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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33 May 15, 2026 18:00 Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
#7 · 19 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Pogon Szczecin
#3 · 24 pts
79' H. Ali
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zaglebie Lubin a 35% win probability (draw 33%, Pogon Szczecin 30%). The final result was Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Pogon Szczecin. In 3 previous meetings, Zaglebie Lubin have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pogon Szczecin.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
0.51
Actual xG
1.45
2
Saves
2
30%
Possession
70%
2
Corners
6
10
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
↕ J. Kolan / A. Radwanski
11'
↕ M. Kosidis / L. Szabo
46'
↕ S. Kowalczyk / T. Makowski
46'
71'
A. Szalai
L. Szabo
74'
74'
K. Grosicki / P. Mukairu ↕
74'
H. Ali / L. Wahlqvist ↕
↕ A. Radwanski / J. Sypek
77'
79'
H. Ali⚽
82'
Leo Borges / L. Koutris ↕
85'
H. Ali
↕ M. Grzybek / M. Mlinaric
85'
87'
M. Agger / B. Mendy ↕
87'
D. Loncar / N. Lawa ↕
88'
V. Cojocaru
Pre-match prediction
35.88%
Zaglebie
33.98%
X
30.15%
Pogon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Pogon Szczecin) 30.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Zaglebie
0.86
0.51
-0.35
Pogon
0.78
1.45
+0.67
Pogon Szczecin dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 11 28
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 12 27
3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 11 24
4 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 12 23
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 12 21
6 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 12 20
7 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 12 19
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 12 18
9 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 12 18
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 11 15
11 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 11 14
12 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 12 13
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 12 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 12 11
15 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 12 9
16 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 12 8
17 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 12 8
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 12 6
Lineups
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
1 J. Burić J. Burić G 7.30
16 J. Ćorluka J. Ćorluka D 6.60
4 D. Michalski D. Michalski D 6.70
25 M. Nalepa M. Nalepa D 6.30
39 F. Kocaba F. Kocaba D 6.90
13 M. Grzybek M. Grzybek 85' D 6.90
7 Sebastian Kowalczyk Sebastian Kowalczyk 45' M 6.70
8 D. Dąbrowski D. Dąbrowski M 7.00
26 J. Kolan J. Kolan 11' M 6.30
44 M. Reguła M. Reguła M 6.60
9 M. Kosidis M. Kosidis 45' F 6.90
Bench
18 A. Radwański A. Radwański 66' M 6.60
11 A. Woźniak A. Woźniak M
31 I. Orlikowski I. Orlikowski D
84 Jakub Ligocki Jakub Ligocki M
19 J. Sypek J. Sypek 16' M 6.50
17 Levente Szabó Levente Szabó 48' F 6.50
35 Luka Lučić Luka Lučić D
20 M. Dziewiatowski M. Dziewiatowski M
88 M. Mlinarić M. Mlinarić 8' F 6.30
12 Rafał Gikiewicz Rafał Gikiewicz G
6 Tomasz Makowski Tomasz Makowski 48' M 6.90
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
77 V. Cojocaru V. Cojocaru G 7.20
32 L. Koútris L. Koútris 83' D 7.00
41 A. Szalai A. Szalai D 7.30
13 D. Keramitsis D. Keramitsis D 7.30
28 Linus Wahlqvist Linus Wahlqvist 74' D 6.90
18 P. Mukairu P. Mukairu 74' M 6.90
6 J. Biegański J. Biegański M 6.60
8 F. Ulvestad F. Ulvestad M 6.20
25 M. Agger M. Agger 87' M 6.30
47 N. Lawa N. Lawa 87' F 6.00
10 Filip Čuić Filip Čuić F 6.90
Bench
23 B. Mendy B. Mendy 6' D
22 D. Lončar D. Lončar 6' D
15 Hussein Ali Hussein Ali 1 ⚽ 19' D 7.00
30 J. Czaplinski J. Czaplinski M
3 K. Acosta K. Acosta M
24
K. Angielski F
11 K. Grosicki K. Grosicki 19' M 6.20
31 Krzysztof Kamiński Krzysztof Kamiński G
4 Léo Borges Léo Borges 10' D 6.50
90 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood F
Best on the pitch
J. Burić
J. Burić
G · Zaglebie
7.30
· 24 pass
D. Keramitsis
D. Keramitsis
D · Pogon
7.30
· 87 pass
A. Szalai
A. Szalai
D · Pogon
7.30
· 88 pass
V. Cojocaru
V. Cojocaru
G · Pogon
7.20
· 34 pass
Hussein Ali
Hussein Ali
D · Pogon
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
D. Dąbrowski
D. Dąbrowski
M · Zaglebie
7.00
· 23 pass
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Burić G 93 7.30 — — — 24 15% — — —
J. Ćorluka D 93 6.60 — — 1 22 12% 3 — —
D. Michalski D 93 6.70 — — 2 19 15% — — —
M. Nalepa D 93 6.30 — — 1 34 26% 1 — —
F. Kocaba D 93 6.90 — — — 23 18% — — —
M. Grzybek D 85 6.90 — — — 18 8% 2 — —
Sebastian Kowalczyk M 45 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
D. Dąbrowski M 93 7.00 — — — 23 20% — — —
J. Kolan M 11 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
M. Reguła M 93 6.60 — — 3 9 7% 1 — —
M. Kosidis F 45 6.90 — — — 5 2% — — —
A. Radwański M 66 6.60 — — — 22 15% 2 — —
J. Sypek M 16 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Levente Szabó F 48 6.50 — — — 7 3% 1 1 —
M. Mlinarić F 8 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
Tomasz Makowski M 48 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Cojocaru G 93 7.20 — — — 34 27% — 1 —
L. Koútris D 83 7.00 — — 1 70 64% — — —
A. Szalai D 93 7.30 — — — 88 78% — 1 —
D. Keramitsis D 93 7.30 — — — 87 85% — — —
Linus Wahlqvist D 74 6.90 — — 1 49 45% — — —
P. Mukairu M 74 6.90 — — 1 23 21% 2 — —
J. Biegański M 93 6.60 — — — 65 59% 1 — —
F. Ulvestad M 93 6.20 — — 1 57 49% — — —
M. Agger M 87 6.30 — — 1 25 21% — — —
N. Lawa F 87 6.00 — — 2 33 28% 1 — —
Filip Čuić F 93 6.90 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
B. Mendy D 6 — — — — 4 2% — — —
D. Lončar D 6 — — — — — — — — —
Hussein Ali D 19 7.00 1 — 1 3 1% — 1 —
K. Grosicki M 19 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
Léo Borges D 10 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The final score was Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Pogon Szczecin.
What did the model predict before Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Zaglebie Lubin win, 33% to a draw, and 30% to an Pogon Szczecin win.