J. Cernin
35'
(pen.)
T. Poznar
74'
23'
K. Milla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zlin a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Dukla Praha 25%). The final result was Zlin 2–1 Dukla Praha. In 2 previous meetings, Zlin have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dukla Praha.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
6
1.25
Actual xG
2.10
5
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
3
Corners
6
16
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
K. Milla⚽
⚽J. Cernin
(pen.)
35'
T. Poznar
45'+2
45'+4
E. Hunal
M. Cupak
47'
59'
B. Unusic
/
L. Penxa
C. Nombil
65'
J. Didiba
/ K. Penkevics
70'
D. Machalik
/ L. Bartosak
70'
⚽T. Poznar
74'
T. Poznar
/ M. Koubek
75'
78'
D. Gilbert
/
J. Svozil
79'
D. Velasquez
/
M. Hanousek
84'
D. Kreiker
/
Z. Sehovic
84'
T. Pekhart
/
P. Gaszczyk
J. Kolar
/ A. Krapka
86'
J. Pesek
/ T. Ulbrich
86'
90'+2
T. Pekhart
Pre-match prediction
45.28%
Zlin ←
29.29%
X
25.44%
Dukla
we assigned to the actual result (Zlin)
45.28%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
1.25
-0.08
0.96
2.10
+1.14
Dukla Praha dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.25).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
17
G
82
D
28
J. Kolář
86'
D
J. Kolář
86'
D
24
J. Černín
1 ⚽
D
J. Černín
1 ⚽
D
23
M. Kopečný
D
M. Kopečný
D
19
C. Nombil
M
C. Nombil
M
6
J. Didiba
70'
M
J. Didiba
70'
M
10
Jakub Pešek
86'
M
Jakub Pešek
86'
M
26
M. Cupák
M
M. Cupák
M
8
D. Machalík
70'
M
D. Machalík
70'
M
88
T. Poznar
1 ⚽
75'
F
T. Poznar
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
39
A. Křapka
6'
D
A. Křapka
6'
D
5
K. Penkevics
22'
M
K. Penkevics
22'
M
31
L. Bartošák
22'
D
L. Bartošák
22'
D
15
M. Koubek
17'
F
14
S. Kanu
F
S. Kanu
F
53
T. Hellebrand
M
T. Hellebrand
M
4
T. Ulbrich
6'
M
T. Ulbrich
6'
M
59
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
22
D
23
Jaroslav Svozil
78'
D
Jaroslav Svozil
78'
D
18
Dominik Hašek
D
Dominik Hašek
D
3
Z. Šehović
84'
M
Z. Šehović
84'
M
25
Marek Hanousek
79'
M
Marek Hanousek
79'
M
8
Pavel Gaszczyk
85'
M
Pavel Gaszczyk
85'
M
6
Lukáš Penxa
59'
M
Lukáš Penxa
59'
M
10
Rajmund Mikuš
F
Rajmund Mikuš
F
19
M. Čermák
F
M. Čermák
F
11
Kevin-Prince Milla
1 ⚽
F
Kevin-Prince Milla
1 ⚽
F
Bench
47
Dario Kreiker
8'
M
Dario Kreiker
8'
M
15
D. Gilbert
14'
M
D. Gilbert
14'
M
5
Diego Velasquez
13'
M
Diego Velasquez
13'
M
39
D. Kozma
M
D. Kozma
M
4
E. Hunál
D
E. Hunál
D
95
M. Cernak
M
37
M. Pourzitídis
D
14
Samson Tijani
M
17
Tomáš Pekhart
7'
F
Tomáš Pekhart
7'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Zlin
8.60
· 25 pass
T. Poznar
F · Zlin
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
J. Černín
D · Zlin
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Rajmund Mikuš
F · Dukla
7.20
1 shots
· 26 pass
Marek Hanousek
M · Dukla
7.00
2 shots
· 23 pass
D. Machalík
M · Zlin
7.00
1 shots
· 13 pass
Zlin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 3 | — | — | |
| J. Kolář | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Černín | D | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kopečný | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Nombil | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Didiba | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jakub Pešek | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Cupák | M | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Machalík | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Poznar | F | 75 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Křapka | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Penkevics | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Bartošák | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Koubek | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Ulbrich | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Dukla Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Jan Bačkovský | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Jaroslav Svozil | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Hašek | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Z. Šehović | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Marek Hanousek | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Pavel Gaszczyk | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Lukáš Penxa | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Rajmund Mikuš | F | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Čermák | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Kevin-Prince Milla | F | 92 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Dario Kreiker | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gilbert | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Diego Velasquez | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Pekhart | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zlin vs Dukla Praha?
The final score was Zlin 2–1 Dukla Praha.
What did the model predict before Zlin vs Dukla Praha?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Zlin win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Dukla Praha win.