A-League Men
· Regular Season - 25
April 18, 2026 07:00
I. Eze
(ast. T. Payne)
16'
K. Nagasawa
(ast. T. Payne)
56'
41'
(ast. A. Thurgate)
B. Borrello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wellington Phoenix a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Western Sydney Wanderers 26%). The final result was Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers. In 1 previous meetings, Wellington Phoenix have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Western Sydney Wanderers.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
7
6
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
10
Corners
4
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽I. Eze
· ast. T. Payne
16'
A. Rufer
38'
41'
ast. A. Thurgate ·
B. Borrello⚽
⚽K. Nagasawa
· ast. T. Payne
56'
59'
A. Waraga
/
J. Rose
T. Payne
/ M. Sheridan
62'
R. Najjarine
/ S. Kartum
62'
78'
H. Ibusuki
/
S. Ugarkovic
C. Piper
/ L. Brooke-Smith
83'
Pre-match prediction
49.23%
Wellington ←
24.05%
X
26.72%
Western
we assigned to the actual result (Wellington Phoenix)
49.23%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
—
—
1.41
—
—
Lineups
1
G
18
L. Kelly-Heald
D
15
D
28
D
6
T. Payne
2 👟
62'
D
T. Payne
2 👟
62'
D
25
K. Nagasawa
1 ⚽
M
K. Nagasawa
1 ⚽
M
8
P. Retre
M
14
A. Rufer
M
A. Rufer
M
20
R. Najjarine
62'
M
3
C. Piper
83'
F
C. Piper
83'
F
7
I. Eze
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
D. Edwards
D
16
S. Kartum
28'
M
30
G
3
A. Gersbach
D
22
A. Pantazopoulos
D
A. Pantazopoulos
D
24
D
5
D. Scicluna
D
32
Angus Thurgate
1 👟
M
8
S. Ugarkovic
78'
M
7
M
23
B. Kraev
M
38
Jai Rose
59'
M
26
B. Borrello
1 ⚽
F
Bench
52
A. Waraga
31'
F
25
J. Brillante
M
Best on the pitch
K. Nagasawa
M · Wellington
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
G · Wellington
8.60
· 21 pass
T. Payne
D · Wellington
8.20
2 👟
· 30 pass
B. Borrello
F · Western
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
M · Western
7.50
3 shots
· 48 pass
G · Western
7.30
· 33 pass
Wellington Phoenix — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| L. Kelly-Heald | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 39% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 41% | 1 | — | — | |
| T. Payne | D | 62 | 8.20 | — | 2 | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| K. Nagasawa | M | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Retre | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Rufer | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 43% | 4 | 1 | — |
| R. Najjarine | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| C. Piper | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Eze | F | 90 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Kartum | M | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Western Sydney Wanderers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| A. Gersbach | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pantazopoulos | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 3 | — | — | |
| D. Scicluna | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Angus Thurgate | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ugarkovic | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 43% | — | — | — | |
| B. Kraev | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Jai Rose | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Borrello | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Waraga | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The final score was Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers.
What did the model predict before Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Wellington Phoenix win, 24% to a draw, and 26% to an Western Sydney Wanderers win.