Championship
· Regular Season - 43
April 18, 2026 16:00
G. Thomason
31'
J. Windass
33'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wrexham a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Stoke City 30%). The final result was Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City. In 1 previous meetings, Wrexham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stoke City.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
0
1.48
Actual xG
0.35
0
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
6
16
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Thomason
31'
⚽J. Windass
33'
46'
J. Rak-Sakyi
/
A. Cresswell
47'
M. Manhoef
52'
R. Bozenik
/
S. Gallagher
68'
T. Seko
/
L. Baker
O. Rathbone
/ L. O'Brien
73'
J. Windass
/ N. Broadhead
78'
S. Smith
/ K. Moore
79'
86'
R. Otegbayo
/
B. Lawal
Pre-match prediction
40.5%
Wrexham ←
29.18%
X
30.32%
Stoke
we assigned to the actual result (Wrexham)
40.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
1.48
+0.41
1.27
0.35
-0.92
Wrexham dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
G
14
George Thomason
1 ⚽
D
George Thomason
1 ⚽
D
2
Callum Doyle
D
Callum Doyle
D
24
Dan Scarr
D
Dan Scarr
D
5
D
12
I. Kaboré
D
I. Kaboré
D
20
Oliver Rathbone
73'
M
Oliver Rathbone
73'
M
37
Matty James
M
Matty James
M
15
George Dobson
M
George Dobson
M
10
J. Windass
1 ⚽
78'
F
J. Windass
1 ⚽
78'
F
28
Sam Smith
79'
F
Sam Smith
79'
F
Bench
11
B. Cadamarteri
F
B. Cadamarteri
F
19
K. Moore
18'
F
K. Moore
18'
F
4
Max Cleworth
D
Max Cleworth
D
33
Nathan Broadhead
19'
F
Nathan Broadhead
19'
F
47
Ryan Longman
M
Ryan Longman
M
31
G
17
Eric Bocat
D
Eric Bocat
D
3
A. Cresswell
45'
D
18
86'
D
7
S. Thomas
D
S. Thomas
D
8
L. Baker
68'
M
4
Ben Pearson
M
Ben Pearson
M
29
Lamine Cissé
M
Lamine Cissé
M
10
Bae Jun-Ho
M
Bae Jun-Ho
M
42
Million Manhoef
M
Million Manhoef
M
20
Sam Gallagher
52'
F
Sam Gallagher
52'
F
Bench
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
52'
F
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
52'
F
11
Róbert Boženík
45'
F
Róbert Boženík
45'
F
54
R. Otegbayo
11'
M
50
Sydney Agina
M
Best on the pitch
George Thomason
D · Wrexham
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 61 pass
Ben Pearson
M · Stoke
7.70
· 43 pass
Callum Doyle
D · Wrexham
7.50
· 75 pass
Dan Scarr
D · Wrexham
7.30
· 40 pass
J. Windass
F · Wrexham
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
G · Wrexham
7.20
· 37 pass
Wrexham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| George Thomason | D | 97 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 61 | 54% | 4 | — | — |
| Callum Doyle | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 60% | 4 | — | — |
| Dan Scarr | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| I. Kaboré | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Oliver Rathbone | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Matty James | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| George Dobson | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Windass | F | 78 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Sam Smith | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Broadhead | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Eric Bocat | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| A. Cresswell | D | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| S. Thomas | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| L. Baker | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Ben Pearson | M | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Cissé | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Bae Jun-Ho | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Million Manhoef | M | 97 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sam Gallagher | F | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | F | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Róbert Boženík | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Otegbayo | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wrexham vs Stoke City?
The final score was Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City.
What did the model predict before Wrexham vs Stoke City?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Wrexham win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Stoke City win.