Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30

Wrexham

#7 · 71 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Middlesbrough

#5 · 80 pts

J. Windass 28'

S. Smith (ast. I. Kabore) 41'

4' (ast. C. Brittain) T. Conway

44' (ast. M. Targett) D. Strelec

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 59% win probability (draw 17%, Wrexham 23%). The final result was Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough. In 1 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Middlesbrough.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

7

8

Shots on target

5

1.48

Actual xG

2.07

2

Saves

6

48%

Possession

52%

6

Corners

3

8

Tackles

10

Match Events

4'

ast. C. Brittain · T. Conway⚽

⚽J. Windass

28'

⚽S. Smith · ast. I. Kabore

41'

44'

ast. M. Targett · D. Strelec⚽

46'

R. McGree / A. Browne ↕

↕ G. Dobson / B. Sheaf

62'

↕ O. Rathbone / N. Broadhead

63'

71'

L. Castledine / M. Whittaker ↕

71'

J. Sarmiento / D. Strelec ↕

↕ D. Scarr / K. Moore

73'

↕ I. Kabore / R. Longman

74'

↕ M. James / D. Keillor-Dunn

83'

87'

M. K. Sene / L. Ayling ↕

Pre-match prediction

23.06%

Wrexham

17.63%

X ←

59.31%

Middlesbrough

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.63% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Wrexham

0.99

1.48

+0.49

Middlesbrough

2.50

2.07

-0.43

Middlesbrough dominated by xG (2.07 vs 1.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Coventry	46	95
2	Ipswich	46	84
3	Millwall	46	83
4	Southampton	46	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	80
6	Hull City	46	73
7	Wrexham	46	71
8	Derby	46	69
9	Norwich	46	65
10	Birmingham	46	64
11	Swansea	46	64
12	Bristol City	46	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	60
14	Preston	46	60
15	QPR	46	58
16	Watford	46	57
17	Stoke City	46	55
18	Portsmouth	46	55
19	Charlton	46	53
20	Blackburn	46	52
21	West Brom	46	51
22	Oxford United	46	47
23	Leicester	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	0

Lineups

Wrexham 3-4-2-1

21

G 7.90

2

Callum Doyle D 7.30

24

D. Scarr 73' D 6.30

5

D 6.50

14

G. Thomason M 7.60

15

G. Dobson 63' M 6.70

37

Matty James 83' M 7.00

12 I. Kaboré 1 👟 73' M 7.00

20

Oliver Rathbone 63' F 6.20

10 J. Windass 1 ⚽ F 7.60

28

S. Smith 1 ⚽ F 7.70

Bench

19 K. Moore 17' F 6.50

4

Max Cleworth D

33

Nathan Broadhead 27' F 7.50

47

R. Longman 17' M 6.90

Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1

31

G 7.70

29 Adilson Malanda D 6.50

6 Dael Fry D 6.90

12 Luke Ayling 87' D 7.00

3 Matt Targett 1 👟 M 8.30

16 Alan Browne 45' M 6.20

18 Aidan Morris M 7.20

2 Callum Brittain 1 👟 M 6.30

9 T. Conway 1 ⚽ F 7.30

11 M. Whittaker 71' F 6.30

13 David Strelec 1 ⚽ 71' F 8.30

Bench

14 Alexander Gilbert F

45 Jeremy Sarmiento 19' M 6.30

8 Riley McGree 45' M 7.00

27 Sontje Hansen F

Best on the pitch

David Strelec

F · Middlesbrough

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

Matt Targett

M · Middlesbrough

8.30

1 👟

· 57 pass

G · Wrexham

7.90

· 20 pass

S. Smith

F · Wrexham

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 24 pass

G · Middlesbrough

7.70

· 27 pass

G. Thomason

M · Wrexham

7.60

· 36 pass

Wrexham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	20	10%	—	—	—
Callum Doyle	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	43	35%	1	—	—
D. Scarr	D	73	6.30	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	43	32%	1	—	—
G. Thomason	M	90	7.60	—	—	—	36	33%	4	—	—
G. Dobson	M	63	6.70	—	—	—	47	42%	—	—	—
Matty James	M	83	7.00	—	—	1	57	49%	2	—	—
I. Kaboré	M	73	7.00	—	1	—	20	20%	—	—	—
Oliver Rathbone	F	63	6.20	—	—	3	27	22%	—	—	—
J. Windass	F	90	7.60	1	—	4	51	39%	—	—	—
S. Smith	F	90	7.70	1	—	3	24	19%	—	—	—
K. Moore	F	17	6.50	—	—	2	6	4%	—	—	—
Nathan Broadhead	F	27	7.50	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
R. Longman	M	17	6.90	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Middlesbrough — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	27	14%	—	—	—
Adilson Malanda	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	57	53%	—	—	—
Dael Fry	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	33%	1	—	—
Luke Ayling	D	87	7.00	—	—	2	63	52%	2	—	—
Matt Targett	M	90	8.30	—	1	—	57	48%	3	—	—
Alan Browne	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	19	16%	1	—	—
Aidan Morris	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	77	75%	1	—	—
Callum Brittain	M	90	6.30	—	1	—	37	32%	—	—	—
T. Conway	F	90	7.30	1	—	2	39	31%	—	—	—
M. Whittaker	F	71	6.30	—	—	1	27	20%	—	—	—
David Strelec	F	71	8.30	1	—	2	10	9%	—	—	—
Jeremy Sarmiento	M	19	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Riley McGree	M	45	7.00	—	—	—	24	20%	2	—	—