A-League Men
· Regular Season - 25
April 18, 2026 07:00
I. Eze
(ast. T. Payne)
16'
K. Nagasawa
(ast. T. Payne)
56'
41'
(ast. A. Thurgate)
B. Borrello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wellington Phoenix a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Western Sydney Wanderers 26%). The final result was Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers. In 1 previous meetings, Wellington Phoenix have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Western Sydney Wanderers.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
7
6
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
10
Corners
4
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽I. Eze
· ast. T. Payne
16'
A. Rufer
38'
41'
ast. A. Thurgate ·
B. Borrello⚽
⚽K. Nagasawa
· ast. T. Payne
56'
59'
A. Waraga
/
J. Rose
T. Payne
/ M. Sheridan
62'
R. Najjarine
/ S. Kartum
62'
78'
H. Ibusuki
/
S. Ugarkovic
C. Piper
/ L. Brooke-Smith
83'
Pre-match prediction
49.23%
Wellington ←
24.05%
X
26.72%
Western
we assigned to the actual result (Wellington Phoenix)
49.23%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
—
—
1.41
—
—
Lineups
1
G
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald
D
Lukas Kelly-Heald
D
15
D
28
D
6
T. Payne
2 👟
62'
D
T. Payne
2 👟
62'
D
25
Kazuki Nagasawa
1 ⚽
M
Kazuki Nagasawa
1 ⚽
M
8
P. Retre
M
14
Alex Rufer
M
Alex Rufer
M
20
R. Najjarine
62'
M
R. Najjarine
62'
M
3
Corban Piper
83'
F
Corban Piper
83'
F
7
I. Eze
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
D. Edwards
D
16
S. Kartum
28'
M
S. Kartum
28'
M
30
G
3
Alex Gersbach
D
Alex Gersbach
D
22
Anthony Pantazopoulos
D
Anthony Pantazopoulos
D
24
D
5
Dylan Scicluna
D
Dylan Scicluna
D
32
Angus Thurgate
1 👟
M
Angus Thurgate
1 👟
M
8
Steven Ugarković
78'
M
Steven Ugarković
78'
M
7
M
23
B. Kraev
M
38
Jai Rose
59'
M
Jai Rose
59'
M
26
Brandon Borrello
1 ⚽
F
Brandon Borrello
1 ⚽
F
Bench
52
Atiya Waraga
31'
F
Atiya Waraga
31'
F
25
J. Brillante
M
Best on the pitch
Kazuki Nagasawa
M · Wellington
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
G · Wellington
8.60
· 21 pass
T. Payne
D · Wellington
8.20
2 👟
· 30 pass
Brandon Borrello
F · Western
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
M · Western
7.50
3 shots
· 48 pass
G · Western
7.30
· 33 pass
Wellington Phoenix — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Lukas Kelly-Heald | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 39% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 41% | 1 | — | — | |
| T. Payne | D | 62 | 8.20 | — | 2 | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Kazuki Nagasawa | M | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Retre | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Alex Rufer | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 43% | 4 | 1 | — |
| R. Najjarine | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Corban Piper | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Eze | F | 90 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Kartum | M | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Western Sydney Wanderers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Alex Gersbach | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Anthony Pantazopoulos | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 3 | — | — | |
| Dylan Scicluna | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Angus Thurgate | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Ugarković | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 43% | — | — | — | |
| B. Kraev | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Jai Rose | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandon Borrello | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Atiya Waraga | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The final score was Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers.
What did the model predict before Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Wellington Phoenix win, 24% to a draw, and 26% to an Western Sydney Wanderers win.