J. Cernin
35'
(pen.)
T. Poznar
74'
23'
K. Milla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zlin a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Dukla Praha 25%). The final result was Zlin 2–1 Dukla Praha. In 2 previous meetings, Zlin have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dukla Praha.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
6
1.25
Actual xG
2.10
5
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
3
Corners
6
16
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
K. Milla⚽
⚽J. Cernin
(pen.)
35'
T. Poznar
45'+2
45'+4
E. Hunal
M. Cupak
47'
59'
B. Unusic
/
L. Penxa
C. Nombil
65'
J. Didiba
/ K. Penkevics
70'
D. Machalik
/ L. Bartosak
70'
⚽T. Poznar
74'
T. Poznar
/ M. Koubek
75'
78'
D. Gilbert
/
J. Svozil
79'
D. Velasquez
/
M. Hanousek
84'
D. Kreiker
/
Z. Sehovic
84'
T. Pekhart
/
P. Gaszczyk
J. Kolar
/ A. Krapka
86'
J. Pesek
/ T. Ulbrich
86'
90'+2
T. Pekhart
Pre-match prediction
45.28%
Zlin ←
29.29%
X
25.44%
Dukla
we assigned to the actual result (Zlin)
45.28%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
1.25
-0.08
0.96
2.10
+1.14
Dukla Praha dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.25).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
17
G
82
D
28
Jakub Kolar
86'
D
Jakub Kolar
86'
D
24
Jakub Černín
1 ⚽
D
Jakub Černín
1 ⚽
D
23
Miloš Kopečný
D
Miloš Kopečný
D
19
Cletus Nombil
M
Cletus Nombil
M
6
Joss Didiba
70'
M
Joss Didiba
70'
M
10
Jakub Pešek
86'
M
Jakub Pešek
86'
M
26
Michal Cupak
M
Michal Cupak
M
8
David Machalík
70'
M
David Machalík
70'
M
88
Tomáš Poznar
1 ⚽
75'
F
Tomáš Poznar
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
39
Antonín Křapka
6'
D
Antonín Křapka
6'
D
5
Kristers Penkevics
22'
M
Kristers Penkevics
22'
M
31
Lukas Bartosak
22'
D
Lukas Bartosak
22'
D
15
M. Koubek
17'
F
14
Stanley Kanu
F
Stanley Kanu
F
53
Tomas Hellebrand
M
Tomas Hellebrand
M
4
Tom Ulbrich
6'
M
Tom Ulbrich
6'
M
59
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
22
D
23
Jaroslav Svozil
78'
D
Jaroslav Svozil
78'
D
18
Dominik Hašek
D
Dominik Hašek
D
3
Zlatan Šehović
84'
M
Zlatan Šehović
84'
M
25
Marek Hanousek
79'
M
Marek Hanousek
79'
M
8
Pavel Gaszczyk
85'
M
Pavel Gaszczyk
85'
M
6
Lukas Penxa
59'
M
Lukas Penxa
59'
M
10
Rajmund Mikuš
F
Rajmund Mikuš
F
19
Marcel Čermák
F
Marcel Čermák
F
11
Kevin-Prince Milla
1 ⚽
F
Kevin-Prince Milla
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
Dantaye Gilbert
14'
M
Dantaye Gilbert
14'
M
47
Dario Kreiker
8'
M
Dario Kreiker
8'
M
5
Diego Velasquez
13'
M
Diego Velasquez
13'
M
39
D. Kozma
M
D. Kozma
M
4
Eric Hunal
D
Eric Hunal
D
37
Marios Pourzitidis
D
Marios Pourzitidis
D
95
M. Cernak
M
14
Samson Tijani
M
17
Tomáš Pekhart
7'
F
Tomáš Pekhart
7'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Zlin
8.60
· 25 pass
Tomáš Poznar
F · Zlin
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Jakub Černín
D · Zlin
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Rajmund Mikuš
F · Dukla
7.20
1 shots
· 26 pass
Marek Hanousek
M · Dukla
7.00
2 shots
· 23 pass
David Machalík
M · Zlin
7.00
1 shots
· 13 pass
Zlin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 3 | — | — | |
| Jakub Kolar | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakub Černín | D | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Miloš Kopečný | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Cletus Nombil | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joss Didiba | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jakub Pešek | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Michal Cupak | M | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Machalík | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomáš Poznar | F | 75 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Antonín Křapka | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kristers Penkevics | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Bartosak | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Koubek | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tom Ulbrich | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Dukla Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Jan Bačkovský | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Jaroslav Svozil | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Hašek | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Zlatan Šehović | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Marek Hanousek | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Pavel Gaszczyk | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Penxa | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Rajmund Mikuš | F | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcel Čermák | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Kevin-Prince Milla | F | 92 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Dantaye Gilbert | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dario Kreiker | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Velasquez | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Pekhart | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zlin vs Dukla Praha?
The final score was Zlin 2–1 Dukla Praha.
What did the model predict before Zlin vs Dukla Praha?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Zlin win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Dukla Praha win.