Premier Division
· Regular Season - 11
May 18, 2026 20:45
T. Lonergan
(ast. H. Cann)
35'
T. Lonergan
90'+5
(pen.)
6'
M. Doyle
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Waterford a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Drogheda United 31%). The final result was Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United. In 2 previous meetings, Waterford have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Drogheda United.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
1.72
Actual xG
1.38
4
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
4
13
Tackles
10
6
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
M. Doyle⚽
⚽T. Lonergan
· ast. H. Cann
35'
41'
S. Farrell
L. Heeney
42'
46'
L. Burney
/
A. Quinn
W. Johnson
50'
54'
K. Cruise
/
C. Keeley
H. Cann
56'
K. Long
63'
C. Noonan
/ J. Voilas
64'
67'
J. Godden
/
B. Kavanagh
L. Heeney
/ J. Faria
75'
D. McMenamy
78'
⚽T. Lonergan
(pen.)
90'+5
T. Lonergan
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
44.28%
Waterford ←
24.57%
X
31.15%
Drogheda
we assigned to the actual result (Waterford)
44.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.72
+0.14
1.16
1.38
+0.22
Waterford dominated by xG (1.72 vs 1.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Stephen McMullan
G
Stephen McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
D
Benny Couto
D
13
Kevin Long
D
Kevin Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
Hayden Cann
1 👟
D
Hayden Cann
1 👟
D
4
Will Johnson
D
Will Johnson
D
27
Dean McMenamy
M
Dean McMenamy
M
15
L. Heeney
75'
M
L. Heeney
75'
M
10
Conan Noonan
64'
M
Conan Noonan
64'
M
18
T. Lonergan
2 ⚽
F
T. Lonergan
2 ⚽
F
9
P. Amond
F
P. Amond
F
Bench
21
Arlo Doherty
G
Arlo Doherty
G
6
Cian Barrett
D
Cian Barrett
D
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
14
Jesse Dempsey
D
Jesse Dempsey
D
17
Jordan Faria
21'
M
Jordan Faria
21'
M
20
J. Voilås
32'
F
J. Voilås
32'
F
22
Ronan Mansfield
F
Ronan Mansfield
F
19
Samuel Glenfield
M
Samuel Glenfield
M
11
Trae Coyle
F
Trae Coyle
F
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
3
Conor Kane
D
Conor Kane
D
4
Andrew Quinn
45'
D
Andrew Quinn
45'
D
22
Conor Keeley
54'
D
Conor Keeley
54'
D
2
Edwin Agbaje
D
Edwin Agbaje
D
19
R. Brennan
M
R. Brennan
M
17
S. Farrell
M
S. Farrell
M
11
Thomas Oluwa
M
Thomas Oluwa
M
10
B. Kavanagh
67'
M
B. Kavanagh
67'
M
24
Warren Davis
M
Warren Davis
M
14
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
F
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
F
Bench
30
Cian O'Connor
M
Cian O'Connor
M
32
Daniel Mare
F
Daniel Mare
F
15
Dare Kareem
F
Dare Kareem
F
6
Jago Godden
29'
F
Jago Godden
29'
F
29
Jamie Brennan
M
Jamie Brennan
M
31
Kieran Cruise
42'
D
Kieran Cruise
42'
D
5
Leo Burney
51'
D
Leo Burney
51'
D
1
Luke Dennison
G
Luke Dennison
G
33
Sean McGrath
M
Sean McGrath
M
Best on the pitch
T. Lonergan
F · Waterford
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Stephen McMullan
G · Waterford
8.20
· 24 pass
Kevin Long
D · Waterford
7.90
1 shots
· 18 pass
Dean McMenamy
M · Waterford
7.30
1 shots
· 30 pass
Edwin Agbaje
D · Drogheda
7.30
· 21 pass
M. Doyle
F · Drogheda
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen McMullan | G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Long | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Hayden Cann | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Will Johnson | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dean McMenamy | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 5% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Conan Noonan | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 96 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 26 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Faria | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Talley | G | 96 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Conor Kane | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrew Quinn | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Conor Keeley | D | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Agbaje | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Thomas Oluwa | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Warren Davis | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jago Godden | F | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Kieran Cruise | D | 42 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 51 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Drogheda United?
The final score was Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Drogheda United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Waterford win, 24% to a draw, and 31% to an Drogheda United win.