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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33 May 15, 2026 18:00 KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
#13 · 0 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Pogon Szczecin
#9 · 0 pts
79' H. Ali
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zaglebie Lubin a 35% win probability (draw 33%, Pogon Szczecin 30%). The final result was Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Pogon Szczecin. In 1 previous meetings, Zaglebie Lubin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Pogon Szczecin.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
0.51
Actual xG
1.45
2
Saves
2
30%
Possession
70%
2
Corners
6
10
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
↕ J. Kolan / A. Radwanski
11'
↕ M. Kosidis / L. Szabo
46'
↕ S. Kowalczyk / T. Makowski
46'
71'
A. Szalai
L. Szabo
74'
74'
K. Grosicki / P. Mukairu ↕
74'
H. Ali / L. Wahlqvist ↕
↕ A. Radwanski / J. Sypek
77'
79'
H. Ali⚽
82'
Leo Borges / L. Koutris ↕
85'
H. Ali
↕ M. Grzybek / M. Mlinaric
85'
87'
M. Agger / B. Mendy ↕
87'
D. Loncar / N. Lawa ↕
88'
V. Cojocaru
Pre-match prediction
35.88%
Zaglebie
33.98%
X
30.15%
Pogon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Pogon Szczecin) 30.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Zaglebie
0.86
0.51
-0.35
Pogon
0.78
1.45
+0.67
Pogon Szczecin dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0 0
3 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0 0
4 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0 0
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 0 0
6 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0 0
7 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0 0
8 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0 0
9 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0 0
10 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0 0
11 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 0 0
12 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
13 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0 0
14 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0 0
15 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 0 0
16 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0 0
17 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 0 0
18 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 0 0
Lineups
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
1 Jasmin Burić Jasmin Burić G 7.30
16 Josip Ćorluka Josip Ćorluka D 6.60
4 Damian Michalski Damian Michalski D 6.70
25 M. Nalepa M. Nalepa D 6.30
39 Filip Kocaba Filip Kocaba D 6.90
13 Mateusz Grzybek Mateusz Grzybek 85' D 6.90
7 Sebastian Kowalczyk Sebastian Kowalczyk 45' M 6.70
8 Damian Dąbrowski Damian Dąbrowski M 7.00
26 Jakub Kolan Jakub Kolan 11' M 6.30
44 Marcel Regula Marcel Regula M 6.60
9 Michalis Kosidis Michalis Kosidis 45' F 6.90
Bench
18 A. Radwański A. Radwański 66' M 6.60
11 Arkadiusz Wozniak Arkadiusz Wozniak M
31 Igor Orlikowski Igor Orlikowski D
84 Jakub Ligocki Jakub Ligocki M
19 Jakub Sypek Jakub Sypek 16' M 6.50
17 Levente Szabó Levente Szabó 48' F 6.50
35 Luka Lučić Luka Lučić D
20 Mateusz Dziewiatowski Mateusz Dziewiatowski M
88 Mihael Mlinarić Mihael Mlinarić 8' F 6.30
12 Rafał Gikiewicz Rafał Gikiewicz G
6 Tomasz Makowski Tomasz Makowski 48' M 6.90
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
77 Valentin Cojocaru Valentin Cojocaru G 7.20
32 Leonardo Koutris Leonardo Koutris 83' D 7.00
41 Attila Szalai Attila Szalai D 7.30
13 Dimitrios Keramitsis Dimitrios Keramitsis D 7.30
28 Linus Wahlqvist Linus Wahlqvist 74' D 6.90
18 P. Mukairu P. Mukairu 74' M 6.90
6 Jan Biegański Jan Biegański M 6.60
8 Fredrik Ulvestad Fredrik Ulvestad M 6.20
25 Mads Agger Mads Agger 87' M 6.30
47 Natan Ława Natan Ława 87' F 6.00
10 Filip Čuić Filip Čuić F 6.90
Bench
23 Benjamin Mendy Benjamin Mendy 6' D
22 Danijel Lončar Danijel Lončar 6' D
15 Hussein Ali Hussein Ali 1 ⚽ 19' D 7.00
30 Jacek Czaplinski Jacek Czaplinski M
24 Karol Angielski Karol Angielski F
3 Kellyn Acosta Kellyn Acosta M
11 K. Grosicki K. Grosicki 19' M 6.20
31 Krzysztof Kamiński Krzysztof Kamiński G
4 Léo Borges Léo Borges 10' D 6.50
90 Sam Greenwood Sam Greenwood F
Best on the pitch
Jasmin Burić
Jasmin Burić
G · Zaglebie
7.30
· 24 pass
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Dimitrios Keramitsis
D · Pogon
7.30
· 87 pass
Attila Szalai
Attila Szalai
D · Pogon
7.30
· 88 pass
Valentin Cojocaru
Valentin Cojocaru
G · Pogon
7.20
· 34 pass
Hussein Ali
Hussein Ali
D · Pogon
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Damian Dąbrowski
Damian Dąbrowski
M · Zaglebie
7.00
· 23 pass
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jasmin Burić G 93 7.30 — — — 24 15% — — —
Josip Ćorluka D 93 6.60 — — 1 22 12% 3 — —
Damian Michalski D 93 6.70 — — 2 19 15% — — —
M. Nalepa D 93 6.30 — — 1 34 26% 1 — —
Filip Kocaba D 93 6.90 — — — 23 18% — — —
Mateusz Grzybek D 85 6.90 — — — 18 8% 2 — —
Sebastian Kowalczyk M 45 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Damian Dąbrowski M 93 7.00 — — — 23 20% — — —
Jakub Kolan M 11 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Marcel Regula M 93 6.60 — — 3 9 7% 1 — —
Michalis Kosidis F 45 6.90 — — — 5 2% — — —
A. Radwański M 66 6.60 — — — 22 15% 2 — —
Jakub Sypek M 16 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Levente Szabó F 48 6.50 — — — 7 3% 1 1 —
Mihael Mlinarić F 8 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
Tomasz Makowski M 48 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Valentin Cojocaru G 93 7.20 — — — 34 27% — 1 —
Leonardo Koutris D 83 7.00 — — 1 70 64% — — —
Attila Szalai D 93 7.30 — — — 88 78% — 1 —
Dimitrios Keramitsis D 93 7.30 — — — 87 85% — — —
Linus Wahlqvist D 74 6.90 — — 1 49 45% — — —
P. Mukairu M 74 6.90 — — 1 23 21% 2 — —
Jan Biegański M 93 6.60 — — — 65 59% 1 — —
Fredrik Ulvestad M 93 6.20 — — 1 57 49% — — —
Mads Agger M 87 6.30 — — 1 25 21% — — —
Natan Ława F 87 6.00 — — 2 33 28% 1 — —
Filip Čuić F 93 6.90 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
Benjamin Mendy D 6 — — — — 4 2% — — —
Danijel Lončar D 6 — — — — — — — — —
Hussein Ali D 19 7.00 1 — 1 3 1% — 1 —
K. Grosicki M 19 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
Léo Borges D 10 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The final score was Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Pogon Szczecin.
What did the model predict before Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Zaglebie Lubin win, 33% to a draw, and 30% to an Pogon Szczecin win.