N. Irankunda
(ast. I. Louza)
75'
62'
M. Godden
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Watford a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Charlton 20%). The final result was Watford 1–1 Charlton. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Charlton.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
2.11
3
Saves
9
63%
Possession
37%
17
Corners
3
9
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
33'
G. Docherty
N. Mendy
34'
38'
H. Clarke
60'
M. Godden
/
L. Chambers
60'
J. Rankin-Costello
/
S. Carey
62'
M. Godden⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard
/ A. Nabizada
63'
J. Petris
/ K. Baah
72'
⚽N. Irankunda
· ast. I. Louza
75'
80'
J. Fevrier
/
L. Dykes
N. Irankunda
/ T. Ince
81'
M. Doumbia
/ V. Semedo
81'
90'+8
M. Gillesphey
/
C. Coady
E. Selvik
90'+15
Pre-match prediction
49.59%
Watford
29.9%
X ←
20.51%
Charlton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.13
-0.19
0.71
2.11
+1.4
Charlton dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.13).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
E. Selvik
G
E. Selvik
G
4
D
3
S. Goglichidze
D
S. Goglichidze
D
6
M. Pollock
D
M. Pollock
D
29
J. Pétris
72'
D
J. Pétris
72'
D
8
G. Chakvetadze
M
G. Chakvetadze
M
10
I. Louza
1 👟
M
I. Louza
1 👟
M
23
N. Mendy
M
N. Mendy
M
66
Nestory Irankunda
1 ⚽
81'
M
Nestory Irankunda
1 ⚽
81'
M
20
M. Doumbia
81'
F
M. Doumbia
81'
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
63'
F
L. Kjerrumgaard
63'
F
Bench
15
E. Bove
M
E. Bove
M
17
P. Ekwah
M
P. Ekwah
M
25
G
17
A. Bell
D
A. Bell
D
5
L. Jones
D
L. Jones
D
2
Kayne Ramsay
D
19
L. Chambers
61'
M
L. Chambers
61'
M
10
Greg Docherty
M
Greg Docherty
M
15
C. Coady
M
44
H. Clarke
M
H. Clarke
M
7
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell
F
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell
F
14
S. Carey
61'
F
S. Carey
61'
F
99
L. Dykes
81'
F
L. Dykes
81'
F
Bench
6
C. Coventry
M
C. Coventry
M
23
C. Kelman
F
C. Kelman
F
41
H. Knibbs
M
H. Knibbs
M
77
J. Fevrier
24'
F
J. Fevrier
24'
F
26
J. Rankin-Costello
44'
M
J. Rankin-Costello
44'
M
24
Matt Godden
1 ⚽
44'
F
Matt Godden
1 ⚽
44'
F
3
M. Gillesphey
6'
D
M. Gillesphey
6'
D
Best on the pitch
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell
F · Charlton
8.00
2 shots
· 6 pass
I. Louza
M · Watford
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 65 pass
G. Chakvetadze
M · Watford
7.90
3 shots
· 44 pass
E. Selvik
G · Watford
7.70
· 24 pass
G · Charlton
7.70
· 33 pass
Nestory Irankunda
M · Watford
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 15 pass
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik | G | 105 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 105 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Goglichidze | D | 105 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Pollock | D | 105 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pétris | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Chakvetadze | M | 105 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| I. Louza | M | 105 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 65 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mendy | M | 105 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nestory Irankunda | M | 81 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Doumbia | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
Charlton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 105 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bell | D | 105 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jones | D | 105 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Kayne Ramsay | D | 105 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Chambers | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Greg Docherty | M | 105 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Coady | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Clarke | M | 105 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell | F | 105 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Carey | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Dykes | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Fevrier | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Rankin-Costello | M | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matt Godden | F | 44 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Gillesphey | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Charlton?
The final score was Watford 1–1 Charlton.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Charlton?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Watford win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an Charlton win.