Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30

Wrexham

#17 · 14 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Middlesbrough

#1 · 25 pts

J. Windass 28'

S. Smith (ast. I. Kabore) 41'

4' (ast. C. Brittain) T. Conway

44' (ast. M. Targett) D. Strelec

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 59% win probability (draw 17%, Wrexham 23%). The final result was Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough. In 2 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Middlesbrough.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

7

8

Shots on target

5

1.48

Actual xG

2.07

2

Saves

6

48%

Possession

52%

6

Corners

3

8

Tackles

10

Match Events

4'

ast. C. Brittain · T. Conway⚽

⚽J. Windass

28'

⚽S. Smith · ast. I. Kabore

41'

44'

ast. M. Targett · D. Strelec⚽

46'

R. McGree / A. Browne ↕

↕ G. Dobson / B. Sheaf

62'

↕ O. Rathbone / N. Broadhead

63'

71'

L. Castledine / M. Whittaker ↕

71'

J. Sarmiento / D. Strelec ↕

↕ D. Scarr / K. Moore

73'

↕ I. Kabore / R. Longman

74'

↕ M. James / D. Keillor-Dunn

83'

87'

M. K. Sene / L. Ayling ↕

Pre-match prediction

23.06%

Wrexham

17.63%

X ←

59.31%

Middlesbrough

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.63% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Wrexham

0.99

1.48

+0.49

Middlesbrough

2.50

2.07

-0.43

Middlesbrough dominated by xG (2.07 vs 1.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	25
2	Swansea	12	23
3	West Ham	12	22
4	Wolves	12	21
5	West Brom	12	21
6	Southampton	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	20
8	QPR	12	20
9	Stoke City	12	20
10	Blackburn	12	18
11	Portsmouth	12	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	16
13	Millwall	12	15
14	Bristol City	12	15
15	Lincoln	12	15
16	Cardiff	12	14
17	Wrexham	12	14
18	Bolton	12	14
19	Charlton	12	14
20	Norwich	12	12
21	Watford	12	11
22	Burnley	12	8
23	Derby	12	7
24	Preston	12	5

Lineups

Wrexham 3-4-2-1

21

G 7.90

2 C. Doyle D 7.30

24 Dan Scarr 73' D 6.30

5

D 6.50

14 George Thomason M 7.60

15 G. Dobson 63' M 6.70

37 M. James 83' M 7.00

12 I. Kaboré 1 👟 73' M 7.00

20 O. Rathbone 63' F 6.20

10 J. Windass 1 ⚽ F 7.60

28 S. Smith 1 ⚽ F 7.70

Bench

19 K. Moore 17' F 6.50

4 M. Cleworth D

33 N. Broadhead 27' F 7.50

47 R. Longman 17' M 6.90

Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1

31

G 7.70

29 A. Malanda D 6.50

6 D. Fry D 6.90

12 L. Ayling 87' D 7.00

3 M. Targett 1 👟 M 8.30

16 A. Browne 45' M 6.20

18 A. Morris M 7.20

2 C. Brittain 1 👟 M 6.30

9 T. Conway 1 ⚽ F 7.30

11 M. Whittaker 71' F 6.30

13 D. Strelec 1 ⚽ 71' F 8.30

Bench

14 A. Gilbert F

45 J. Sarmiento 19' M 6.30

8 R. McGree 45' M 7.00

27 Sontje Hansen F

Best on the pitch

D. Strelec

F · Middlesbrough

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

M. Targett

M · Middlesbrough

8.30

1 👟

· 57 pass

G · Wrexham

7.90

· 20 pass

S. Smith

F · Wrexham

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 24 pass

G · Middlesbrough

7.70

· 27 pass

George Thomason

M · Wrexham

7.60

· 36 pass

Wrexham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	20	10%	—	—	—
C. Doyle	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	43	35%	1	—	—
Dan Scarr	D	73	6.30	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	43	32%	1	—	—
George Thomason	M	90	7.60	—	—	—	36	33%	4	—	—
G. Dobson	M	63	6.70	—	—	—	47	42%	—	—	—
M. James	M	83	7.00	—	—	1	57	49%	2	—	—
I. Kaboré	M	73	7.00	—	1	—	20	20%	—	—	—
O. Rathbone	F	63	6.20	—	—	3	27	22%	—	—	—
J. Windass	F	90	7.60	1	—	4	51	39%	—	—	—
S. Smith	F	90	7.70	1	—	3	24	19%	—	—	—
K. Moore	F	17	6.50	—	—	2	6	4%	—	—	—
N. Broadhead	F	27	7.50	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
R. Longman	M	17	6.90	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Middlesbrough — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	27	14%	—	—	—
A. Malanda	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	57	53%	—	—	—
D. Fry	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	33%	1	—	—
L. Ayling	D	87	7.00	—	—	2	63	52%	2	—	—
M. Targett	M	90	8.30	—	1	—	57	48%	3	—	—
A. Browne	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	19	16%	1	—	—
A. Morris	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	77	75%	1	—	—
C. Brittain	M	90	6.30	—	1	—	37	32%	—	—	—
T. Conway	F	90	7.30	1	—	2	39	31%	—	—	—
M. Whittaker	F	71	6.30	—	—	1	27	20%	—	—	—
D. Strelec	F	71	8.30	1	—	2	10	9%	—	—	—
J. Sarmiento	M	19	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
R. McGree	M	45	7.00	—	—	—	24	20%	2	—	—