Premier Division
· Regular Season - 11
May 18, 2026 20:45
T. Lonergan
(ast. H. Cann)
35'
T. Lonergan
90'+5
(pen.)
6'
M. Doyle
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Waterford a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Drogheda United 31%). The final result was Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United. In 3 previous meetings, Waterford have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Drogheda United.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
1.72
Actual xG
1.38
4
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
4
13
Tackles
10
6
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
M. Doyle⚽
⚽T. Lonergan
· ast. H. Cann
35'
41'
S. Farrell
L. Heeney
42'
46'
L. Burney
/
A. Quinn
W. Johnson
50'
54'
K. Cruise
/
C. Keeley
H. Cann
56'
K. Long
63'
C. Noonan
/ J. Voilas
64'
67'
J. Godden
/
B. Kavanagh
L. Heeney
/ J. Faria
75'
D. McMenamy
78'
⚽T. Lonergan
(pen.)
90'+5
T. Lonergan
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
44.28%
Waterford ←
24.57%
X
31.15%
Drogheda
we assigned to the actual result (Waterford)
44.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.72
+0.14
1.16
1.38
+0.22
Waterford dominated by xG (1.72 vs 1.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
D
Benny Couto
D
13
K. Long
D
K. Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
H. Cann
1 👟
D
H. Cann
1 👟
D
4
Will Johnson
D
Will Johnson
D
27
D. McMenamy
M
D. McMenamy
M
15
L. Heeney
75'
M
L. Heeney
75'
M
10
C. Noonan
64'
M
C. Noonan
64'
M
18
T. Lonergan
2 ⚽
F
T. Lonergan
2 ⚽
F
9
P. Amond
F
P. Amond
F
Bench
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
6
Cian Barrett
D
Cian Barrett
D
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
14
J. Dempsey
D
J. Dempsey
D
17
J. Faria
21'
M
J. Faria
21'
M
20
J. Voilås
32'
F
J. Voilås
32'
F
22
Ronan Mansfield
F
Ronan Mansfield
F
19
S. Glenfield
M
S. Glenfield
M
11
T. Coyle
F
T. Coyle
F
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
3
C. Kane
D
C. Kane
D
4
A. Quinn
45'
D
A. Quinn
45'
D
22
C. Keeley
54'
D
C. Keeley
54'
D
2
E. Agbaje
D
E. Agbaje
D
19
R. Brennan
M
R. Brennan
M
17
S. Farrell
M
S. Farrell
M
11
T. Oluwa
M
T. Oluwa
M
10
B. Kavanagh
67'
M
B. Kavanagh
67'
M
24
W. Davis
M
W. Davis
M
14
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
F
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
F
Bench
30
Cian O'Connor
M
Cian O'Connor
M
15
Dare Kareem
F
Dare Kareem
F
32
D. Mare
F
D. Mare
F
29
J. Brennan
M
J. Brennan
M
6
J. Godden
29'
F
J. Godden
29'
F
31
K. Cruise
42'
D
K. Cruise
42'
D
1
L. Dennison
G
L. Dennison
G
5
Leo Burney
51'
D
Leo Burney
51'
D
33
S. McGrath
M
S. McGrath
M
Best on the pitch
T. Lonergan
F · Waterford
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
S. McMullan
G · Waterford
8.20
· 24 pass
K. Long
D · Waterford
7.90
1 shots
· 18 pass
D. McMenamy
M · Waterford
7.30
1 shots
· 30 pass
E. Agbaje
D · Drogheda
7.30
· 21 pass
M. Doyle
F · Drogheda
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Long | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Will Johnson | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 5% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 96 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 26 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Faria | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Talley | G | 96 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Kane | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Quinn | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| C. Keeley | D | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| E. Agbaje | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Oluwa | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Davis | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Godden | F | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Cruise | D | 42 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 51 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Drogheda United?
The final score was Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Drogheda United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Waterford win, 24% to a draw, and 31% to an Drogheda United win.