 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Waterford vs Drogheda United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.