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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33 May 15, 2026 18:00 KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
#10 · 9 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Pogon Szczecin
#9 · 9 pts
79' H. Ali
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zaglebie Lubin a 35% win probability (draw 33%, Pogon Szczecin 30%). The final result was Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Pogon Szczecin. In 3 previous meetings, Zaglebie Lubin have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pogon Szczecin.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
0.51
Actual xG
1.45
2
Saves
2
30%
Possession
70%
2
Corners
6
10
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
↕ J. Kolan / A. Radwanski
11'
↕ M. Kosidis / L. Szabo
46'
↕ S. Kowalczyk / T. Makowski
46'
71'
A. Szalai
L. Szabo
74'
74'
K. Grosicki / P. Mukairu ↕
74'
H. Ali / L. Wahlqvist ↕
↕ A. Radwanski / J. Sypek
77'
79'
H. Ali⚽
82'
Leo Borges / L. Koutris ↕
85'
H. Ali
↕ M. Grzybek / M. Mlinaric
85'
87'
M. Agger / B. Mendy ↕
87'
D. Loncar / N. Lawa ↕
88'
V. Cojocaru
Pre-match prediction
35.88%
Zaglebie
33.98%
X
30.15%
Pogon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Pogon Szczecin) 30.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Zaglebie
0.86
0.51
-0.35
Pogon
0.78
1.45
+0.67
Pogon Szczecin dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 7 18
2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 7 16
3 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 7 15
4 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 8 14
5 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 7 12
6 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 7 12
7 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 7 10
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 6 9
9 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 6 9
10 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 6 9
11 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 7 8
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 7 8
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 7 7
14 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 8 6
15 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 8 5
16 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 6 5
17 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 6 4
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 7 3
Lineups
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
1 J. Burić J. Burić G 7.30
16 J. Ćorluka J. Ćorluka D 6.60
4 D. Michalski D. Michalski D 6.70
25 M. Nalepa M. Nalepa D 6.30
39 F. Kocaba F. Kocaba D 6.90
13 M. Grzybek M. Grzybek 85' D 6.90
7 Sebastian Kowalczyk Sebastian Kowalczyk 45' M 6.70
8 D. Dąbrowski D. Dąbrowski M 7.00
26 J. Kolan J. Kolan 11' M 6.30
44 M. Reguła M. Reguła M 6.60
9 M. Kosidis M. Kosidis 45' F 6.90
Bench
18 A. Radwański A. Radwański 66' M 6.60
11 A. Woźniak A. Woźniak M
31 I. Orlikowski I. Orlikowski D
84 Jakub Ligocki Jakub Ligocki M
19 J. Sypek J. Sypek 16' M 6.50
17 Levente Szabó Levente Szabó 48' F 6.50
35 Luka Lučić Luka Lučić D
20 M. Dziewiatowski M. Dziewiatowski M
88 M. Mlinarić M. Mlinarić 8' F 6.30
12 Rafał Gikiewicz Rafał Gikiewicz G
6 Tomasz Makowski Tomasz Makowski 48' M 6.90
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
77 V. Cojocaru V. Cojocaru G 7.20
32 Leonardo Koutris Leonardo Koutris 83' D 7.00
41 A. Szalai A. Szalai D 7.30
13 D. Keramitsis D. Keramitsis D 7.30
28 Linus Wahlqvist Linus Wahlqvist 74' D 6.90
18 P. Mukairu P. Mukairu 74' M 6.90
6 J. Biegański J. Biegański M 6.60
8 F. Ulvestad F. Ulvestad M 6.20
25 M. Agger M. Agger 87' M 6.30
47 N. Lawa N. Lawa 87' F 6.00
10 Filip Čuić Filip Čuić F 6.90
Bench
23 B. Mendy B. Mendy 6' D
22 Danijel Lončar Danijel Lončar 6' D
15 Hussein Ali Hussein Ali 1 ⚽ 19' D 7.00
30 J. Czaplinski J. Czaplinski M
3 K. Acosta K. Acosta M
24
Karol Angielski F
11 K. Grosicki K. Grosicki 19' M 6.20
31 Krzysztof Kamiński Krzysztof Kamiński G
4 Léo Borges Léo Borges 10' D 6.50
90 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood F
Best on the pitch
J. Burić
J. Burić
G · Zaglebie
7.30
· 24 pass
D. Keramitsis
D. Keramitsis
D · Pogon
7.30
· 87 pass
A. Szalai
A. Szalai
D · Pogon
7.30
· 88 pass
V. Cojocaru
V. Cojocaru
G · Pogon
7.20
· 34 pass
Hussein Ali
Hussein Ali
D · Pogon
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
D. Dąbrowski
D. Dąbrowski
M · Zaglebie
7.00
· 23 pass
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Burić G 93 7.30 — — — 24 15% — — —
J. Ćorluka D 93 6.60 — — 1 22 12% 3 — —
D. Michalski D 93 6.70 — — 2 19 15% — — —
M. Nalepa D 93 6.30 — — 1 34 26% 1 — —
F. Kocaba D 93 6.90 — — — 23 18% — — —
M. Grzybek D 85 6.90 — — — 18 8% 2 — —
Sebastian Kowalczyk M 45 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
D. Dąbrowski M 93 7.00 — — — 23 20% — — —
J. Kolan M 11 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
M. Reguła M 93 6.60 — — 3 9 7% 1 — —
M. Kosidis F 45 6.90 — — — 5 2% — — —
A. Radwański M 66 6.60 — — — 22 15% 2 — —
J. Sypek M 16 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Levente Szabó F 48 6.50 — — — 7 3% 1 1 —
M. Mlinarić F 8 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
Tomasz Makowski M 48 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Cojocaru G 93 7.20 — — — 34 27% — 1 —
Leonardo Koutris D 83 7.00 — — 1 70 64% — — —
A. Szalai D 93 7.30 — — — 88 78% — 1 —
D. Keramitsis D 93 7.30 — — — 87 85% — — —
Linus Wahlqvist D 74 6.90 — — 1 49 45% — — —
P. Mukairu M 74 6.90 — — 1 23 21% 2 — —
J. Biegański M 93 6.60 — — — 65 59% 1 — —
F. Ulvestad M 93 6.20 — — 1 57 49% — — —
M. Agger M 87 6.30 — — 1 25 21% — — —
N. Lawa F 87 6.00 — — 2 33 28% 1 — —
Filip Čuić F 93 6.90 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
B. Mendy D 6 — — — — 4 2% — — —
Danijel Lončar D 6 — — — — — — — — —
Hussein Ali D 19 7.00 1 — 1 3 1% — 1 —
K. Grosicki M 19 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
Léo Borges D 10 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The final score was Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Pogon Szczecin.
What did the model predict before Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Zaglebie Lubin win, 33% to a draw, and 30% to an Pogon Szczecin win.