Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30

Wrexham

#16 · 7 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Middlesbrough

#6 · 10 pts

J. Windass 28'

S. Smith (ast. I. Kabore) 41'

4' (ast. C. Brittain) T. Conway

44' (ast. M. Targett) D. Strelec

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 59% win probability (draw 17%, Wrexham 23%). The final result was Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough. In 2 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Middlesbrough.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

7

8

Shots on target

5

1.48

Actual xG

2.07

2

Saves

6

48%

Possession

52%

6

Corners

3

8

Tackles

10

Match Events

4'

ast. C. Brittain · T. Conway⚽

⚽J. Windass

28'

⚽S. Smith · ast. I. Kabore

41'

44'

ast. M. Targett · D. Strelec⚽

46'

R. McGree / A. Browne ↕

↕ G. Dobson / B. Sheaf

62'

↕ O. Rathbone / N. Broadhead

63'

71'

L. Castledine / M. Whittaker ↕

71'

J. Sarmiento / D. Strelec ↕

↕ D. Scarr / K. Moore

73'

↕ I. Kabore / R. Longman

74'

↕ M. James / D. Keillor-Dunn

83'

87'

M. K. Sene / L. Ayling ↕

Pre-match prediction

23.06%

Wrexham

17.63%

X ←

59.31%

Middlesbrough

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.63% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Wrexham

0.99

1.48

+0.49

Middlesbrough

2.50

2.07

-0.43

Middlesbrough dominated by xG (2.07 vs 1.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	West Ham	7	14
2	West Brom	7	14
3	QPR	7	12
4	Swansea	6	11
5	Charlton	6	11
6	Middlesbrough	5	10
7	Bristol City	5	10
8	Birmingham	7	10
9	Millwall	5	9
10	Norwich	6	9
11	Sheffield Utd	6	9
12	Wolves	5	8
13	Watford	6	8
14	Southampton	6	7
15	Stoke City	6	7
16	Wrexham	7	7
17	Bolton	7	7
18	Portsmouth	5	6
19	Blackburn	6	5
20	Lincoln	5	5
21	Cardiff	7	4
22	Derby	7	4
23	Burnley	6	3
24	Preston	6	3

Lineups

Wrexham 3-4-2-1

21

G 7.90

2 C. Doyle D 7.30

24 Dan Scarr 73' D 6.30

5

D 6.50

14 George Thomason M 7.60

15 G. Dobson 63' M 6.70

37 M. James 83' M 7.00

12 I. Kaboré 1 👟 73' M 7.00

20 O. Rathbone 63' F 6.20

10 J. Windass 1 ⚽ F 7.60

28 S. Smith 1 ⚽ F 7.70

Bench

19 K. Moore 17' F 6.50

4 M. Cleworth D

33 N. Broadhead 27' F 7.50

47 R. Longman 17' M 6.90

Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1

31

G 7.70

29 A. Malanda D 6.50

6 D. Fry D 6.90

12 L. Ayling 87' D 7.00

3 M. Targett 1 👟 M 8.30

16 A. Browne 45' M 6.20

18 A. Morris M 7.20

2 C. Brittain 1 👟 M 6.30

9 T. Conway 1 ⚽ F 7.30

11 M. Whittaker 71' F 6.30

13 D. Strelec 1 ⚽ 71' F 8.30

Bench

14 A. Gilbert F

45 J. Sarmiento 19' M 6.30

8 R. McGree 45' M 7.00

27 S. Hansen F

Best on the pitch

D. Strelec

F · Middlesbrough

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

M. Targett

M · Middlesbrough

8.30

1 👟

· 57 pass

G · Wrexham

7.90

· 20 pass

S. Smith

F · Wrexham

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 24 pass

G · Middlesbrough

7.70

· 27 pass

George Thomason

M · Wrexham

7.60

· 36 pass

Wrexham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	20	10%	—	—	—
C. Doyle	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	43	35%	1	—	—
Dan Scarr	D	73	6.30	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	43	32%	1	—	—
George Thomason	M	90	7.60	—	—	—	36	33%	4	—	—
G. Dobson	M	63	6.70	—	—	—	47	42%	—	—	—
M. James	M	83	7.00	—	—	1	57	49%	2	—	—
I. Kaboré	M	73	7.00	—	1	—	20	20%	—	—	—
O. Rathbone	F	63	6.20	—	—	3	27	22%	—	—	—
J. Windass	F	90	7.60	1	—	4	51	39%	—	—	—
S. Smith	F	90	7.70	1	—	3	24	19%	—	—	—
K. Moore	F	17	6.50	—	—	2	6	4%	—	—	—
N. Broadhead	F	27	7.50	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
R. Longman	M	17	6.90	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Middlesbrough — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	27	14%	—	—	—
A. Malanda	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	57	53%	—	—	—
D. Fry	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	33%	1	—	—
L. Ayling	D	87	7.00	—	—	2	63	52%	2	—	—
M. Targett	M	90	8.30	—	1	—	57	48%	3	—	—
A. Browne	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	19	16%	1	—	—
A. Morris	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	77	75%	1	—	—
C. Brittain	M	90	6.30	—	1	—	37	32%	—	—	—
T. Conway	F	90	7.30	1	—	2	39	31%	—	—	—
M. Whittaker	F	71	6.30	—	—	1	27	20%	—	—	—
D. Strelec	F	71	8.30	1	—	2	10	9%	—	—	—
J. Sarmiento	M	19	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
R. McGree	M	45	7.00	—	—	—	24	20%	2	—	—