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Zaglebie Lubin - Pogon Szczecin

Ekstraklasa May 15, 2026 18:00
#6 · 48 pts
vs
#11 · 41 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.88%
Win
Zaglebie Lubin
33.98%
Draw
30.15%
Win
Pogon Szczecin
0.86
Expected xG
0.78

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zaglebie Lubin a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Pogon Szczecin. Expected goals are 0.9 for Zaglebie Lubin and 0.8 for Pogon Szczecin (total 1.6), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 19.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Zaglebie Lubin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Pogon Szczecin.

Score Matrix
↕ Zaglebie Lubin Pogon Szczecin →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.5% 15.2% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3%
1 16.7% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3%
2 7.2% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%
Recent form
W Gornik Zabrze 0–2
D Cracovia Krakow 0–0
L Nieciecza 1–2
L Legia Warszawa 1–0
W Radomiak Radom 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 43%
L Jagiellonia 3–2
W Wisla Plock 3–0
D Cracovia Krakow 1–1
L Lech Poznan 1–2
W Piast Gliwice 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 28%
Playing profile
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
Attack
21
Defence
66
Form
44
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
Attack
35
Defence
53
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Zaglebie Lubin
0
Draw
1
Pogon Szczecin
L 24 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa 1–5
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model gives Zaglebie Lubin a 35% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 30% for an Pogon Szczecin win.
How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
Expected goals: Zaglebie Lubin 0.9, Pogon Szczecin 0.8 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.5%.