← Pro League
Pro League · Relegation Group - 36 May 09, 2026 16:00
Zulte Waregem
#1 · 48 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Dender
#4 · 25 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Zulte Waregem
M. Ake 41'
B. Goncalves 45'+2 (og)
(pen.) 25' B. Goncalves

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zulte Waregem a 79% win probability (draw 11%, Dender 9%). The final result was Zulte Waregem 2–1 Dender. In 3 previous meetings, Zulte Waregem have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dender.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
2.02
Actual xG
1.38
4
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
2
11
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
6'
L. Lemoine
17'
25'
(pen.) B. Goncalves⚽
29'
R. Kvet
⚽M. Ake
41'
⚽B. Goncalves (og)
45'+2
45'
L. De Fougerolles
↕ L. Lemoine / J. Kiilerich
46'
↕ B. De Jaegere / E. Lofolomo
46'
49'
L. Marijnissen
52'
K. Koton
↕ T. Hedl / A. Ementa
56'
60'
D. Toshevski / M. Viltard ↕
60'
E. Lembi / R. Kvet ↕
60'
A. Daali / L. De Fougerolles ↕
60'
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui / M. Berte ↕
↕ J. Vossen / S. Gavriel
66'
70'
D. Acquah / N. Rodes ↕
↕ J. Opoku / J. Erenbjerg
76'
84'
D. Acquah
Pre-match prediction
79.57%
Zulte ←
11.16%
X
9.27%
Dender
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Zulte Waregem) 79.57% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Zulte
4.02
2.02
-2.0
Dender
1.13
1.38
+0.25
Zulte Waregem dominated by xG (2.02 vs 1.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 3-4-2-1
13
G 7.20
31
D 6.60
4
L. Lemoine 45' D 5.70
45
45' D 5.90
55
Y. Cappelle M 6.60
8
M 6.20
36
M 6.20
39
M. Ake 1 ⚽ M 7.20
20
T. Hedl 56' F 6.60
22
76' F 6.90
9
J. Vossen 66' F 6.60
Bench
18
A. Ementa 34' F 6.50
40
D. Asare M
6
E. Lofolomo 45' M 6.90
10
J. Erenbjerg 14' F 6.90
5
J. Kiilerich 45' D 7.20
12
W. Paugain D
Dender Dender 3-4-1-2
30
G 6.60
7
B. Goncalves 2 ⚽ D 5.50
44
L. De Fougerolles 60' D 7.20
5
L. Marijnissen D 6.30
11
R. Oratmangoen M 6.30
24
M. Viltard 60' M 6.90
18
N. Rodes 70' M 6.60
70
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ M 6.30
15
K. Koton F 6.90
16 R. Květ R. Květ 60' F 6.90
90
M. Berte 60' F 6.50
Bench
23
D. Acquah 20' M 6.90
9
David Toshevski 30' F 6.30
67
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui 30' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
G · Zulte
7.20
· 54 pass
J. Kiilerich
D · Zulte
7.20
· 17 pass
M. Ake
M · Zulte
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
L. De Fougerolles
D · Dender
7.20
· 23 pass
D. Acquah
M · Dender
6.90
1 shots · 11 pass
J. Erenbjerg
F · Zulte
6.90
1 shots · 10 pass
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 54 41% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 54 42% — — —
L. Lemoine D 45 5.70 — — — 23 20% — 1 —
D 45 5.90 — — 1 30 17% — — —
Y. Cappelle M 90 6.60 — — 1 26 20% 4 — —
M 90 6.20 — — — 34 25% 1 — —
M 90 6.20 — — — 44 35% 2 — —
M. Ake M 90 7.20 1 — 2 20 16% 2 — —
T. Hedl F 56 6.60 — — 1 10 5% — — —
F 76 6.90 — — 2 17 14% — — —
J. Vossen F 66 6.60 — — 1 20 9% — — —
A. Ementa F 34 6.50 — — 1 18 11% — — —
E. Lofolomo M 45 6.90 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
J. Erenbjerg F 14 6.90 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
J. Kiilerich D 45 7.20 — — — 17 15% — — —
Dender Dender — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 38 18% — — —
B. Goncalves D 90 5.50 2 — 1 39 22% 2 — —
L. De Fougerolles D 60 7.20 — — — 23 19% 1 1 —
L. Marijnissen D 90 6.30 — — — 50 40% — 1 —
R. Oratmangoen M 90 6.30 — — 2 32 25% — — —
M. Viltard M 60 6.90 — — — 18 12% 4 — —
N. Rodes M 70 6.60 — — 1 24 17% 4 — —
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ M 90 6.30 — — — 30 22% 1 — —
K. Koton F 90 6.90 — — 2 33 27% 4 1 —
R. Květ F 60 6.90 — — — 11 5% 1 1 —
M. Berte F 60 6.50 — — — 14 8% 2 — —
D. Acquah M 20 6.90 — — 1 11 8% 1 1 —
David Toshevski F 30 6.30 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui D 30 6.70 — — 1 13 9% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zulte Waregem vs Dender?
The final score was Zulte Waregem 2–1 Dender.
What did the model predict before Zulte Waregem vs Dender?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Zulte Waregem win, 11% to a draw, and 9% to an Dender win.