← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30
Cesena
#11 · 46 pts
3 – 4
Final score
Padova
#10 · 46 pts
C. Shpendi (ast. A. Cerri) 5'
A. Cerri (ast. C. Shpendi) 7'
C. Shpendi (ast. M. Olivieri) 45'+2
2' L. Di Maggio
13' (ast. P. Ghiglione) L. Di Maggio
17' (ast. P. Fusi) G. Caprari
84' A. Seghetti

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cesena a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Padova 19%). The final result was Cesena 3–4 Padova. In 1 previous meetings, Cesena have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Padova.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
10
Shots on target
7
2.25
Actual xG
1.80
2
Saves
7
59%
Possession
41%
11
Corners
3
15
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
2'
L. Di Maggio⚽
⚽C. Shpendi · ast. A. Cerri
5'
⚽A. Cerri · ast. C. Shpendi
7'
13'
ast. P. Ghiglione · L. Di Maggio⚽
17'
ast. P. Fusi · G. Caprari⚽
⚽C. Shpendi · ast. M. Olivieri
45'+2
46'
G. Favale / P. Fusi ↕
50'
M. Perrotta
M. Mangraviti
51'
↕ A. Cerri / G. Vrioni
62'
62'
C. Buonaiuto / L. Di Maggio ↕
63'
A. Capelli / P. Ghiglione ↕
↕ S. Bastoni / M. Castagnetti
66'
70'
G. Giunti
74'
A. Boi / M. Perrotta ↕
↕ T. Corazza / R. Ciervo
79'
81'
K. Varas / G. Caprari ↕
84'
A. Seghetti⚽
87'
C. Pastina
M. Olivieri
90'+2
90'+5
J. Silva
Pre-match prediction
54.9%
Cesena
25.76%
X
19.34%
Padova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Padova) 19.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cesena
1.34
2.25
+0.91
Padova
0.66
1.80
+1.14
Cesena dominated by xG (2.25 vs 1.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Cesena Cesena 4-2-3-1
1
G 5.70
27
T. Corazza 79' D 6.30
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti D 5.90
19
D 7.00
15
A. Ciofi D 7.70
10
S. Bastoni 66' M 6.30
25
D. Bisoli M 8.00
32
M. Olivieri 1 👟 M 6.90
14 T. Berti T. Berti M 6.60
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
7
A. Cerri 1 ⚽ 1 👟 62' F 8.20
Bench
99
G. Frabotta D
4
M. Castagnetti M
11
R. Ciervo 17' F 6.30
Padova Padova 3-5-2
14
G 8.00
58
C. Pastina D 7.20
5 M. Perrotta M. Perrotta 74' D 7.20
72
Carlo Faedo D 6.20
41
J. Silva M 6.70
23
L. Di Maggio 2 ⚽ 62' M 9.00
86
G. Giunti M 6.50
8 P. Fusi P. Fusi 1 👟 45' M 6.90
18
P. Ghiglione 1 👟 63' M 7.20
11
A. Seghetti 1 ⚽ F 7.30
24
G. Caprari 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.00
Bench
17 A. Capelli A. Capelli 33' M 7.30
4
F. Belli D
77
F. Di Mariano F
30
G. Favale 51' D 6.70
7
Kevin Varas Marcillo 15' M 6.60
6
Lorenzo Crisetig M
20 M. Bortolussi M. Bortolussi F
Best on the pitch
L. Di Maggio
M · Padova
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
C. Shpendi
C. Shpendi
M · Cesena
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 34 pass
A. Cerri
F · Cesena
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 20 pass
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
8.00
1 shots · 86 pass
G · Padova
8.00
· 26 pass
A. Ciofi
D · Cesena
7.70
· 66 pass
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 5.70 — — — 16 12% — — —
T. Corazza D 79 6.30 — — 1 34 30% — — —
M. Mangraviti D 96 5.90 — — 2 47 41% 3 1 —
D 96 7.00 — — 1 43 37% 2 — —
A. Ciofi D 96 7.70 — — — 66 61% 2 — —
S. Bastoni M 66 6.30 — — 1 39 30% 2 — —
D. Bisoli M 96 8.00 — — 1 86 80% 3 — —
M. Olivieri M 96 6.90 — 1 3 32 29% — 1 —
T. Berti M 96 6.60 — — — 66 52% 2 — —
C. Shpendi M 96 9.00 2 1 6 34 27% 1 — —
A. Cerri F 62 8.20 1 1 2 20 13% — — —
R. Ciervo F 17 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
Padova Padova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 8.00 — — — 26 14% — — —
C. Pastina D 96 7.20 — — — 39 32% 3 1 —
M. Perrotta D 74 7.20 — — — 20 14% 3 1 —
Carlo Faedo D 96 6.20 — — 1 42 37% 1 — —
J. Silva M 96 6.70 — — — 31 27% 1 1 —
L. Di Maggio M 62 9.00 2 — 3 21 19% — — —
G. Giunti M 96 6.50 — — 1 49 43% — 1 —
P. Fusi M 45 6.90 — 1 — 28 26% 1 — —
P. Ghiglione M 63 7.20 — 1 — 38 30% — — —
A. Seghetti F 96 7.30 1 — 1 8 8% 1 — —
G. Caprari F 81 7.00 1 — 2 32 26% — — —
A. Capelli M 33 7.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
G. Favale D 51 6.70 — — 2 8 3% — — —
Kevin Varas Marcillo M 15 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Padova?
The final score was Cesena 3–4 Padova.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Padova?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Cesena win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an Padova win.