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Championship · Regular Season - 41 April 06, 2026 16:00
Watford
#16 · 57 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Charlton
#19 · 53 pts
N. Irankunda (ast. I. Louza) 75'
62' M. Godden

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Watford a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Charlton 20%). The final result was Watford 1–1 Charlton. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Charlton.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
2.11
3
Saves
9
63%
Possession
37%
17
Corners
3
9
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
33'
G. Docherty
N. Mendy
34'
38'
H. Clarke
60'
M. Godden / L. Chambers ↕
60'
J. Rankin-Costello / S. Carey ↕
62'
M. Godden⚽
↕ L. Kjerrumgaard / A. Nabizada
63'
↕ J. Petris / K. Baah
72'
⚽N. Irankunda · ast. I. Louza
75'
80'
J. Fevrier / L. Dykes ↕
↕ N. Irankunda / T. Ince
81'
↕ M. Doumbia / V. Semedo
81'
90'+8
M. Gillesphey / C. Coady ↕
E. Selvik
90'+15
Pre-match prediction
49.59%
Watford
29.9%
X ←
20.51%
Charlton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Watford
1.32
1.13
-0.19
Charlton
0.71
2.11
+1.4
Charlton dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.13). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Watford Watford 4-4-2
1
E. Selvik G 7.70
4
D 6.60
3
Saba Goglichidze D 6.20
6
M. Pollock D 6.70
29
J. Petris 72' D 6.30
8
G. Chakvetadze M 7.90
10 I. Louza I. Louza 1 👟 M 8.00
23
N. Mendy M 6.90
66 N. Irankunda N. Irankunda 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.60
20
M. Doumbia 81' F 6.30
9
L. Kjerrumgaard 63' F 6.70
Bench
15
E. Bove M
17
P. Ekwah M
Charlton Charlton 3-4-2-1
25
G 7.70
17 A. Bell A. Bell D 6.90
5
L. Jones D 7.50
2
Kayne Ramsay D 6.90
19
L. Chambers 61' M 7.00
10
G. Docherty M 6.30
15
C. Coady M 7.30
44
Harry Clarke M 7.00
7
Tyreece Campbell F 8.00
14
S. Carey 61' F 6.90
99
L. Dykes 81' F 6.50
Bench
6
C. Coventry M
23
C. Kelman F
41
H. Knibbs M
77
J. Fevrier 24' F 6.30
26
J. Rankin-Costello 44' M 6.70
3
M. Gillesphey 6' D
24
M. Godden 1 ⚽ 44' F 7.20
Best on the pitch
Tyreece Campbell
F · Charlton
8.00
2 shots · 6 pass
I. Louza
I. Louza
M · Watford
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 65 pass
G. Chakvetadze
M · Watford
7.90
3 shots · 44 pass
E. Selvik
G · Watford
7.70
· 24 pass
G · Charlton
7.70
· 33 pass
N. Irankunda
N. Irankunda
M · Watford
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots · 15 pass
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Selvik G 105 7.70 — — — 24 16% — 1 —
D 105 6.60 — — — 32 24% 1 — —
Saba Goglichidze D 105 6.20 — — 1 32 29% — — —
M. Pollock D 105 6.70 — — 2 34 25% 1 — —
J. Petris D 72 6.30 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
G. Chakvetadze M 105 7.90 — — 3 44 40% — — —
I. Louza M 105 8.00 — 1 1 65 59% 2 — —
N. Mendy M 105 6.90 — — — 42 39% 1 1 —
N. Irankunda M 81 7.60 1 — 5 15 10% 3 — —
M. Doumbia F 81 6.30 — — 1 17 16% — — —
L. Kjerrumgaard F 63 6.70 — — — 10 4% — — —
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 105 7.70 — — — 33 16% — — —
A. Bell D 105 6.90 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
L. Jones D 105 7.50 — — 3 29 27% — — —
Kayne Ramsay D 105 6.90 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
L. Chambers M 61 7.00 — — 1 11 7% 1 — —
G. Docherty M 105 6.30 — — 1 25 18% 3 1 —
C. Coady M 99 7.30 — — 1 18 14% 2 — —
Harry Clarke M 105 7.00 — — — 11 9% 2 1 —
Tyreece Campbell F 105 8.00 — — 2 6 4% 1 — —
S. Carey F 61 6.90 — — 1 8 3% 2 — —
L. Dykes F 81 6.50 — — — 17 7% — — —
J. Fevrier F 24 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Rankin-Costello M 44 6.70 — — 1 2 1% — — —
M. Gillesphey D 6 — — — — — — — — —
M. Godden F 44 7.20 1 — 1 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Charlton?
The final score was Watford 1–1 Charlton.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Charlton?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Watford win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an Charlton win.