N. Irankunda
(ast. I. Louza)
75'
62'
M. Godden
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Watford a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Charlton 20%). The final result was Watford 1–1 Charlton. In 1 previous meetings, Watford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Charlton.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
2.11
3
Saves
9
63%
Possession
37%
17
Corners
3
9
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
33'
G. Docherty
N. Mendy
34'
38'
H. Clarke
60'
M. Godden
/
L. Chambers
60'
J. Rankin-Costello
/
S. Carey
62'
M. Godden⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard
/ A. Nabizada
63'
J. Petris
/ K. Baah
72'
⚽N. Irankunda
· ast. I. Louza
75'
80'
J. Fevrier
/
L. Dykes
N. Irankunda
/ T. Ince
81'
M. Doumbia
/ V. Semedo
81'
90'+8
M. Gillesphey
/
C. Coady
E. Selvik
90'+15
Pre-match prediction
49.59%
Watford
29.9%
X ←
20.51%
Charlton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.13
-0.19
0.71
2.11
+1.4
Charlton dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.13).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Egil Selvik
G
Egil Selvik
G
4
D
3
Saba Goglichidze
D
6
M. Pollock
D
29
J. Petris
72'
D
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
M
10
I. Louza
1 👟
M
I. Louza
1 👟
M
23
N. Mendy
M
66
N. Irankunda
1 ⚽
81'
M
N. Irankunda
1 ⚽
81'
M
20
M. Doumbia
81'
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
63'
F
Bench
15
E. Bove
M
17
P. Ekwah
M
25
G
17
A. Bell
D
A. Bell
D
5
L. Jones
D
2
Kayne Ramsay
D
19
L. Chambers
61'
M
10
G. Docherty
M
15
C. Coady
M
44
Harry Clarke
M
7
Tyreece Campbell
F
14
S. Carey
61'
F
99
Lyndon Dykes
81'
F
Lyndon Dykes
81'
F
Bench
23
C. Kelman
F
6
Conor Coventry
M
Conor Coventry
M
41
H. Knibbs
M
77
J. Fevrier
24'
F
26
J. Rankin-Costello
44'
M
3
M. Gillesphey
6'
D
24
M. Godden
1 ⚽
44'
F
Best on the pitch
Tyreece Campbell
F · Charlton
8.00
2 shots
· 6 pass
I. Louza
M · Watford
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 65 pass
Giorgi Chakvetadze
M · Watford
7.90
3 shots
· 44 pass
Egil Selvik
G · Watford
7.70
· 24 pass
G · Charlton
7.70
· 33 pass
N. Irankunda
M · Watford
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 15 pass
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil Selvik | G | 105 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 105 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Saba Goglichidze | D | 105 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Pollock | D | 105 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Petris | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | M | 105 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| I. Louza | M | 105 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 65 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mendy | M | 105 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Irankunda | M | 81 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Doumbia | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
Charlton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 105 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bell | D | 105 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jones | D | 105 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Kayne Ramsay | D | 105 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Chambers | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Docherty | M | 105 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Coady | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Harry Clarke | M | 105 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tyreece Campbell | F | 105 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Carey | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Lyndon Dykes | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Fevrier | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Rankin-Costello | M | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Gillesphey | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Godden | F | 44 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Watford vs Charlton?
The final score was Watford 1–1 Charlton.
What did the model predict before Watford vs Charlton?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Watford win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an Charlton win.