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Championship · Regular Season - 43 April 18, 2026 16:00
Wrexham
#7 · 71 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Stoke City
#17 · 55 pts
G. Thomason 31'
J. Windass 33'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wrexham a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Stoke City 30%). The final result was Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City. In 1 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stoke City.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
0
1.48
Actual xG
0.35
0
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
6
16
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Thomason
31'
⚽J. Windass
33'
46'
J. Rak-Sakyi / A. Cresswell ↕
47'
M. Manhoef
52'
R. Bozenik / S. Gallagher ↕
68'
T. Seko / L. Baker ↕
↕ O. Rathbone / L. O'Brien
73'
↕ J. Windass / N. Broadhead
78'
↕ S. Smith / K. Moore
79'
86'
R. Otegbayo / B. Lawal ↕
Pre-match prediction
40.5%
Wrexham ←
29.18%
X
30.32%
Stoke
we assigned to the actual result (Wrexham) 40.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Wrexham
1.07
1.48
+0.41
Stoke
1.27
0.35
-0.92
Wrexham dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Wrexham Wrexham 5-3-2
21
G 7.20
14
G. Thomason 1 ⚽ D 8.30
2
Callum Doyle D 7.50
24
D. Scarr D 7.30
5
D 6.90
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré D 6.60
20
Oliver Rathbone 73' M 7.00
37
Matty James M 7.00
15
G. Dobson M 6.90
10 J. Windass J. Windass 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.30
28
S. Smith 79' F 6.50
Bench
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri F
19 K. Moore K. Moore 18' F 6.50
4
Max Cleworth D
33
Nathan Broadhead 19' F 6.50
47
R. Longman M
Stoke City Stoke City 4-2-3-1
31
G 6.30
17
E. Bocat D 5.90
3
A. Cresswell 45' D 5.70
18
86' D 6.50
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas D 6.20
8
L. Baker 68' M 6.50
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson M 7.70
29
L. Cisse M 6.30
10
J. Bae M 6.70
42
M. Manhoef M 5.70
20
S. Gallagher 52' F 6.60
Bench
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 52' F 6.70
11
R. Bozenik 45' F 6.30
54
R. Otegbayo 11' M 6.70
50
S. Agina M
Best on the pitch
G. Thomason
D · Wrexham
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 61 pass
B. Pearson
B. Pearson
M · Stoke
7.70
· 43 pass
Callum Doyle
D · Wrexham
7.50
· 75 pass
D. Scarr
D · Wrexham
7.30
· 40 pass
J. Windass
J. Windass
F · Wrexham
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
G · Wrexham
7.20
· 37 pass
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 7.20 — — — 37 23% — — —
G. Thomason D 97 8.30 1 — 2 61 54% 4 — —
Callum Doyle D 97 7.50 — — — 75 60% 4 — —
D. Scarr D 97 7.30 — — — 40 36% 1 — —
D 97 6.90 — — — 37 30% 1 — —
I. Kaboré D 97 6.60 — — — 15 15% 2 — —
Oliver Rathbone M 73 7.00 — — 1 26 23% 1 — —
Matty James M 97 7.00 — — — 49 44% 1 — —
G. Dobson M 97 6.90 — — — 46 38% 2 — —
J. Windass F 78 7.30 1 — 3 27 26% — — —
S. Smith F 79 6.50 — — 1 19 9% — — —
K. Moore F 18 6.50 — — — 3 1% — — —
Nathan Broadhead F 19 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.30 — — — 36 22% — — —
E. Bocat D 97 5.90 — — — 41 31% — — —
A. Cresswell D 45 5.70 — — — 16 13% — — —
D 86 6.50 — — — 33 25% — — —
S. Thomas D 97 6.20 — — — 46 38% — — —
L. Baker M 68 6.50 — — — 38 35% — — —
B. Pearson M 97 7.70 — — — 43 40% 1 — —
L. Cisse M 97 6.30 — — 3 21 15% 3 — —
J. Bae M 97 6.70 — — — 24 18% — — —
M. Manhoef M 97 5.70 — — 1 25 17% 2 1 —
S. Gallagher F 52 6.60 — — — 9 3% 1 — —
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi F 52 6.70 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
R. Bozenik F 45 6.30 — — — 11 7% — — —
R. Otegbayo M 11 6.70 — — — 6 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wrexham vs Stoke City?
The final score was Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City.
What did the model predict before Wrexham vs Stoke City?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Wrexham win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Stoke City win.