✓Model correct — prediction Zulte Waregem
M. Ake
41'
B. Goncalves
45'+2
(og)
(pen.)
25'
B. Goncalves
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zulte Waregem a 79% win probability (draw 11%, Dender 9%). The final result was Zulte Waregem 2–1 Dender. In 3 previous meetings, Zulte Waregem have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dender.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
2.02
Actual xG
1.38
4
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
2
11
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
6'
L. Lemoine
17'
25'
(pen.)
B. Goncalves⚽
29'
R. Kvet
⚽M. Ake
41'
⚽B. Goncalves
(og)
45'+2
45'
L. De Fougerolles
L. Lemoine
/ J. Kiilerich
46'
B. De Jaegere
/ E. Lofolomo
46'
49'
L. Marijnissen
52'
K. Koton
T. Hedl
/ A. Ementa
56'
60'
D. Toshevski
/
M. Viltard
60'
E. Lembi
/
R. Kvet
60'
A. Daali
/
L. De Fougerolles
60'
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
/
M. Berte
J. Vossen
/ S. Gavriel
66'
70'
D. Acquah
/
N. Rodes
J. Opoku
/ J. Erenbjerg
76'
84'
D. Acquah
Pre-match prediction
79.57%
Zulte ←
11.16%
X
9.27%
Dender
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Zulte Waregem)
79.57%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.02
2.02
-2.0
1.13
1.38
+0.25
Zulte Waregem dominated by xG (2.02 vs 1.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
31
D
4
Laurent Lemoine
45'
D
Laurent Lemoine
45'
D
45
45'
D
55
Yannick Cappelle
M
Yannick Cappelle
M
8
M
36
M
39
Marley Aké
1 ⚽
M
Marley Aké
1 ⚽
M
20
T. Hedl
56'
F
T. Hedl
56'
F
22
76'
F
9
J. Vossen
66'
F
J. Vossen
66'
F
Bench
18
A. Ementa
34'
F
A. Ementa
34'
F
40
D. Asare
M
6
Enrique Lofolomo
45'
M
Enrique Lofolomo
45'
M
5
Jakob Kiilerich
45'
D
Jakob Kiilerich
45'
D
10
J. Erenbjerg
14'
F
J. Erenbjerg
14'
F
12
Wilguens Paugain
D
Wilguens Paugain
D
30
G
7
Bryan Goncalves
2 ⚽
D
Bryan Goncalves
2 ⚽
D
44
L. De Fougerolles
60'
D
L. De Fougerolles
60'
D
5
Luc Marijnissen
D
Luc Marijnissen
D
11
Ragnar Oratmangoen
M
24
M. Viltard
60'
M
M. Viltard
60'
M
18
N. Rôdes
70'
M
N. Rôdes
70'
M
70
M. Sambu
M
M. Sambu
M
15
K. Koton
F
K. Koton
F
16
R. Květ
60'
F
R. Květ
60'
F
90
M. Berte
60'
F
M. Berte
60'
F
Bench
23
Desmond Acquah
20'
M
Desmond Acquah
20'
M
9
D. Toševski
30'
F
D. Toševski
30'
F
67
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
30'
D
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
30'
D
Best on the pitch
G · Zulte
7.20
· 54 pass
Jakob Kiilerich
D · Zulte
7.20
· 17 pass
Marley Aké
M · Zulte
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
L. De Fougerolles
D · Dender
7.20
· 23 pass
Desmond Acquah
M · Dender
6.90
1 shots
· 11 pass
J. Erenbjerg
F · Zulte
6.90
1 shots
· 10 pass
Zulte Waregem — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 41% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 42% | — | — | — | |
| Laurent Lemoine | D | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Yannick Cappelle | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 2 | — | — | |
| Marley Aké | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Hedl | F | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| J. Vossen | F | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Ementa | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Enrique Lofolomo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakob Kiilerich | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Erenbjerg | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Dender — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Bryan Goncalves | D | 90 | 5.50 | 2 | — | 1 | 39 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luc Marijnissen | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Ragnar Oratmangoen | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Viltard | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Rôdes | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Sambu | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Koton | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | 4 | 1 | — |
| R. Květ | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Berte | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Desmond Acquah | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Toševski | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui | D | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zulte Waregem vs Dender?
The final score was Zulte Waregem 2–1 Dender.
What did the model predict before Zulte Waregem vs Dender?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Zulte Waregem win, 11% to a draw, and 9% to an Dender win.