Zaglebie Lubin - Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa
May 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.88%
Win
Zaglebie Lubin
33.98%
Draw
30.15%
Win
Pogon Szczecin
0.86
0.78
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zaglebie Lubin a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Pogon Szczecin. Expected goals are 0.9 for Zaglebie Lubin and 0.8 for Pogon Szczecin (total 1.6), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 19.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Zaglebie Lubin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Pogon Szczecin.
Score Matrix
↕ Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.5% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 16.7% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Zaglebie Lubin
Attack
21
Defence
66
Form
44
Pogon Szczecin
Attack
35
Defence
53
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
24 Nov 2025
1–5
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
32 | 56 |
| 2 |
Jagiellonia
|
32 | 52 |
| 3 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
32 | 50 |
| 4 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
32 | 49 |
| 5 |
GKS Katowice
|
32 | 48 |
| 6 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
32 | 48 |
| 7 |
Wisla Plock
|
32 | 45 |
| 8 |
Radomiak Radom
|
32 | 44 |
| 9 |
Legia Warszawa
|
32 | 43 |
| 10 |
Motor Lublin
|
32 | 42 |
| 11 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
32 | 41 |
| 12 |
Piast Gliwice
|
32 | 41 |
| 13 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
32 | 40 |
| 14 |
Widzew Łódź
|
32 | 39 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce
|
32 | 39 |
| 16 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
32 | 38 |
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
|
32 | 36 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
32 | 28 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model gives Zaglebie Lubin a 35% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 30% for an Pogon Szczecin win.
How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
Expected goals: Zaglebie Lubin 0.9, Pogon Szczecin 0.8 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.5%.