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Czech Liga · Relegation Group - 1 May 02, 2026 15:00
Zlin
#1 · 38 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Dukla Praha
#5 · 26 pts
J. Cernin 35' (pen.)
T. Poznar 74'
23' K. Milla

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zlin a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Dukla Praha 25%). The final result was Zlin 2–1 Dukla Praha. In 2 previous meetings, Zlin have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dukla Praha.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
6
1.25
Actual xG
2.10
5
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
3
Corners
6
16
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
K. Milla⚽
⚽J. Cernin (pen.)
35'
T. Poznar
45'+2
45'+4
E. Hunal
M. Cupak
47'
59'
B. Unusic / L. Penxa ↕
C. Nombil
65'
↕ J. Didiba / K. Penkevics
70'
↕ D. Machalik / L. Bartosak
70'
⚽T. Poznar
74'
↕ T. Poznar / M. Koubek
75'
78'
D. Gilbert / J. Svozil ↕
79'
D. Velasquez / M. Hanousek ↕
84'
D. Kreiker / Z. Sehovic ↕
84'
T. Pekhart / P. Gaszczyk ↕
↕ J. Kolar / A. Krapka
86'
↕ J. Pesek / T. Ulbrich
86'
90'+2
T. Pekhart
Pre-match prediction
45.28%
Zlin ←
29.29%
X
25.44%
Dukla
we assigned to the actual result (Zlin) 45.28% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Zlin
1.33
1.25
-0.08
Dukla
0.96
2.10
+1.14
Dukla Praha dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.25). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Zlin Zlin 4-2-3-1
17
G 8.60
82
D 6.90
28 Jakub Kolar Jakub Kolar 86' D 6.90
24 Jakub Černín Jakub Černín 1 ⚽ D 7.30
23 Miloš Kopečný Miloš Kopečný D 6.90
19 Cletus Nombil Cletus Nombil M 6.90
6 Joss Didiba Joss Didiba 70' M 6.20
10 Jakub Pešek Jakub Pešek 86' M 6.30
26 Michal Cupak Michal Cupak M 5.90
8 David Machalík David Machalík 70' M 7.00
88 Tomáš Poznar Tomáš Poznar 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.60
Bench
39 Antonín Křapka Antonín Křapka 6' D
5 Kristers Penkevics Kristers Penkevics 22' M 6.50
31 Lukas Bartosak Lukas Bartosak 22' D 6.70
15 Matěj Koubek Matěj Koubek 17' F 6.70
14 Stanley Kanu Stanley Kanu F
53 Tomas Hellebrand Tomas Hellebrand M
4 Tom Ulbrich Tom Ulbrich 6' M
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 3-4-2-1
59 Hugo Jan Bačkovský Hugo Jan Bačkovský G 6.30
22
D 6.70
23 Jaroslav Svozil Jaroslav Svozil 78' D 6.70
18 Dominik Hašek Dominik Hašek D 6.20
3 Zlatan Šehović Zlatan Šehović 84' M 6.50
25 Marek Hanousek Marek Hanousek 79' M 7.00
8 Pavel Gaszczyk Pavel Gaszczyk 85' M 6.30
6
L. Penxa 59' M 6.50
10 Rajmund Mikuš Rajmund Mikuš F 7.20
19 Marcel Čermák Marcel Čermák F 6.30
11 Kevin-Prince Milla Kevin-Prince Milla 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
39 Daniel Kozma Daniel Kozma M
15 Dantaye Gilbert Dantaye Gilbert 14' M 6.50
47 Dario Kreiker Dario Kreiker 8' M 6.30
5 Diego Velasquez Diego Velasquez 13' M 6.30
4 Eric Hunal Eric Hunal D
37 Marios Pourzitidis Marios Pourzitidis D
95
M. Cernak M
14 Samson Tijani Samson Tijani M
17 Tomáš Pekhart Tomáš Pekhart 7' F
Best on the pitch
G · Zlin
8.60
· 25 pass
Tomáš Poznar
Tomáš Poznar
F · Zlin
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
Jakub Černín
Jakub Černín
D · Zlin
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
Rajmund Mikuš
Rajmund Mikuš
F · Dukla
7.20
1 shots · 26 pass
Marek Hanousek
Marek Hanousek
M · Dukla
7.00
2 shots · 23 pass
David Machalík
David Machalík
M · Zlin
7.00
1 shots · 13 pass
Zlin Zlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 8.60 — — — 25 13% — — —
D 92 6.90 — — 1 15 13% 3 — —
Jakub Kolar D 86 6.90 — — — 15 10% 1 — —
Jakub Černín D 92 7.30 1 — 1 22 14% 2 — —
Miloš Kopečný D 92 6.90 — — — 17 13% 3 — —
Cletus Nombil M 92 6.90 — — — 18 15% 2 1 —
Joss Didiba M 70 6.20 — — 1 20 13% 2 — —
Jakub Pešek M 86 6.30 — — 1 11 6% — — —
Michal Cupak M 92 5.90 — — — 23 13% 1 1 —
David Machalík M 70 7.00 — — 1 13 11% 2 — —
Tomáš Poznar F 75 7.60 1 — 2 7 4% — 1 —
Antonín Křapka D 6 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Kristers Penkevics M 22 6.50 — — — 7 3% — — —
Lukas Bartosak D 22 6.70 — — — 6 3% — — —
Matěj Koubek F 17 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
Tom Ulbrich M 6 — — — — 4 4% — — —
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hugo Jan Bačkovský G 92 6.30 — — — 27 23% — — —
D 92 6.70 — — — 38 32% — — —
Jaroslav Svozil D 78 6.70 — — — 34 26% — — —
Dominik Hašek D 92 6.20 — — — 38 30% — — —
Zlatan Šehović M 84 6.50 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
Marek Hanousek M 79 7.00 — — 2 23 19% 2 — —
Pavel Gaszczyk M 85 6.30 — — — 36 29% — — —
L. Penxa M 59 6.50 — — — 9 9% 1 — —
Rajmund Mikuš F 92 7.20 — — 1 26 18% 1 — —
Marcel Čermák F 92 6.30 — — 2 29 23% — — —
Kevin-Prince Milla F 92 6.90 1 — 3 18 14% — — —
Dantaye Gilbert M 14 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Dario Kreiker M 8 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Diego Velasquez M 13 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
Tomáš Pekhart F 7 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zlin vs Dukla Praha?
The final score was Zlin 2–1 Dukla Praha.
What did the model predict before Zlin vs Dukla Praha?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Zlin win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Dukla Praha win.